Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for KEVIN-23
in Vanuatu
05 Mar 2023 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone KEVIN-23 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 248 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability Medium (Vanuatu)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 248 km/h n.a. 820 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 248 km/h n.a. 820 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Mar 2023 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 01 Mar 2023 18:00 126 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
GREEN 2 02 Mar 2023 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
GREEN 3 02 Mar 2023 06:00 112 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
GREEN 4 02 Mar 2023 12:00 133 -
- - - - - Vanuatu, New Caledonia
GREEN 5 02 Mar 2023 18:00 140 -
- - - - - Vanuatu
GREEN 6 03 Mar 2023 00:00 140 5 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
GREEN 7 03 Mar 2023 06:00 133 10 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
GREEN 8 03 Mar 2023 12:00 137 1 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
GREEN 9 03 Mar 2023 18:00 176 Few people
- - - Vanuatu, New Caledonia
GREEN 10 04 Mar 2023 00:00 241 Few people
- - - - Vanuatu, New Caledonia
GREEN 11 04 Mar 2023 06:00 248 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
GREEN 12 04 Mar 2023 12:00 202 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 04 Mar 2023 18:00 198 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 05 Mar 2023 00:00 151 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 05 Mar 2023 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 05 Mar 2023 12:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 05 Mar 2023 18:00 94 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall

820 mm

No people can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (greater than 50mm) based on the bulletin of 05 Mar 2023 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 01 Mar 2023 18:00 521 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 02 Mar 2023 00:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 02 Mar 2023 06:00 212 Few people
- - - - Vanuatu
Blue 4 02 Mar 2023 12:00 308 20 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
Blue 5 02 Mar 2023 18:00 225 20 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
Blue 6 03 Mar 2023 00:00 272 40 thousand
- - - Vanuatu
Blue 7 03 Mar 2023 06:00 219 90 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
Blue 8 03 Mar 2023 12:00 125 5 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
Blue 9 03 Mar 2023 18:00 193 10 thousand
- - - - Vanuatu
Blue 10 04 Mar 2023 00:00 219 Few people -
- - - - New Caledonia
Blue 11 04 Mar 2023 06:00 296 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 04 Mar 2023 12:00 167 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 04 Mar 2023 18:00 207 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 05 Mar 2023 00:00 239 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 05 Mar 2023 06:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 05 Mar 2023 12:00 45 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 05 Mar 2023 18:00 354 - - - - - - -




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Mar 2023 18:00 UTC (Overall situation)
    

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