Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENALA-23
Off-shore
28 Feb 2023 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENALA-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 209 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.8 m (21 Feb 13:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 209 km/h 0.8 m 869 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 209 km/h 0.8 m 869 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2023 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 21 Feb 2023 12:00 209 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Feb 2023 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Feb 2023 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 23 Feb 2023 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Feb 2023 12:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 24 Feb 2023 00:00 122 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 24 Feb 2023 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 25 Feb 2023 00:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 25 Feb 2023 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 26 Feb 2023 00:00 112 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 26 Feb 2023 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 27 Feb 2023 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 27 Feb 2023 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 28 Feb 2023 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 28 Feb 2023 12:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

869 mm

Up to 100 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2023 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMadagascar, Reunion100,754
+
Madagascar100,444 
Reunion310 
50-100 mmMadagascar, Reunion2,282,850
+
Madagascar2,166,347 
Reunion116,502 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 21 Feb 2023 12:00 289 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Feb 2023 00:00 121 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Feb 2023 12:00 115 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 23 Feb 2023 00:00 105 -
- - - - - Madagascar
Blue 5 23 Feb 2023 12:00 154 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 24 Feb 2023 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 24 Feb 2023 12:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 25 Feb 2023 00:00 129 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 25 Feb 2023 12:00 177 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 26 Feb 2023 00:00 111 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 26 Feb 2023 12:00 133 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 27 Feb 2023 00:00 195 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 27 Feb 2023 12:00 229 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 28 Feb 2023 00:00 215 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 28 Feb 2023 12:00 493 -
- - - - - Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

0.8 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.8m in Ambohidara, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 21 Feb 2023 13:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2023 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
LevelCountryPopulation 
0.5 - 1.0 mMadagascar18,058 
0.25 - 0.5 mSeychelles, Madagascar107,334
+
Seychelles12,560 
Madagascar94,774 

