Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas
Impact Single TC
HWRF
Impact all weather systems in the area
.

Impact

Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Greenland, Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 155 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (07 Sep 10:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 155 km/h 0.5 m 195 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 288 km/h 5.7 m 2295 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormGreenland, Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States1055920
+
Greenland1822 
Canada995468 
Saint Pierre and Miquelon4215 
United States54415 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 24 Aug 2019 12:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 24 Aug 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 25 Aug 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 25 Aug 2019 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 25 Aug 2019 12:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 25 Aug 2019 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 26 Aug 2019 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 26 Aug 2019 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 26 Aug 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Aug 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 27 Aug 2019 00:00 68 -
- - - - - Barbados
GREEN 12 27 Aug 2019 06:00 76 -
- - - - - Saint Lucia, Barbados
GREEN 13 27 Aug 2019 12:00 76 -
- - - - - Martinique (France)
GREEN 14 27 Aug 2019 18:00 104 -
- - - - - Guadeloupe (France), Dominica
GREEN 15 28 Aug 2019 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 28 Aug 2019 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 28 Aug 2019 12:00 115 -
- - - - - British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico
GREEN 18 28 Aug 2019 18:00 122 -
- - - - - British Virgin Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico
GREEN 19 29 Aug 2019 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 29 Aug 2019 06:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 29 Aug 2019 12:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 29 Aug 2019 18:00 180 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 30 Aug 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 30 Aug 2019 06:00 173 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 25 30 Aug 2019 12:00 187 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 30 Aug 2019 18:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 31 Aug 2019 00:00 234 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 31 Aug 2019 06:00 248 - - - - - - -
GREEN 29 31 Aug 2019 12:00 230 - - - - - - -
GREEN 30 31 Aug 2019 18:00 252 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 31 01 Sep 2019 00:00 256 - - - - - - -
ORANGE 32 01 Sep 2019 06:00 263 -
- - - - - The Bahamas
ORANGE 33 01 Sep 2019 12:00 248 10 thousand
- The Bahamas
ORANGE 34 01 Sep 2019 18:00 288 20 thousand
The Bahamas
ORANGE 35 02 Sep 2019 00:00 284 60 thousand
The Bahamas
ORANGE 36 02 Sep 2019 06:00 274 50 thousand
The Bahamas
ORANGE 37 02 Sep 2019 12:00 259 50 thousand
The Bahamas
ORANGE 38 02 Sep 2019 18:00 230 50 thousand
- The Bahamas
ORANGE 39 03 Sep 2019 00:00 212 50 thousand
- The Bahamas, United States
GREEN 40 03 Sep 2019 06:00 205 50 thousand
- - The Bahamas
GREEN 41 03 Sep 2019 12:00 180 50 thousand
- - - United States, The Bahamas
GREEN 42 03 Sep 2019 18:00 173 5 thousand
- - - - United States, The Bahamas
GREEN 43 04 Sep 2019 00:00 169 Few people
- - - - United States, The Bahamas
GREEN 44 04 Sep 2019 06:00 169 -
- - - - - United States, The Bahamas
GREEN 45 04 Sep 2019 12:00 166 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 46 04 Sep 2019 18:00 184 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 47 05 Sep 2019 00:00 184 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 48 05 Sep 2019 06:00 184 9 thousand
- - - - United States
GREEN 49 05 Sep 2019 12:00 173 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 50 05 Sep 2019 18:00 176 Few people
- - - - United States
GREEN 51 06 Sep 2019 00:00 158 Few people
- - - - United States
GREEN 52 06 Sep 2019 06:00 144 8 thousand
- - - - United States
GREEN 53 06 Sep 2019 12:00 151 10 thousand
- - - - United States
GREEN 54 06 Sep 2019 18:00 173 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 55 07 Sep 2019 00:00 144 -
- - - - - United States
GREEN 56 07 Sep 2019 06:00 155 -
- - - - - Greenland, Canada, Saint Pierre and Miquelon, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

2295 mm

Up to 200 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmCanada201530 
50-100 mmCanada, United States1259838
+
Canada1233478 
United States26360 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 24 Aug 2019 12:00 199 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 24 Aug 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 25 Aug 2019 00:00 49 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 25 Aug 2019 06:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 25 Aug 2019 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 25 Aug 2019 18:00 114 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 26 Aug 2019 00:00 132 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 26 Aug 2019 06:00 85 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 26 Aug 2019 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Aug 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 27 Aug 2019 00:00 336 -
- - - - - Barbados
Blue 12 27 Aug 2019 06:00 69 -
- - - - - Saint Lucia
Blue 13 27 Aug 2019 12:00 121 -
- - - - - Martinique (France)
Blue 14 27 Aug 2019 18:00 146 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 28 Aug 2019 00:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 28 Aug 2019 06:00 314 -
- - - - - Puerto Rico
Blue 17 28 Aug 2019 12:00 175 -
- - - - - Virgin Islands
Blue 18 28 Aug 2019 18:00 260 -
- - - - - Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico
Blue 19 29 Aug 2019 00:00 170 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 29 Aug 2019 06:00 136 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 29 Aug 2019 12:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 29 Aug 2019 18:00 289 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 30 Aug 2019 00:00 191 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 30 Aug 2019 06:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 30 Aug 2019 12:00 306 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 30 Aug 2019 18:00 244 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 31 Aug 2019 00:00 185 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 31 Aug 2019 06:00 329 - - - - - - -
Blue 29 31 Aug 2019 12:00 316 - - - - - - -
Blue 30 31 Aug 2019 18:00 381 - - - - - - -
Blue 31 01 Sep 2019 00:00 307 - - - - - - -
Blue 32 01 Sep 2019 06:00 381 - - - - - - -
Blue 33 01 Sep 2019 12:00 378 1 thousand
- - - - The Bahamas
Blue 34 01 Sep 2019 18:00 389 7 thousand
- - - The Bahamas, United States
Blue 35 02 Sep 2019 00:00 501 4 thousand
- - - The Bahamas
Blue 36 02 Sep 2019 06:00 571 10 thousand
- - - The Bahamas
Blue 37 02 Sep 2019 12:00 567 2 thousand
- - - The Bahamas
Blue 38 02 Sep 2019 18:00 384 2 thousand
- - - The Bahamas
Blue 39 03 Sep 2019 00:00 297 2 thousand
- - - The Bahamas
Blue 40 03 Sep 2019 06:00 410 1 thousand
- - - - The Bahamas
Blue 41 03 Sep 2019 12:00 213 -
- - - - - The Bahamas
Blue 42 03 Sep 2019 18:00 183 -
- - - - - The Bahamas
Blue 43 04 Sep 2019 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 44 04 Sep 2019 06:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 45 04 Sep 2019 12:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 46 04 Sep 2019 18:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 47 05 Sep 2019 00:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 48 05 Sep 2019 06:00 136 60 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 49 05 Sep 2019 12:00 155 7 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 50 05 Sep 2019 18:00 154 80 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 51 06 Sep 2019 00:00 97 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 52 06 Sep 2019 06:00 126 110 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 53 06 Sep 2019 12:00 162 3 thousand
- - - - United States
Blue 54 06 Sep 2019 18:00 252 - - - - - - -
Blue 55 07 Sep 2019 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 56 07 Sep 2019 06:00 195 200 thousand
- - - - Canada, United States




