Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HALONG-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HALONG-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 151 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (07 Nov 14:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 137 km/h 0.2 m 306 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 151 km/h 0.2 m 623 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 02 Nov 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 02 Nov 2019 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 03 Nov 2019 00:00 130 Few people
- - - - Marshall Islands
GREEN 4 03 Nov 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 04 Nov 2019 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 04 Nov 2019 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 05 Nov 2019 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 05 Nov 2019 12:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 06 Nov 2019 00:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 06 Nov 2019 12:00 137 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

623 mm

Up to 130 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmFederated States of Micronesia, Marshall Islands131665
+
Marshall Islands46217 
Federated States of Micronesia85448 
50-100 mmNorthern Mariana Islands, Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia37784
+
Northern Mariana Islands5098 
Marshall Islands23117 
Federated States of Micronesia9569 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 02 Nov 2019 00:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Nov 2019 12:00 298 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 03 Nov 2019 00:00 189 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 03 Nov 2019 12:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 04 Nov 2019 00:00 286 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 04 Nov 2019 12:00 338 -
- - - - - Federated States of Micronesia
Blue 7 05 Nov 2019 00:00 451 -
- - - - - Federated States of Micronesia
Blue 8 05 Nov 2019 12:00 467 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 06 Nov 2019 00:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 06 Nov 2019 12:00 306 -
- - - - - Northern Mariana Islands, Marshall Islands, Federated States of Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Wotje, Marshall Islands. This height is estimated for 07 Nov 2019 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Nov 2019 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
07 Nov 2019 14:00 Wotje Marshall Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Agat Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Umatac Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Merizo Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Piti Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Asan Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Inarajan Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Hagatna Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Sinajana Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Talofofo Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Mongmong Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Ylig Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Yona Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Tamuning Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Barrigada Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 South Acres Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Asbeco Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Adacao Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Ipapao Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Gayinero Guam  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:45 Omura Japan  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:45 Ogigaura Japan  0.2
07 Nov 2019 02:45 Sakaiura Japan  0.2
09 Nov 2019 08:45 Oki Japan  0.2
09 Nov 2019 08:45 Hyogidaira Japan  0.2
06 Nov 2019 08:15 Kaven Marshall Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Palikir Micronesia  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Kolonia Micronesia  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Lot Micronesia  0.2
06 Nov 2019 01:30 Metalanim Micronesia  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Oceanview Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Dededo Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Upi Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Asatdas Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Lupog Guam  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
06 Nov 2019 18:30 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
07 Nov 2019 23:15 Ronkiti Micronesia  0.2
07 Nov 2019 20:15 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
07 Nov 2019 20:15 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1

Calculation folder at this link