Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NISARGA-20
in India
03 Jun 2020 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS JTWC
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone NISARGA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries India
    Exposed population 13.5 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.2 m (03 Jun 07:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability High (India)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 120 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 2.5
    Overall 139 km/h 1.2 m n.a. 2.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      120 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 13.5 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 83 48.5 million No people India
        Orange 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 102 55.2 million No people India
        Red 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 139 74.3 million 10.6 million India
        Red 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 120 86.3 million 13.5 million India

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          ORANGE
          		 1 02 Jun 2020 18:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 34.1 million people 17, 71.7 India
          ORANGE
          		 2 03 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 38.5 million people 17.2, 72.1 India
          RED
          		 3 03 Jun 2020 06:00 Category 1 139 10.6 million people 61.9 million people 17.9, 72.9 India
          RED
          		 4 03 Jun 2020 12:00 Category 1 120 8.6 million people 70.5 million people 19.1, 73.7 India
          ORANGE
          		 4 04 Jun 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 21.6 million people 21, 75.8 India
          GREEN
          		 4 04 Jun 2020 12:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 22.7, 78.2 India
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          India

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Maharashtra India

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Badlapur Maharashtra India City 100000 people
          Pimpri Maharashtra India City 1.3 million people
          Kopargaon Maharashtra India City 65000 people
          Manmad Maharashtra India City 73000 people
          Jalgaon Maharashtra India City 370000 people
          Bhusawal Maharashtra India City 170000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Jalgaon 244 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Alibag India
          Murud India
          Srivardhan India
          Bankot India

          Dams

          Reservoir Dam Name River Year
          Dimbhe Ghod n/a
          Wadaj Meena 1983
          Manikdoh Kukadi 1984
          Thakurwadi Indrayani 1922
          Pimpalgaon Joga Pushpavati n/a
          Yedgaon Kukadi 1977
          Bhandardari Paravara 1926
          Mulshi Lake Mula 1927
          Vir Baji Pasalkar Mosi n/a
          Girna Girna 1969
          Hatnur Tapi 1982
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          1.2 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.2m in Bankot, India. This height is estimated for 03 Jun 2020 07:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (96 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 03 Jun 2020 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          03 Jun 2020 07:00 Bankot India  1.2
          03 Jun 2020 07:00 Kelshi India  1.2
          03 Jun 2020 08:00 Srivardhan India  0.9
          03 Jun 2020 07:00 Anjanwel India  0.8
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Guhagar India  0.8
          03 Jun 2020 08:00 Agar Panchaitan India  0.8
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Boria India  0.7
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Jaigarh India  0.6
          03 Jun 2020 08:00 Murud India  0.5
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Mirya India  0.5
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Ratnagiri India  0.4
          03 Jun 2020 11:00 Mandve India  0.4
          03 Jun 2020 06:00 Purnagad India  0.4
          03 Jun 2020 05:00 Purangad India  0.3
          03 Jun 2020 12:00 Uran India  0.3
          03 Jun 2020 05:00 Adiura India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kumta India  0.3
          03 Jun 2020 09:00 Revadanda India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Ankola India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Gokarn India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Bhatkal India  0.3
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Bainduru India  0.3
          03 Jun 2020 05:00 Vijayadurg India  0.3
          03 Jun 2020 09:00 Alibag India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Belekeri India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Honavar India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Manki India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Mavalli India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Shirali India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Chittadi India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kundapura India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 04:00 Devgarh India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Vengurla India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Karwar India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 04:00 Pural India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Terekhol India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Madgaon India  0.2
          04 Jun 2020 02:00 Asarsa India  0.2
          04 Jun 2020 02:00 Tankari India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 12:00 Asumumbay India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chopdem India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Marmagao India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Vasco Da Gama India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Advota India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Chaudi India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Majali India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 12:00 Mumbai India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Anjuna India  0.2
          04 Jun 2020 02:00 Muler India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 04:00 Achra India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Malvan India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Agacaim India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Sadashivgarh India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Udipi India  0.2
          04 Jun 2020 02:00 Harinagar India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Panaji India  0.2
          03 Jun 2020 12:00 Malad India  0.2
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Mulki India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 19:00 Ghogha India  0.1
          04 Jun 2020 04:00 Kambhat India  0.1
          04 Jun 2020 04:00 Kavi India  0.1
          04 Jun 2020 04:00 Sarod India  0.1
          04 Jun 2020 03:00 Wadgam India  0.1
          04 Jun 2020 02:00 Bhagva India  0.1
          04 Jun 2020 02:00 Olpad India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Mangaluru India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Edakkad India  0.1
          04 Jun 2020 02:00 Dahej India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Madayipara India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Madayi India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Kannapuram India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chirakkal India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Tellicherry India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Mahe India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Quilandi India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Talakkolattur India  0.1
          03 Jun 2020 13:00 Dongri India  0.1
          03 Jun 2020 13:00 Vasai India  0.1
          04 Jun 2020 01:00 Damka India  0.1
          04 Jun 2020 01:00 Surat India  0.1
          03 Jun 2020 13:00 Trombay India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Manjeshwaram India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Valapattanam India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Azhikkal India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Badagara India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Payyoli India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Kozhikode India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Beypore India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kumbla India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 21:00 Kasaragod India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Bekal India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chervattur India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Trikkaripur India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Cannanore India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Dharmadam India  0.1
          02 Jun 2020 20:00 Chaliyam India  0.1