Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for DORIAN-19
in Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
28 Aug 2019 03 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone DORIAN-19 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Canada, United States, Bahamas, Virgin Islands, U.S., British, Puerto Rico, Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Haiti, Dominica, Guadeloupe
    Exposed population 2.7 million in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 296 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (28 Aug 21:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Low (The Bahamas)

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 130 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 296 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Green 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 139 920 thousand No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico
        Green 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 139 8.1 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Guadeloupe, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.9 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Martinique, Dominica, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Green 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 120 9.5 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Martinique, Dominican Republic
        Green 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 120 9.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Orange 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 111 11.8 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Dominican Republic, Haiti
        Green 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 120 10.3 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Haiti, Bahamas
        Green 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 120 8.6 million No people Barbados, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic
        Orange 9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 130 10.5 million 650 thousand Dominican Republic
        Orange 10 26 Aug 2019 21:00 130 8.7 million 390 thousand Dominican Republic
        Orange 11 27 Aug 2019 03:00 120 9.9 million 330 thousand Dominican Republic
        Green 12 27 Aug 2019 09:00 111 13.3 million No people Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bahamas, United States
        Green 13 27 Aug 2019 15:00 111 11.5 million No people Saint Lucia, Martinique, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, Bahamas, United States
        Green 14 27 Aug 2019 21:00 111 8.5 million No people Martinique, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Bahamas, United States
        Green 15 28 Aug 2019 03:00 130 8.4 million No people Martinique, Virgin Islands, U.S., Saint Lucia, Puerto Rico, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Barbados, Bahamas, United States

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 24 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 10.4, -47.9
          GREEN
          		 2 24 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.7, -49.1
          GREEN
          		 3 25 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 10.9, -50.4
          GREEN
          		 4 25 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11, -51.6
          GREEN
          		 5 25 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 11.2, -52.9
          GREEN
          		 6 25 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.5, -54.2
          GREEN
          		 7 26 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 11.7, -55.3
          GREEN
          		 8 26 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 11.9, -56.4
          GREEN
          		 9 26 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 290000 people 12.3, -57.7 Barbados
          GREEN
          		 10 26 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 370000 people 12.7, -58.8 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 11 27 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 680000 people 13.2, -59.7 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 12 27 Aug 2019 09:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 260000 people 13.5, -60.7 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
          GREEN
          		 13 27 Aug 2019 15:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 14.2, -61.8 Martinique
          GREEN
          		 14 27 Aug 2019 21:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 15.3, -62.5
          GREEN
          		 15 28 Aug 2019 03:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 16, -63
          GREEN
          		 15 28 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 3.6 million people 17, -64.5 Puerto Rico
          GREEN
          		 15 29 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 3.6 million people 18.5, -66.5 Puerto Rico
          GREEN
          		 15 29 Aug 2019 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 20.3, -68.1
          GREEN
          		 15 30 Aug 2019 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people no people 22.1, -69.6
          GREEN
          		 15 31 Aug 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people 13000 people 25.3, -72.7 Bahamas
          GREEN
          		 15 01 Sep 2019 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 4.2 million people 27.4, -76.8 United States
          GREEN
          		 15 02 Sep 2019 00:00 Category 1 120 no people no people 28.8, -81 United States
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.4 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Pastillo, Puerto Rico. This height is estimated for 28 Aug 2019 21:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (177 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 27 Aug 2019 21:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Pastillo Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Bizarreta Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Playita Cortada Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Buyones Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Boca Chica Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Capitanejo Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Las Ollas Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Quinta Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Santa Isabel Puerto Rico  0.4
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Clausells Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Ponce Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Altavista Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Calzada Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Santa Cruz Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Jauca Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Amalia Marin Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Las Ochenta Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Salinas Puerto Rico  0.3
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Tuque Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Camaceyes Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Arenales Puerto Rico  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Red Bay The Bahamas  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 San Antonio Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Green Hills Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Corazon Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Arroyo Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Buena Vista Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Palmas Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Providencia Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Caban Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Corrales Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Rafael Hernandez Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Jobos Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Esperanza Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Central Aguirre Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Coqui Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 San Felipe Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Lamboglia Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Recio Puerto Rico  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Hope Town The Bahamas  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Crown Haven The Bahamas  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 High Rocks The Bahamas  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Pelican Point The Bahamas  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 20:00 Parcelas Penuelas Puerto Rico  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Nicolls Town The Bahamas  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Punta Santiago Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Playa de Humacao Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Palmas del Mar Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Buena Vista Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Bajandas Puerto Rico  0.2
