Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MANDOUS-22
in India, Sri Lanka
09 Dec 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MANDOUS-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries India
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (09 Dec 21:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (India)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 76 km/h 0.4 m 155 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 137 km/h 0.5 m 700 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

137 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormIndia166 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 07 Dec 2022 18:00 137 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 08 Dec 2022 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 08 Dec 2022 06:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 08 Dec 2022 12:00 126 -
- - - - - Sri Lanka
GREEN 5 08 Dec 2022 18:00 115 -
- - - - - Sri Lanka
GREEN 6 09 Dec 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Sri Lanka
GREEN 7 09 Dec 2022 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 09 Dec 2022 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 09 Dec 2022 18:00 76 -
- - - - - India
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 09 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmIndonesia29 
100-250 mmIndia, Indonesia4,700,051
+
India2,736,711 
Indonesia1,963,339 
50-100 mmIndia, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Indonesia, Maldives35,597,865
+
India28,908,041 
Sri Lanka125,246 
Thailand21 
Indonesia6,547,508 
Maldives17,048 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 07 Dec 2022 18:00 259 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 08 Dec 2022 00:00 197 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 08 Dec 2022 06:00 239 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 08 Dec 2022 12:00 165 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 08 Dec 2022 18:00 121 100 thousand
- - - - Sri Lanka
Blue 6 09 Dec 2022 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 09 Dec 2022 06:00 71 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 09 Dec 2022 12:00 66 -
- - - - - India
Blue 9 09 Dec 2022 18:00 380 4.7 million
- - - India, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Indonesia, Maldives




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Durgarajupatnam, India. This height is estimated for 09 Dec 2022 21:30 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 09 Dec 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Dec 2022 21:30 Durgarajupatnam India  0.4
09 Dec 2022 18:15 Pooneryn Sri Lanka  0.3
09 Dec 2022 18:15 Aliavalai Sri Lanka  0.3
09 Dec 2022 19:00 Therunattam India  0.3
09 Dec 2022 18:00 Kavutarimunai Sri Lanka  0.3
09 Dec 2022 18:00 Nawaladi Sri Lanka  0.3
09 Dec 2022 18:00 Idaikkadu Sri Lanka  0.3
09 Dec 2022 18:00 Ampan Sri Lanka  0.3
10 Dec 2022 00:00 Vatturupallepalem India  0.3
09 Dec 2022 18:45 Kelambakkam India  0.2
09 Dec 2022 18:45 Saint Thomas Mount India  0.2
09 Dec 2022 18:45 Madhavaram India  0.2
09 Dec 2022 18:45 Chennai India  0.2
09 Dec 2022 18:30 Ennore India  0.2
09 Dec 2022 18:45 Tiruvottiyur India  0.2
09 Dec 2022 19:15 Mahabalipuram India  0.2
09 Dec 2022 18:45 Kuvattur India  0.2
10 Dec 2022 00:00 Laboehanroekoe Indonesia  0.2
09 Dec 2022 23:15 Soengaipariok Indonesia  0.2
09 Dec 2022 23:15 Pangkalan Dodek Indonesia  0.2
09 Dec 2022 23:00 Sialang Buah Indonesia  0.1
09 Dec 2022 23:00 Tanjungberingin Indonesia  0.1
09 Dec 2022 19:30 Kodur India  0.1
10 Dec 2022 00:00 Kotapari Indonesia  0.1
09 Dec 2022 23:30 Govundlapalem India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 18:30 Kakinada India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 19:15 Marakkanam India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 23:15 Chakicherla India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 23:00 Ullapalem India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 23:00 Pakala India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 22:00 Belawan Indonesia  0.1
09 Dec 2022 21:30 Kambhat India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 21:30 Kavi India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 21:30 Sarod India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 23:45 Kottapatnam India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 21:30 Wadgam India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 23:30 Belingru Indonesia  0.1
09 Dec 2022 23:00 Selotong 2 Indonesia  0.1
09 Dec 2022 23:15 Oedjoengdamak Indonesia  0.1
10 Dec 2022 00:00 Boekitkoeboe Indonesia  0.1
10 Dec 2022 00:00 Pangkalansusu Indonesia  0.1
10 Dec 2022 00:00 Poelaukampai Indonesia  0.1
09 Dec 2022 20:45 Tiruchendur India  0.1
09 Dec 2022 20:45 Kayalpatnam India  0.1