Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ELLIE-22
in Australia
22 Dec 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELLIE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Indonesia, Australia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (23 Dec 12:45 UTC)
Vulnerability Low (Australia)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.6 m 133 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 72 km/h 0.5 m 548 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

72 km/h

Up to 70 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndonesia, Australia73,515
+
Indonesia69,558 
Australia3,957 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 101 -
- - - - - Indonesia, Australia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia, Australia297,239
+
Indonesia293,943 
Australia3,296 
100-250 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia12,720,584
+
Indonesia12,698,724 
Papua New Guinea593 
Australia21,265 
50-100 mmIndonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia13,629,926
+
Indonesia12,639,069 
Papua New Guinea838,563 
Australia152,293 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Dec 2022 06:00 632 13 million
- - - Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, Australia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Port Bonython, Australia. This height is estimated for 23 Dec 2022 12:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 22 Dec 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Bonython Australia  0.6
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Germein Australia  0.6
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Telowie Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Pirie Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Solomontown Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Davis Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 The Palms Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Larrakeyah Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Fannie Bay Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Parap Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Darwin Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Nightcliff Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Ludmilla Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Bagot Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Leanyer Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Knuckeys Lagoon Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 22:30 Berrimah Australia  0.5
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Whyalla Australia  0.5
22 Dec 2022 11:15 Carrarang Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 11:15 Tamala Australia  0.4
23 Dec 2022 14:00 Port Broughton Australia  0.4
22 Dec 2022 13:15 Bing Bong Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Tickera Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Kalbarri Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 03:45 Haslam Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 03:45 Streaky Bay Australia  0.3
23 Dec 2022 13:00 Wallaroo Australia  0.3
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Karumba Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Warburto Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 11:45 Cowell Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Gregory Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Price Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Port Clinton Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Port Wakefield Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Wakefield Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Inkerman Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 11:30 Port Gibbon Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Hughes Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Moonta Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Moonta Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 12:45 Moonta Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Ardrossan Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:00 Lynton Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:45 Smoky Bay Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:45 Parham Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Horrocks Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:15 Gribble Settlement Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 04:45 Numbulwar Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:45 Port Prime Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 19:00 Wyomi Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 19:00 Kingston Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 19:00 Kingston SE Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 19:00 Rosetown Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:30 Pine Point Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 02:00 Salebe Indonesia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 09:30 Drummond Cove Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 09:30 Popes Landing Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 09:30 Geraldton Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 09:30 Waggrakine Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Denial Bay Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Thevenard Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Ceduna Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:45 Magrath Flat Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:45 Woods Well Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:45 Salt Creek Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 12:30 Port Julia Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 16:00 Minjilang Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 10:45 Arno Bay Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Greenough Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:15 Port Neill Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Learmonth Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 14:00 Pagatan Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 14:00 Pematangdoerian Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 14:00 Semisir Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 14:00 Tandjungserdang Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 14:00 Salinau Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:30 Tulkineara Australia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 01:45 Modan Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Matara Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Urum Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Merauke Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Sarire Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Daub Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Tamarike Indonesia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Denison Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Port Denison Australia  0.2
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Dongara Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:00 Anansai Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:00 Wendu Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:30 Tungkaranasam Indonesia  0.2
24 Dec 2022 16:30 Sekapoeng Indonesia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 03:30 Port Elliot Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 03:30 Middleton Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 03:30 Goolwa Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 03:30 Hindmarsh Island Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Onggalie Indonesia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Kumbe Indonesia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 03:30 Encounter Bay Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 03:30 Victor Harbour Australia  0.2
25 Dec 2022 03:30 Hindmarsh Valley Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 10:45 Carnarvon Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 03:30 Laura Bay Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Rupari Australia  0.2
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Useless Loop Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 18:30 Tamerau Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:45 Derby Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:15 Alatepi Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:15 Kotad Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:15 Dumande Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:15 Kandala Jawal Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:15 Wamal Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:15 Gelib Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:30 Alakoe Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Kualalupak Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Tamban Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Aluhaluh Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:45 Tambakkarangan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:15 Pagetan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:15 Tabanio Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 06:15 Bawahalajung Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 18:00 Waitpinga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:30 Largs Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:30 Saint Kilda Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Moegaigare Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:15 Kobiem Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:15 Okaba Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Safety Bay Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Rockingham Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Warnbro Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Peelhurst Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Singleton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Karnup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 21:30 Wattleup Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 12:30 Denham Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 10:30 Pagatan Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Broome Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Thangoo Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:15 Shark Bay Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Port Vincent Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:15 