Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for THIRTEEN-22
Off-shore
31 Aug 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone THIRTEEN-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (31 Aug 10:30 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 176 km/h 0.5 m 194 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 223 km/h 1.0 m 826 mm 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

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Wind



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan990,734 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Aug 2022 18:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Aug 2022 00:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Aug 2022 06:00 223 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall

826 mm

Up to 130 thousand can be affected by rain higher than 100mm (see SSHS)





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmJapan1,211 
100-250 mmJapan, Taiwan128,327
+
Japan83,695 
Taiwan44,631 
50-100 mmJapan, Taiwan1,116,378
+
Japan508,797 
Taiwan607,581 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Aug 2022 18:00 471 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Aug 2022 00:00 384 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Aug 2022 06:00 1004 130 thousand
- - - Japan, Taiwan




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.5 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Aug 2022 06:00 UTC