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Jobos Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Cerrillos Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Ponce de Leon Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Villa Benni Puerto Rico  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Hard Bargain The Bahamas  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 El Combate Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Pole Ojea Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Guaniquilla Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Boqueron Puerto Rico  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Cabo Rojo Puerto Rico  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 01:00 Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Marsh Harbour The Bahamas  0.2
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Norman Castle The Bahamas  0.2
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Ensenada Puerto Rico  0.2
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Oistins Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Gibbons Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Holetown Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Bridgetown Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Collins Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Bathsheba Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Speightstown Barbados  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 04:00 Mullins Bay Barbados  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Reunion Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Centro Puntas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Matias Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Aguada Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Conde Avila Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Delicias Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Isabela Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Belvedere Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Villodas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Guayanilla Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Magas Arriba Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Tallaboa Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Quebradillas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Centro Calvache Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 La Tosca Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 La Playa Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Cornelia Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 03:00 Mani Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Brisas de Mal Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Victoria Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Guanajibo Castillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Malecon Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Aguadilla Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Cuesta de las Piedras Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Mayagnez Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 La Soledad Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Sol y Mar Puerto Rico  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Great Guana Cay The Bahamas  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Rojo Cabo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 La Parguera Puerto Rico  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Anbre St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Soufriere St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Castries St. Lucia  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 12:00 Cap Estate St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Guayama Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Playita Machete Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Patillas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Palo Seco Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Maunabo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Emajagua Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Yabucoa Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 El Negro Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Comunas Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Playa de Guayanes Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Indios Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Guaypao Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Palomar Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Membrillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Islote Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Garrochales Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Barceloneta Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 La Boca Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Rincon Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Colonia Dolores Puerto Rico  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Wilson City The Bahamas  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Naguabo Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Estacion Botija Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Campamento Punta Lima Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 18:00 Daguao Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Betances Puerto Rico  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 20:00 The Bluff The Bahamas  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 11:00 Bosquet d'Or St. Lucia  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Maria Antonia Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Balneario de Cana Gorda Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Campamento Borinquen Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 22:00 Media Quijada Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 El Faro Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 21:00 Cambalache Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Camuy Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Hatillo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Las Corozas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 01:00 Coloso Puerto Rico  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 16:00 Governors Harbour The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 16:00 Colebrooke Dale The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 16:00 South Palmetto Point The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 16:00 Tarpum Head The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 16:00 Rock Sound The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 16:00 North Palmetto Point The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 16:00 Savannah Sound The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Cherokee Sound The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Crossing Rocks The Bahamas  0.1
          27 Aug 2019 10:00 Vieux Fort St. Lucia  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Alianza Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Lechuga Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Carrizales Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Corcovado Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Las Cunetas Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Barranca Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Arecibo Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Higuillales Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Jarealito Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 Domingo Ruiz Puerto Rico  0.1
          29 Aug 2019 00:00 La Luisa Puerto Rico  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Blackwood Village The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Fox Town The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Cedar Harbor The Bahamas  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 21:00 Cooper's Town The Bahamas  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 17:00 Aguas Claras Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 17:00 Ceiba Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 19:00 Roosevelt Roads Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 17:00 Hacienda Arcadia Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Fuig Puerto Rico  0.1
          28 Aug 2019 23:00 Guanica Puerto Rico  0.1
          31 Aug 2019 20:00 Lower Bogue The Bahamas  0.1