Dokib Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:00 Tumby Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:00 Tumby Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Papisote Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:00 Welab Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:15 Monkey Mia Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:15 Dodalim Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:15 Yulbabuti Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 11:45 Taroea Anim Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 19:45 Wangary Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Semaphore Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Birkenhead Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Port Adelaide Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Seaton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:15 Finsbury Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 08:45 Illawong Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:15 Heits Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Falcon Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 13:00 Mandurah Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Fremantle Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 North Fremantle Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Mosman Park Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Cottesloe Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 East Fremantle Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Coogee Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Peppermint Grove Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Swanbourne Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Claremont Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Spearwood Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Bicton Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 09:45 Sanindara Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:00 North Shields Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:00 Poonindie Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:00 Louth Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Rapid Bay Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Second Valley Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:00 Tapianbalai Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:00 Semaras Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 13:00 Okaoka Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Per Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Amborip Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Biwarlaut Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 13:45 Jow Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 18:15 Barattar Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 12:15 Soeam Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 16:45 Balgowan Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:30 Exmouth Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:30 Stansbury Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:30 Jurien Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:30 Cervantes Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Quinns Rock Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Mullalloo Beach Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 North Beach Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Scarborough Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:15 Alyangula Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Port Lincoln Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Binningup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Myalup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Burragenup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Australind Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Dalyellup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Bunbury Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Picton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Eaton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Guilderton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Two Rocks Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:30 Komoran Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:00 Lancelin Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Tulka Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 08:15 Leeman Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 08:15 Coolimba Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:00 Yanchep Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 12:00 Grange Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Glenelg Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Brighton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Somerton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Oaklands Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Sturt Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:15 Darlington Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:00 Onslow Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 12:30 Sanrabone Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 12:30 Tamalaba Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 12:30 Bisali Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Tugara Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Bamio Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Orapoi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Oropai Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Buniki Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Bina No 1 Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Maipani Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Bunigi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Giwaretore Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Ibou Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Mapoi'a Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 22:00 Cape York Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 22:00 Ok Village Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Vasse Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Broadwater Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Busselton Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Wonnerup Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Ludlow Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Coobowie Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Edithburgh Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Wool Bay Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 12:45 Otsjanep Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 15:15 Birab Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 23:30 Seabird Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Marino Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Halletts Cove Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Kingston Park Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Seacliff Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Seaview Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Green Head Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Amagoa Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Segero Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Dibiri Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Gesco Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Tirere Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 11:00 Dameramuda Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Port Noarlunga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Noarlunga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Moana Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Seaford Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:15 Jofar Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 14:15 Agats Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 18:00 Langadai Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 18:00 Sembelimbingan Indonesia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Hamelin Pool Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 17:45 Hamelin Australia  0.1
23 Dec 2022 00:30 Eyre Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:15 Pai-a Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:15 Moinamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:15 Namaituri Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:15 Goari Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:15 Maubi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:15 Ubua Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:15 Dopima Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:15 Apeawa Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 10:15 Babai Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Tais Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Deeral Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:30 Bellenden Ker Australia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 18:00 Batakam Indonesia  0.1
24 Dec 2022 18:00 Kandangan Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Port Willunga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 14:45 Aldinga Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Veraibari Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Mirimairau Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Uramu I Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Kaivu Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Mairipepea Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Moravamu Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Kamaua Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:45 Mira Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:00 Boigu Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 15:00 Bugi Papua New Guinea  0.1
22 Dec 2022 17:00 Red Cliffs Australia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Tenau Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Namosain Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Kupang Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Poeloedae Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Soelamoe Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Maoelafa Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Pitai Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Manikin Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Pariti Indonesia  0.1
25 Dec 2022 01:00 Naimoeti Indonesia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Venus Bay Australia  0.1
22 Dec 2022 09:15 Port Kenny Australia  0.1