Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
GDACS
Impact Single TC
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS (NOAA)
Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (29 Aug 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS Current 111 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 1.5
GDACS Overall 296 km/h 0.2 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

111 km/h Current

Up to 11.7 million people in Tropical storm (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat. 1 or higher
Countries
Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
Green 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.9 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
Green 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 120 9.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominican Republic
Green 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 120 9.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
Orange 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 111 11.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Tropical Storm
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
GREEN
2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
GREEN
3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.9, -50.4
GREEN
4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11, -51.6
GREEN
5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11.2, -52.9
GREEN
6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.5, -54.2
GREEN
6 26 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 11.8, -55.9
GREEN
6 26 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 102 290000 people no people 12.4, -58.2 Barbados
GREEN
6 27 Aug 2019 06:00 Tropical storm 102 310000 people no people 13.1, -60.3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
GREEN
6 27 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 no people no people 14.1, -62.3
GREEN
6 28 Aug 2019 18:00 Category 1 120 6.5 million people no people 16.4, -66.4 Dominican Republic
ORANGE
6 29 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical storm 111 10.6 million people no people 18.5, -70 Haiti
GREEN
6 30 Aug 2019 18:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 20.5, -73 Haiti
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.



Exposed population

Countries

Country
Barbados
St. Lucia
St. Vincent & the Grenadines
Dominican Republic
Haiti

Provinces

Region Province Country Population
Barbados Barbados 260000 people
St. Lucia Saint Lucia 140000 people
St. Vincent & the Grenadines Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 110000 people
La Altagracia Dominican Republic 120000 people
La Romana Dominican Republic 180000 people
El Seibo Dominican Republic 75000 people
San Pedro de Macor¡s Dominican Republic 210000 people
Hato Major Dominican Republic 170000 people
Distrito Nacional Dominican Republic 2.7 million people
Samana Dominican Republic 79000 people
Monte Plata Dominican Republic 110000 people
Santo Domingo Dominican Republic 1.5 million people
San Cristobal Dominican Republic 160000 people
Duarte Dominican Republic 280000 people
Peravia Dominican Republic 200000 people
Maria Trinidad S Dominican Republic 130000 people
Sanchez Ramirez Dominican Republic 150000 people
Monsenor Novel Dominican Republic 140000 people
Azua Dominican Republic 210000 people
La Vega Dominican Republic 310000 people
Espaillat Dominican Republic 190000 people
Salcedo Dominican Republic 110000 people
Barahona Dominican Republic 160000 people
Puerto Plata Dominican Republic 240000 people
Santiago Dominican Republic 760000 people
San Juan Dominican Republic 280000 people
Baoruco Dominican Republic 94000 people
Valverde Dominican Republic 120000 people
Santiago Rodrigu Dominican Republic 66000 people
La Estrelleta Dominican Republic 65000 people
Monte Cristi Dominican Republic 100000 people
Centre Haiti 460000 people
Dajabon Dominican Republic 69000 people
Nord-Est Haiti -
Artibonite Haiti 960000 people
Nord Haiti 720000 people
Nord-Ouest Haiti 390000 people

