Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (29 Aug 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 130 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 296 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

130 km/h Current

Up to 390000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
Green 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.9 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
Green 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 120 9.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominican Republic
Green 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 120 9.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
Orange 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 111 11.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
Green 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 120 10.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas
Green 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 120 8.6 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
Orange 9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 130 10.5 million 650 thousand Dominican Republic
Orange 10 26 Aug 2019 21:00 130 8.7 million 390 thousand Dominican Republic

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
GREEN
2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
GREEN
3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.9, -50.4
GREEN
4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11, -51.6
GREEN
5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11.2, -52.9
GREEN
6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.5, -54.2
GREEN
7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.7, -55.3
GREEN
8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 11.9, -56.4
GREEN
9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 93 290000 people no people 12.3, -57.7 Barbados
GREEN
10 26 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 93 360000 people no people 12.7, -58.8 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
GREEN
10 27 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 270000 people no people 13.4, -60.5 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
GREEN
10 27 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.5, -62.6
GREEN
10 28 Aug 2019 06:00 Category 1 120 370000 people no people 15.7, -64.6 Puerto Rico
ORANGE
10 28 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 130 7.6 million people 390000 people 17.1, -66.7 Dominican Republic
GREEN
10 29 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 93 2.8 million people no people 20.1, -70.2 Turks and Caicos Islands
GREEN
10 30 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 290000 people no people 23, -73.8 Bahamas
GREEN
10 31 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 25.5, -78 Bahamas
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Dominican Republic

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
La Altagracia Dominican Republic 120000 people
El Seibo Dominican Republic 75000 people
Hato Major Dominican Republic 170000 people
Samana Dominican Republic 79000 people
Maria Trinidad S Dominican Republic 130000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Higüey La Altagracia Dominican Republic City 66000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Punta Cana PUJ 9 Civ. Paved Yes 10100
Arroyo Barril 35 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Mona Island PROIS Puerto Rico
Cape Engano Dominican Republic
Santa Barbara de Samana Dominican Republic
Puerto Botado Dominican Republic

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Cabo Engano, Dominican Republic. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2019 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (129 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 10 of 26 Aug 2019 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Aug 2019 06:00 Cabo Engano Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 08:00 La Vacama Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 06:00 Bavaro Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 05:00 Punta Cabo Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 11:00 El Valle Dominican Republic  0.3
28 Aug 2019 23:00 El Combate Puerto Rico  0.3
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Rojo Cabo Puerto Rico  0.3
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Pole Ojea Puerto Rico  0.3
29 Aug 2019 07:00 El Macao Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 10:00 Capitan Dominican Republic  0.3
29 Aug 2019 09:00 Las Lisas Dominican Republic  0.2
30 Aug 2019 07:00 Bottle Creek Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 07:00 Five Cays Settlements Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 15:00 Betsy Bay The Bahamas  0.2
30 Aug 2019 15:00 Pirates Well The Bahamas  0.2
30 Aug 2019 18:00 Chesters The Bahamas  0.2
29 Aug 2019 12:00 Abra Grande Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 13:00 Los Robalos Dominican Republic  0.2
30 Aug 2019 05:00 Cockburn Harbor Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 08:00 Kew Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 13:00 Abrahams Bay The Bahamas  0.2
29 Aug 2019 11:00 Balandra Dominican Republic  0.2
27 Aug 2019 09:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Guaniquilla Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Cabo Rojo Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Betances Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Guanabana Puerto Rico  0.2
30 Aug 2019 06:00 Lorimers Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 08:00 Yankee Town Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 17:00 Anderson The Bahamas  0.2
29 Aug 2019 11:00 Arroyo del Cabo Dominican Republic  0.2
30 Aug 2019 03:00 Balfour Town Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 07:00 Conch Bar Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
29 Aug 2019 10:00 Miches Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 13:00 Sanchez Dominican Republic  0.2
27 Aug 2019 10:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.2
27 Aug 2019 10:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.2
30 Aug 2019 03:00 Cockburn Town Turks and Caicos Islands  0.2
30 Aug 2019 18:00 Browns The Bahamas  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Holetown Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Maguayo Puerto Rico  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Finca Juanita Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Conde Avila Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Cornelia Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Brisas de Mal Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Delicias Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Guanajibo Castillo Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Cerrillos Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Cuesta de las Piedras Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Villa Benni Puerto Rico  0.2
29 Aug 2019 05:00 El Cabo Dominican Republic  0.2
30 Aug 2019 17:00 Snug Corner The Bahamas  0.2
30 Aug 2019 19:00 Majors The Bahamas  0.2
30 Aug 2019 20:00 Moss Town The Bahamas  0.2
27 Aug 2019 00:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 La Parguera Puerto Rico  0.2
30 Aug 2019 20:00 Pitts Town The Bahamas  0.2
27 Aug 2019 02:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 02:00 Oistins Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 02:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 02:00 Collins Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 02:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 10:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.2
27 Aug 2019 10:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.2
29 Aug 2019 04:00 El Algibe Dominican Republic  0.2
28 Aug 2019 23:00 El Tumbao Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Maria Antonia Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Balneario de Cana Gorda Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Campamento Borinquen Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Media Quijada Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Indios Puerto Rico  0.1
30 Aug 2019 19:00 Cabbage Hill The Bahamas  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Tuque Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Amalia Marin Puerto Rico  0.1
27 Aug 2019 09:00 Fancy St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
30 Aug 2019 18:00 Spring Point The Bahamas  0.1
29 Aug 2019 10:00 Sabana de la Mar Dominican Republic  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Santa Cruz Puerto Rico  0.1
27 Aug 2019 09:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Boqueron Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Centro Puntas Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Rincon Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 01:00 Matias Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Malecon Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Mayagnez Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Colonia Dolores Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 00:00 La Soledad Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 00:00 Ponce de Leon Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 16:00 Rio San Juan Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 17:00 Sabaneta de Yasica Dominican Republic  0.1
28 Aug 2019 20:00 Las Ochenta Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 20:00 Salinas Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 20:00 Las Ollas Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Quinta Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Buyones Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Cambalache Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Tallaboa Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 03:00 Centro Calvache Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 03:00 La Tosca Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 03:00 La Playa Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 03:00 Mani Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 15:00 Arroyo Salado Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 15:00 El Higo de las Tres Piernas Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 16:00 Magante Dominican Republic  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Santa Isabel Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Boca Chica Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 23:00 Pastillo Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Capitanejo Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Bizarreta Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Playita Cortada Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Ensenada Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Fuig Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Guanica Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Guayanilla Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 El Faro Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Magas Arriba Puerto Rico  0.1
28 Aug 2019 22:00 Guaypao Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 02:00 Belvedere Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 11:00 Samana Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 13:00 Nagua Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 16:00 Abreu Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 19:00 Puerto Plata Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 18:00 Sosua Dominican Republic  0.1
28 Aug 2019 21:00 Jauca Puerto Rico  0.1
29 Aug 2019 03:00 Mano Juan Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 06:00 Boca de Yuma Dominican Republic  0.1