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 28 Feb 2023 12:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
21 Feb 2023 13:45 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.8
21 Feb 2023 13:45 Marosiky Madagascar  0.8
21 Feb 2023 14:15 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.6
21 Feb 2023 14:15 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.6
21 Feb 2023 14:15 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.6
21 Feb 2023 14:15 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.6
21 Feb 2023 12:45 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.6
21 Feb 2023 15:30 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 15:30 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 20:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 21:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.5
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.5
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.5
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Mangaoka Madagascar  0.5
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.5
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 18:15 Vohilava Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 12:45 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 12:45 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 12:45 Vavony Madagascar  0.5
23 Feb 2023 23:30 Fararano Madagascar  0.5
23 Feb 2023 23:30 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.5
23 Feb 2023 23:30 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.5
23 Feb 2023 23:30 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 17:45 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 17:45 Manompana Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 14:15 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 16:15 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 16:15 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 16:15 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 04:45 Ampasina Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 04:45 Antakobola Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Maniroka Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 04:30 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 Anse Volbert Village Seychelles  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 La Reunion Seychelles  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 Voloina Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 Manambia Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.5
21 Feb 2023 17:30 Vatobe Madagascar  0.5
22 Feb 2023 05:15 Benjana Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 04:15 Andringahely Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 04:15 Ampisikanana Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 01:15 Victoria Seychelles  0.4
24 Feb 2023 01:15 Anse Boileau Seychelles  0.4
21 Feb 2023 20:15 Ampaha Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 20:15 Andrapengy Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 20:15 Ambinany Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 20:15 Antalaha Madagascar  0.4
23 Feb 2023 13:30 Rantabe Madagascar  0.4
23 Feb 2023 13:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 05:45 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.4
23 Feb 2023 13:45 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 17:30 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 08:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 08:00 Antongompatatra Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 08:00 Bemanevika Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 08:00 Ampana Kanana Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Antsisikala Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Antsahalalina Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Andranovondronina Madagascar  0.4
24 Feb 2023 00:00 Betsimiranja Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 03:45 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 03:45 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 03:45 Anoromby Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 03:45 Fananehana Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 03:45 Tampolo Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 03:45 Mananara Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 04:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 04:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 04:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 04:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 19:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 14:30 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 14:30 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 14:30 Tamatave Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 14:30 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 14:30 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 21:15 Fenerive Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 21:15 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 21:15 Mahambo Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 21:15 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 21:15 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 21:15 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 19:45 Antsirabato Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 19:45 Anjahamarina Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 19:45 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.4
22 Feb 2023 03:45 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 17:30 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 17:30 Manambato Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 13:30 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.4
21 Feb 2023 13:30 Taratasy Madagascar  0.4
23 Feb 2023 13:30 Antalavia Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 03:30 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 15:15 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 14:15 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 04:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.3
22 Feb 2023 04:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 00:45 Lotsohina Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 00:45 Ambatonjanahary Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 00:45 Ambinanililabe Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 00:45 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 01:15 Irodo Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 01:15 Ambaritsatrana Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 01:15 Ampondrabe Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 01:15 Lokia Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 14:15 Andasoa Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 14:15 Amoronjia-Orangea Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 14:15 Ampasindava Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 14:15 Ampondrahazo Madagascar  0.3
23 Feb 2023 14:15 Ambolobozokely Madagascar  0.3
24 Feb 2023 00:30 Antseranana Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 16:45 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 19:30 Farahalana Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 19:30 Amborimalana Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 19:30 Ambodipont-Sahana Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 19:30 Antohamaro Madagascar  0.3
21 Feb 2023 18:30 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 18:30 Ambanjsondriry Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 18:30 Masondrono Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 19:45 Antanambao Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 19:45 Andrafiamadinika Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 19:45 Ampondra Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 19:45 Vohemar Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 19:45 Amboanio Madagascar  0.2
22 Feb 2023 06:15 Antsahotompy Madagascar  0.2
24 Feb 2023 01:00 Ambatoharanana Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 19:30 Sambava Madagascar  0.2
21 Feb 2023 14:00 Saint-Paul Reunion  0.2
21 Feb 2023 14:00 Saint-Leu Reunion  0.2
21 Feb 2023 14:00 Trois Bassins Reunion  0.2
21 Feb 2023 14:00 Le Port Reunion  0.2
21 Feb 2023 14:00 La Possession Reunion  0.2
24 Feb 2023 13:45 Riviere du Rempart Mauritius  0.2
24 Feb 2023 13:45 Maheboug Mauritius  0.2
24 Feb 2023 13:45 Grande Reviere Sud Est Mauritius  0.2
22 Feb 2023 19:15 Saint-Denis Reunion  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 Point Marianne British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
23 Feb 2023 00:30 East Point Plantation British Indian Ocean Territory  0.2
24 Feb 2023 14:15 Port Mathurin Mauritius  0.2
22 Feb 2023 19:15 Trou aux Biches Mauritius  0.2
22 Feb 2023 19:15 Saint-Antoine Mauritius  0.2
24 Feb 2023 13:30 La Ferme Mauritius  0.2
24 Feb 2023 13:45 Saint-Marie Reunion  0.2
24 Feb 2023 13:45 Sainte-Suzanne Reunion  0.2
24 Feb 2023 13:45 Saint-Andre Reunion  0.2
24 Feb 2023 13:45 Bras-Panon Reunion  0.2
24 Feb 2023 13:45 Saint-Benoit Reunion  0.2
21 Feb 2023 13:15 Les Avirons Reunion  0.1
21 Feb 2023 13:15 Etang Sale Reunion  0.1
21 Feb 2023 13:15 Saint-Louis Reunion  0.1
21 Feb 2023 13:15 Saint-Pierre Reunion  0.1
21 Feb 2023 13:15 Petite Ile Reunion  0.1
21 Feb 2023 13:15 Saint-Joseph Reunion  0.1
22 Feb 2023 19:00 Saint-Philippe Reunion  0.1
24 Feb 2023 13:00 Port Louis Mauritius  0.1
21 Feb 2023 16:45 Sainte-Rose Reunion  0.1
21 Feb 2023 16:45 Cascades Reunion  0.1
24 Feb 2023 14:00 Black River Mauritius  0.1
22 Feb 2023 19:15 Choisy Mauritius  0.1
22 Feb 2023 19:15 Chemin Grenier Mauritius  0.1
22 Feb 2023 19:15 Souillac Mauritius  0.1