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Bridgetown Saint Michael Barbados Capital 96000 people
Castries Castries St. Lucia Capital 12000 people
Kingstown Saint George St. Vincent and the Grenadines Capital 17000 people
Higüey La Altagracia Dominican Republic City 66000 people
La Romana La Romana Dominican Republic City 200000 people
El Seibo El Seíbo Dominican Republic City 23000 people
San Pedro de Macorís San Pedro de Macorís Dominican Republic City 150000 people
Consuelo San Pedro de Macorís Dominican Republic City 27000 people
Hato Mayor Hato Major Dominican Republic City 35000 people
Boca Chica Santo Domingo Dominican Republic City -
El Valle Hato Major Dominican Republic City -
Andrés Santo Domingo Dominican Republic City -
Santo Domingo Distrito Nacional Dominican Republic Capital 2.1 million people
Monte Plata Monte Plata Dominican Republic City 15000 people
Bajos de Haina San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 66000 people
San Cristóbal San Cristóbal Dominican Republic City 110000 people
Baní Peravia Dominican Republic City 57000 people
Cotuí Sánchez Ramírez Dominican Republic City 53000 people
Pimentel Duarte Dominican Republic City 9400 people
San José de Ocoa San José de Ocoa Dominican Republic City -
Bonao Monsenor Novel Dominican Republic City 73000 people
San Francisco de Macorís Duarte Dominican Republic City 130000 people
Azua Azua Dominican Republic City 59000 people
La Vega La Vega Dominican Republic City 100000 people
Constanza La Vega Dominican Republic City 29000 people
Moca Espaillat Dominican Republic City 61000 people
Santiago Santiago Dominican Republic City 550000 people
San Juan San Juan Dominican Republic City -
Imbert Puerto Plata Dominican Republic City 7800 people
Mao Valverde Dominican Republic City 47000 people
Santiago Rodríguez Santiago Rodríguez Dominican Republic City -
Lucas Evangelista de Peña Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City -
Loma de Cabrera Dajabón Dominican Republic City 6600 people
Dajabón Dajabón Dominican Republic City 15000 people
Quanaminthe Nord-Est Haiti City -
Monte Cristi Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City 16000 people
Pepillo Salcedo Monti Cristi Dominican Republic City 3800 people
Cap-Haïtien Nord Haiti City 120000 people
Limbé Nord Haiti City 32000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Grantley Adams International BGI 52 Civ. Paved Yes 11000
Hewanorra International UVF 3 Civ. Paved Yes 9000
E T Joshua SVD 20 Civ. Paved Yes 4600
J F Mitchell 4 Civ. Paved No 3600
Vigie SLU 6 Civ. Paved Yes 6200
La Romana LRM 8 Civ. Paved Yes 6500
De Las Americas International SDQ 18 Civ. Paved Yes 11000
San Isidro AB 34 Mil. Paved No 7000
Herrera HEX 66 Civ. Paved Yes 4100
Angelina Cotui 54 0
Constanza COZ 1198 Civ. Paved No 5300
Santiago Municipal STI 182 Civ. Paved Yes 5000
San Juan de la M. SJM unknown 0
Dajabon 63 Civ. Unpaved No 5500
Cap Haitien CAP 5 Civ. Paved Yes 4900
Port-de-Paix PAX unknown 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Bridgetown BBBGI Barbados
Speightstown Barbados
Vieux Fort Saint Lucia
Admiralty Bay Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Kingstown VCKTN Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Castries LCSLU Saint Lucia
Cul de Sac Bay LCCDS Saint Lucia
Mona Island PROIS Puerto Rico
La Romana DOLRM Dominican Republic
San Pedro de Macoris DOSPM Dominican Republic
Boca Chica DOBCC Dominican Republic
Santo Domingo DOSDQ Dominican Republic
Rio Haina DOHAI Dominican Republic
Palenque DOPAL Dominican Republic
Las Calderas Dominican Republic
Puerto Viejo de Azua DOPVA Dominican Republic
Azua DOPVA Dominican Republic
Puerto Viejo de Azua Dominican Republic
Manzanillo DOMAN Dominican Republic
Fort Liberte HTFLI Haiti
Cap Haitien HTCAP Haiti
Port de Paiz Haiti

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Las Barias Nizao -99
Valdesia Nizao 1975
Jiguey Nizao 1992
Hatillo Yuna 1984
Rincon Jima 1978
Tavera Yaque del Norte 1974
Bao Bao 1985
Sabana Yegua Yaque del Sur 1978
Sabaneta San Juan 1981
Moncion Mao -99

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in San Pedro de Macoris, Dominican Republic. This height is estimated for 29 Aug 2019 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (37 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 6 of 25 Aug 2019 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
29 Aug 2019 15:00 San Pedro de Macoris Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 16:00 Boca Chica Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 18:00 Santo Domingo Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 10:00 Mano Juan Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 18:00 Bajos de Haina Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 14:00 La Romana Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 17:00 El Paredon Dominican Republic  0.2
27 Aug 2019 11:00 Fancy St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
29 Aug 2019 13:00 Bahahibe Dominican Republic  0.2
29 Aug 2019 15:00 El Soco Dominican Republic  0.2
27 Aug 2019 04:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 04:00 Holetown Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 12:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.2
27 Aug 2019 12:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.2
27 Aug 2019 01:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 01:00 Oistins Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 01:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.2
27 Aug 2019 11:00 Kingstown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
27 Aug 2019 11:00 Chateaubelair St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.2
27 Aug 2019 04:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.1
27 Aug 2019 04:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.1
29 Aug 2019 10:00 El Algibe Dominican Republic  0.1
27 Aug 2019 10:00 Calliaqua St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
29 Aug 2019 16:00 Andres Dominican Republic  0.1
26 Aug 2019 17:00 Macapa Brazil  0.1
27 Aug 2019 10:00 Georgetown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
26 Aug 2019 17:00 Santa Julia do Jurupari Brazil  0.1
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Collins Barbados  0.1
27 Aug 2019 03:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.1
27 Aug 2019 11:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
29 Aug 2019 18:00 La Playa Dominican Republic  0.1
26 Aug 2019 16:00 Foz do Macacoari Brazil  0.1
29 Aug 2019 10:00 La Palmilla Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 12:00 Boca de Yuma Dominican Republic  0.1
29 Aug 2019 14:00 Cumayasa Dominican Republic  0.1
26 Aug 2019 16:00 Ponta Curua Brazil  0.1