Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
21 Dec 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (21 Dec 22:30 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 54 km/h 0.4 m 100 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 61 km/h 0.5 m 431 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

61 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 21 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Dec 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 21 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmAustralia2,369 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia8,999,552
+
Indonesia8,853,717 
Papua New Guinea6,126 
Australia139,707 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia9,751,379
+
Indonesia9,345,639 
Papua New Guinea332,636 
Australia73,102 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Dec 2022 12:00 333 9 million
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Port Bonython, Australia. This height is estimated for 21 Dec 2022 22:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 21 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Port Bonython Australia  0.4
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Port Germein Australia  0.4
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Telowie Australia  0.4
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Port Pirie Australia  0.4
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Solomontown Australia  0.4
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Port Davis Australia  0.4
21 Dec 2022 17:00 Carrarang Australia  0.3
21 Dec 2022 22:00 Whyalla Australia  0.3
21 Dec 2022 17:00 Tamala Australia  0.3
21 Dec 2022 20:30 Port Broughton Australia  0.3
22 Dec 2022 00:00 Tickera Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Price Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Port Clinton Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Port Wakefield Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Wakefield Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Inkerman Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Ardrossan Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Parham Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Wallaroo Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Kalbarri Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:45 Denial Bay Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:45 Thevenard Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:45 Ceduna Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 23:30 Smoky Bay Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Port Hughes Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Warburto Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Port Moonta Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Moonta Bay Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:30 Moonta Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 23:15 Streaky Bay Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 23:15 Haslam Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Bing Bong Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 23:15 Cowell Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Port Prime Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:00 Pine Point Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 17:45 Port Gibbon Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 17:00 Magrath Flat Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 17:00 Woods Well Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 17:00 Salt Creek Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 00:00 Gregory Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 00:00 Lynton Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 00:00 Horrocks Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Semaphore Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Grange Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Largs Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Birkenhead Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Port Adelaide Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Seaton Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Glenelg Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Brighton Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Somerton Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Finsbury Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Saint Kilda Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Oaklands Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Sturt Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Darlington Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 19:45 Numbulwar Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 18:45 Port Julia Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Marino Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Halletts Cove Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Kingston Park Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Seacliff Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Seaview Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Port Elliot Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Middleton Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Goolwa Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Hindmarsh Island Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Port Noarlunga Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Noarlunga Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 17:30 Wyomi Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 17:30 Kingston Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 17:30 Kingston SE Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 17:30 Rosetown Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 23:30 Minjilang Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Moana Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:00 Seaford Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Wangary Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Encounter Bay Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Victor Harbour Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Hindmarsh Valley Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Rupari Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:15 Tulkineara Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Coobowie Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Edithburgh Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Wool Bay Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Stansbury Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Port Vincent Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:30 Drummond Cove Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:30 Popes Landing Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:45 Arno Bay Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:15 North Cape Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:15 Kingscote Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:15 Muston Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:15 American River Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Normanville Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Carrickalinga Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Yankalilla Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Silver Sands Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Port Willunga Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Aldinga Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Sellicks Hill Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 22:15 Balgowan Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:30 Waggrakine Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:30 Geraldton Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:30 Laura Bay Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 16:30 Port Neill Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:45 Tulka Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:45 Port Lincoln Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:45 North Shields Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:45 Poonindie Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:45 Louth Bay Australia  0.2
21 Dec 2022 15:45 Tumby Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 15:45 Tumby Bay Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Rapid Bay Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Second Valley Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 15:30 Greenough Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Red Cliffs Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Port Victoria Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 20:30 Corny Point Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 20:30 Point Soultar Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 20:30 Point Turton Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Alyangula Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 22:00 Grassy Flat Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 22:00 Penneshaw Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 15:30 Venus Bay Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 15:30 Port Kenny Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 16:00 Waitpinga Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Warooka Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Port Minlacowie Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Brentwood Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:45 Port Rickaby Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 Denison Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 Port Denison Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 Dongara Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 15:45 Elliston Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 16:45 Thangoo Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 17:00 Broome Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:15 Port Moorowie Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 The Palms Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Larrakeyah Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Fannie Bay Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Parap Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Darwin Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Nightcliff Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Ludmilla Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Bagot Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Leanyer Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 21:30 Berrimah Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:00 Vivonne Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 22:00 Wisanger Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 22:00 Emu Bay Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 Quinns Rock Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 North Beach Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 Scarborough Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Illawong Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Coolimba Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Two Rocks Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Yanchep Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Fremantle Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 North Fremantle Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Mosman Park Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Cottesloe Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 East Fremantle Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Coogee Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Swanbourne Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Claremont Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Spearwood Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Bicton Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 13:30 Cooktown Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 13:30 Elim Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 Seabird Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 Guilderton Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:45 Salt Lake Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:15 Leeman Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:00 Koodinga Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:15 Wattleup Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Blimbing Indonesia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Dadapan Indonesia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Banyuwangi Indonesia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Banjuwangi Indonesia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Soega Indonesia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Gilimanuk Indonesia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Penginoeman Indonesia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Belimbingsari Indonesia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 23:45 Tjandikesuma Indonesia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:15 Green Head Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:15 Lancelin Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 19:15 Ok Village Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Falcon Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Mandurah Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Peelhurst Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Singleton Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Karnup Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:30 Rockingham Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 16:00 Sceale Bay Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 16:00 Toorna Park Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 15:00 Safety Bay Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 15:00 Warnbro Australia  0.1
21 Dec 2022 14:15 Jurien Australia  0.1