Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FENGSHEN-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FENGSHEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 234 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (16 Nov 07:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 65 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 234 km/h 0.3 m 630 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)



Wind exposed population

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Nov 2019 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 11 Nov 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Nov 2019 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 12 Nov 2019 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 12 Nov 2019 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 13 Nov 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 13 Nov 2019 06:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 13 Nov 2019 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 13 Nov 2019 18:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 14 Nov 2019 00:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 14 Nov 2019 06:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 14 Nov 2019 12:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 14 Nov 2019 18:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 15 Nov 2019 00:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 15 Nov 2019 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 15 Nov 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 15 Nov 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 16 Nov 2019 00:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 16 Nov 2019 06:00 212 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 16 Nov 2019 12:00 234 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 16 Nov 2019 18:00 194 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 17 Nov 2019 00:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 17 Nov 2019 06:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 17 Nov 2019 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 17 Nov 2019 18:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 18 Nov 2019 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 18 Nov 2019 06:00 58 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

Rainfall

630 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Nov 2019 12:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 11 Nov 2019 18:00 409 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 281 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Nov 2019 06:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 12 Nov 2019 12:00 270 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 12 Nov 2019 18:00 273 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 13 Nov 2019 00:00 183 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 13 Nov 2019 06:00 268 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 13 Nov 2019 12:00 292 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 13 Nov 2019 18:00 239 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 14 Nov 2019 00:00 174 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 14 Nov 2019 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 14 Nov 2019 12:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 14 Nov 2019 18:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 15 Nov 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 15 Nov 2019 06:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 15 Nov 2019 12:00 277 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 15 Nov 2019 18:00 222 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 16 Nov 2019 00:00 214 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 16 Nov 2019 06:00 277 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 16 Nov 2019 12:00 231 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 16 Nov 2019 18:00 212 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 17 Nov 2019 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 17 Nov 2019 06:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 17 Nov 2019 12:00 582 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 17 Nov 2019 18:00 318 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 18 Nov 2019 00:00 0 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 18 Nov 2019 06:00 65 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Oki, Japan. This height is estimated for 16 Nov 2019 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Nov 2019 07:00 Oki Japan  0.3
16 Nov 2019 07:00 Hyogidaira Japan  0.3
17 Nov 2019 19:45 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
17 Nov 2019 19:45 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
17 Nov 2019 19:45 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
17 Nov 2019 19:45 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
17 Nov 2019 19:45 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
17 Nov 2019 19:45 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
17 Nov 2019 19:45 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
17 Nov 2019 19:45 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.3
19 Nov 2019 11:45 Omura Japan  0.3
19 Nov 2019 11:45 Ogigaura Japan  0.3
19 Nov 2019 11:45 Sakaiura Japan  0.3
18 Nov 2019 08:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.3
18 Nov 2019 08:00 Oceanview Guam  0.3
18 Nov 2019 08:00 Dededo Guam  0.3
18 Nov 2019 08:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.3
18 Nov 2019 08:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.3
18 Nov 2019 08:00 Upi Guam  0.3
18 Nov 2019 08:00 Asatdas Guam  0.3
18 Nov 2019 08:00 Lupog Guam  0.3
20 Nov 2019 15:45 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 15:45 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 15:45 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
20 Nov 2019 15:45 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 15:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
19 Nov 2019 09:45 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
19 Nov 2019 09:45 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
19 Nov 2019 09:45 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
19 Nov 2019 09:45 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Piti Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Asan Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Inarajan Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Hagatna Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Sinajana Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Talofofo Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Mongmong Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Ylig Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Yona Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Tamuning Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 South Acres Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Ipapao Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
17 Nov 2019 03:00 Gayinero Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 15:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:30 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:30 Agat Guam  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:30 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
18 Nov 2019 14:30 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
18 Nov 2019 09:00 Colonia Micronesia  0.2
19 Nov 2019 11:45 Higashi Japan  0.2
19 Nov 2019 15:15 Umatac Guam  0.2
19 Nov 2019 15:15 Merizo Guam  0.2
19 Nov 2019 06:00 Ishinomura Japan  0.1

Calculation folder at this link