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.5 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.5m in Crossing Rocks, The Bahamas. This height is estimated for 07 Sep 2019 10:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Sep 2019 06:00 UTC
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Sep 2019 10:00 Crossing Rocks The Bahamas  0.5
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Deep Hole United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Sinnickson United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Black Point Landing United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Chincoteague United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Modest Town United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 South Point United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Persimmon Point United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Atlantic United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Wachapreague United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Jordan United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Greenbush United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Lee Mont United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Locustville United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Parker Landing United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Daugherty United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Guilford United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Hopeton United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Centerville United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Metompkin United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Mearsville United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 North End Pt The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Arthurs Town The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 The Lot The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Zion Hill The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Thurston Hill The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Red Hill United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Quinby United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Broadwater United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Old Trower United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Chancetown United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 06:00 Cove Settlement The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 08:30 Marsh Harbour The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 08:30 Hope Town The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Tropic United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Melbourne Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 South Patrick Shores United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Satellite Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Indian Harbour Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Canova Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Indialantic United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Valkaria United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Grant United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Melbourne Shores United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Evans Pines United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Ballard Pines United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Governors Harbour The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Colebrooke Dale The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 South Palmetto Point The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Rock Sound The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 North Palmetto Point The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Savannah Sound The Bahamas  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Winter Park United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Myrtle Sound United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Myrtle Grove United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Masonboro United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Windemere United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Seagate United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Ogden United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Wrightsville Beach United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Bayshore United States  0.2
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Harkers Island United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Otway United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Gloucester United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Cape Lookout United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Smyrna United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Marshallberg United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Williston United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Davis United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Stacy United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Masontown United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Sealevel United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Atlantic United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Duck Creek United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Willis Landing United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Bear Creek United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Swansboro United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Bucks Corner United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Cedar Point United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Cape Carteret United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Bogue United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Emerald Isle United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Ocean United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Indian Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:45 Surf City United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:45 Ocean City Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:45 Thomas Landing United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:45 North Topsail Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:45 Sneads Ferry United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:45 Chadwick Acres United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:30 Cummings United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:30 Wabasso United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:30 Orchid United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:30 Indian River Shores United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:45 Great Guana Cay The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Riomar United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Ankona United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Walton United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Eden United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Jensen Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Hutchinson Island South United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Sewall's Point United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Port Sewall United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Port Salerno United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Gomez United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Hobe Sound United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Jupiter Island United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Kings Landing United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Topsail Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Sloop Point United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:15 Barlowes United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 08:00 Norman Castle The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 08:00 Blackwood Village The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Ocracoke United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Widgen Woods United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Hatteras United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Frisco United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Buxton United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:00 Avon United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Ingram Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 North Myrtle Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Nixons Crossroads United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Cherry Grove Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Creekside United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Little River United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Calabash United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Shady Forest United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Sunset Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Sea Trail Plantation United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:30 Ocean Isle Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:45 Portsmouth United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Kiptopeke United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 08:15 The Bluff The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 08:15 Spanish Wells The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 08:15 Lower Bogue The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 08:15 Upper Bogue The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 08:15 Dunmore Town The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 08:15 Gregory Town The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Sandbridge Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:00 Brick Landing United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:00 Monogram United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:00 Holden Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:00 Secession United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 11:00 Varnamtown United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 08:45 Cocoa Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:00 Alice Town The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:00 James Pt The Bahamas  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 False Cape Landing United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Fort Caswell United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Southport United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Bald Head Island United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:15 Sheephead Rock United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Munden United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Back Bay United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Creeds United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Linkhorn United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Alanton United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Pungo United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Atlantic Park United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Dawley Corners United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Dam Neck Corner United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Public Landing United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Campbells Landing United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Sigma United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Cavalier Park United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Hill Landing United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Virginia Beach United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Corys United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 12:00 Knotts Island United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Saint Lucie United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:45 Jupiter United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:45 Tequesta United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:45 Selhaven United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:45 Blowing Rocks United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 09:45 Jupiter Inlet Colony United States  0.1
07 Sep 2019 10:30 Broad Creek United States  0.1

Calculation folder at this link