Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FENGSHEN-19
Off-shore
18 Nov 2019 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FENGSHEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 227 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (20 Nov 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 227 km/h 0.2 m 299 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 227 km/h 0.2 m 299 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Nov 2019 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 11 Nov 2019 18:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Nov 2019 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 12 Nov 2019 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 12 Nov 2019 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 13 Nov 2019 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 13 Nov 2019 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 13 Nov 2019 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 13 Nov 2019 18:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 14 Nov 2019 00:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 14 Nov 2019 06:00 119 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 14 Nov 2019 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 14 Nov 2019 18:00 140 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 15 Nov 2019 00:00 144 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 15 Nov 2019 06:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 15 Nov 2019 12:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 15 Nov 2019 18:00 169 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 16 Nov 2019 00:00 166 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 16 Nov 2019 06:00 191 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 16 Nov 2019 12:00 173 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 16 Nov 2019 18:00 216 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 17 Nov 2019 00:00 227 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 17 Nov 2019 06:00 148 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 17 Nov 2019 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 26 17 Nov 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 27 18 Nov 2019 00:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 28 18 Nov 2019 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

299 mm

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmFederated States of Micronesia10,901 
50-100 mmNorthern Mariana Islands, Marshall Islands11,813
+
Northern Mariana Islands2,414 
Marshall Islands9,399 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Nov 2019 12:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 11 Nov 2019 18:00 87 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Nov 2019 06:00 98 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 12 Nov 2019 12:00 156 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 12 Nov 2019 18:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 13 Nov 2019 00:00 194 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 13 Nov 2019 06:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 13 Nov 2019 12:00 42 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 13 Nov 2019 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 14 Nov 2019 00:00 72 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 14 Nov 2019 06:00 57 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 14 Nov 2019 12:00 95 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 14 Nov 2019 18:00 106 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 15 Nov 2019 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 15 Nov 2019 06:00 100 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 15 Nov 2019 12:00 206 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 15 Nov 2019 18:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 16 Nov 2019 00:00 172 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 16 Nov 2019 06:00 169 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 16 Nov 2019 12:00 127 - - - - - - -
Blue 22 16 Nov 2019 18:00 148 - - - - - - -
Blue 23 17 Nov 2019 00:00 77 - - - - - - -
Blue 24 17 Nov 2019 06:00 97 - - - - - - -
Blue 25 17 Nov 2019 12:00 29 - - - - - - -
Blue 26 17 Nov 2019 18:00 26 - - - - - - -
Blue 27 18 Nov 2019 00:00 40 - - - - - - -
Blue 28 18 Nov 2019 06:00 130 -
- - - - - Federated States of Micronesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Colonia, Micronesia. This height is estimated for 20 Nov 2019 23:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 18 Nov 2019 06:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
20 Nov 2019 23:30 Colonia Micronesia  0.2
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Talofofo Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Ylig Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Sinajana Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Yona Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Camp Quezon Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Perez Acres Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Gayinero Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 South Acres Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Asbeco Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Adacao Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Ipapao Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Inarajan Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Hagatna Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Mongmong Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Tamuning Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Barrigada Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Piti Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Upi Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Asatdas Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Lupog Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Harmon Village Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Oceanview Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Dededo Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Potts Junction Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Asan Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Umatac Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Merizo Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Agat Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Camp Bright Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Santa Rita Guam  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:45 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
20 Nov 2019 16:30 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
15 Nov 2019 19:45 Higashi Japan  0.1
14 Nov 2019 18:30 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.1
14 Nov 2019 18:30 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.1