Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (29 Aug 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 130 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 296 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

130 km/h Current

Up to 640000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
Green 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.9 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
Green 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 120 9.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominican Republic
Green 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 120 9.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
Orange 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 111 11.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
Green 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 120 10.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas
Green 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 120 8.6 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
Orange 9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 130 10.5 million 650 thousand Dominican Republic

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
GREEN
2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
GREEN
3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.9, -50.4
GREEN
4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11, -51.6
GREEN
5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11.2, -52.9
GREEN
6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.5, -54.2
GREEN
7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.7, -55.3
GREEN
8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 11.9, -56.4
GREEN
9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 93 290000 people no people 12.3, -57.7 Barbados
GREEN
9 27 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 800000 people no people 12.9, -59.4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
GREEN
9 27 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 111 510000 people no people 13.9, -61.4 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
GREEN
9 28 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 15.1, -63.5
ORANGE
9 28 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 1 130 7.2 million people 470000 people 16.4, -65.6 Dominican Republic
ORANGE
9 29 Aug 2019 12:00 Category 1 130 8.2 million people 260000 people 19.2, -69.3 Dominican Republic
GREEN
9 30 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 74 57000 people no people 22, -72.6 Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN
9 31 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 24.8, -76.5 Bahamas
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Dominican Republic

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
La Altagracia Dominican Republic 120000 people
La Romana Dominican Republic 180000 people
El Seibo Dominican Republic 75000 people
Hato Major Dominican Republic 170000 people
Samana Dominican Republic 79000 people
Duarte Dominican Republic 280000 people
Maria Trinidad S Dominican Republic 130000 people
Espaillat Dominican Republic 190000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Higüey La Altagracia Dominican Republic City 66000 people
El Seibo El Seíbo Dominican Republic City 23000 people
El Valle Hato Major Dominican Republic City -
Sabana de la Mar Hato Major Dominican Republic City 13000 people
Sánchez Samaná Dominican Republic City 13000 people
Nagua María Trinidad Sánchez Dominican Republic City 33000 people
Río San Juan Espaillat Dominican Republic City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Punta Cana PUJ 9 Civ. Paved Yes 10100
Sabana de La Mar SNX unknown 0
Arroyo Barril 35 0
Providenciales PLS 8 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Mona Island PROIS Puerto Rico
Cape Engano Dominican Republic
Santa Barbara de Samana Dominican Republic
Puerto Botado Dominican Republic
Sanchez DOSNZ Dominican Republic
Providenciales TCPLS Turks and Caicos Islands

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Punta Cabo, Dominican Republic. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (133 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 9 of 26 Aug 2019 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Aug 2019 06:00 Punta Cabo Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 11:00 Capitan Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 12:00 Balandra Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 08:00 La Vacama Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 06:00 Cabo Engano Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 00:00 El Combate Puerto Rico  0.3
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Rojo Cabo Puerto Rico  0.3
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Pole Ojea Puerto Rico  0.3
29 Aug 2019 13:00 Abra Grande Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 07:00 Bavaro Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Guaniquilla Puerto Rico  0.3
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Cabo Rojo Puerto Rico  0.3
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Guanabana Puerto Rico  0.3
29 Aug 2019 09:00 Las Lisas Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 12:00 Samana Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 12:00 El Valle Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 14:00 Sanchez Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 11:00 Sabana de la Mar Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Maguayo Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Finca Juanita Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 07:00 El Macao Dominican Republic  0.2
27 Aug 2019 09:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.2
29 Aug 2019 06:00 El Cabo Dominican Republic  0.2
27 Aug 2019 11:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.2
27 Aug 2019 11:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Boqueron Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Betances Puerto Rico  0.2
27 Aug 2019 10:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.2
29 Aug 2019 12:00 Arroyo del Cabo Dominican Republic  0.2
27 Aug 2019 02:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Oistins Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Holetown Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Collins Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Maria Antonia Puerto Rico  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Campamento Borinquen Puerto Rico  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Media Quijada Puerto Rico  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Indios Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 La Parguera Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Brisas de Mal Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Delicias Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Guanajibo Castillo Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Cerrillos Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Cuesta de las Piedras Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Villa Benni Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 17:00 Rio San Juan Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 16:00 Arroyo Salado Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 16:00 El Higo de las Tres Piernas Dominican Republic  0.2
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Tuque Puerto Rico  0.2
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Amalia Marin Puerto Rico  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 El Tumbao Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 18:00 Sabaneta de Yasica Dominican Republic  0.2
30 Aug 2019 06:00 Cockburn Harbor Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 09:00 Five Cays Settlements Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 09:00 Bottle Creek Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 10:00 Yankee Town Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
28 Aug 2019 21:00 Salinas Puerto Rico  0.2
28 Aug 2019 21:00 Las Ollas Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 05:00 El Algibe Dominican Republic  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Santa Cruz Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 El Faro Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Guaypao Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 10:00 Miches Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 17:00 Abreu Dominican Republic  0.1
30 Aug 2019 04:00 Balfour Town Turks and Caicos Islands  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Tallaboa Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Quinta Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Buyones Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Cambalache Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 02:00 Centro Puntas Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 02:00 Rincon Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 02:00 Matias Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Malecon Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Mayagnez Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Colonia Dolores Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 La Soledad Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Ponce de Leon Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 15:00 Nagua Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 20:00 Puerto Plata Dominican Republic  0.1
30 Aug 2019 10:00 Kew Turks and Caicos Islands  0.1
30 Aug 2019 15:00 Abrahams Bay The Bahamas  0.1
30 Aug 2019 15:00 Betsy Bay The Bahamas  0.1
30 Aug 2019 15:00 Pirates Well The Bahamas  0.1
27 Aug 2019 10:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Boca Chica Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 11:00 Los Robalos Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 17:00 Magante Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 19:00 Sosua Dominican Republic  0.1
30 Aug 2019 08:00 Conch Bar Turks and Caicos Islands  0.1
30 Aug 2019 08:00 Lorimers Turks and Caicos Islands  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Santa Isabel Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Pastillo Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Bizarreta Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Playita Cortada Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Capitanejo Puerto Rico  0.1
27 Aug 2019 09:00 Fancy St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Ensenada Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Fuig Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Guanica Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Guayanilla Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Magas Arriba Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 04:00 Centro Calvache Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 04:00 La Tosca Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 04:00 La Playa Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 04:00 Mani Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 21:00 Jauca Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 21:00 Las Ochenta Puerto Rico  0.1
27 Aug 2019 09:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Balneario de Cana Gorda Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 21:00 Clausells Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 21:00 Ponce Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 03:00 Belvedere Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Aguada Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Las Corozas Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 03:00 Conde Avila Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 03:00 Cornelia Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Coloso Puerto Rico  0.1
30 Aug 2019 04:00 Cockburn Town Turks and Caicos Islands  0.1
28 Aug 2019 21:00 Altavista Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 21:00 Calzada Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 07:00 Boca de Yuma Dominican Republic  0.1
28 Aug 2019 18:00 Punta Santiago Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 18:00 Playa de Humacao Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 18:00 Buena Vista Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 18:00 Palmas del Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 18:00 Bajandas Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 04:00 Mano Juan Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 10:00 El Soco Dominican Republic  0.1