Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for NORU-22
in Viet Nam, Laos, Philippines

Global Telecommunication Service

GTS (Global Telecommunication Service) is the official Warning and Alerting channel by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) adopted by several Warning Organizations. As soon as a new GTS message regarding Tropical Cyclones(WT) or Tsunami(WE) the messages are processed and possibly assigned to the specific event. When a new GTS message is present an new tab in the specific event report page is present.The presence of a GTS message is shown in the homepage with a dedicated icon.

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Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 281200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 22
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 281200UTC 15.7N 104.2E
MOVEMENT W 14KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 281200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 281200UTC 16N 105E
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 996HPA =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 280900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280900UTC 15.9N 105.3E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 270NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 282100UTC 16.0N 104.5E 30NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 290900UTC 16.4N 102.6E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 280600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.25 FOR TS 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TS NORU IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 15.9N, 107.3E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS FAIR. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
990HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 45KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN
AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. IT HAS ALSO WEAKENED RAPIDLY
DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS. INFORMATION
ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE DISAPPEARANCE
OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT12. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 280600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 21
NAME 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 280600UTC 15.7N 106.0E
MOVEMENT W 17KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 281800UTC 15.9N 104.5E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 280600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 2216 NORU (2216) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280600UTC 15.9N 107.3E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 270NM NORTH 150NM SOUTH
FORECAST
12HF 281800UTC 16.1N 105.1E 30NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION
24HF 290600UTC 16.4N 103.1E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 280600
WARNING 280600.
WARNING VALID 290600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL STORM 2216 NORU (2216) DOWNGRADED FROM SEVERE TROPICAL STORM
990 HPA
AT 15.9N 107.3E LAOS MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 270 MILES NORTH SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 16.1N 105.1E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 16.4N 103.1E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 280445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 280300 UTC, TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
970 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ZERO SEVEN
POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 65 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (103.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 280300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280300UTC 15.9N 107.5E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 281500UTC 16.1N 105.5E 30NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 290300UTC 16.2N 103.6E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 280300
WARNING 280300.
WARNING VALID 290300.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2216 NORU (2216) 985 HPA
AT 15.9N 107.5E VIETNAM MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 16.1N 105.5E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290300UTC AT 16.2N 103.6E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 280300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280300UTC 15.9N 107.5E FAIR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 290300UTC 16.2N 103.6E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 280300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220928012902
2022092800 18W NORU 025 02 270 12 SATL 040
T000 160N 1078E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 162N 1058E 055 R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 090 NW QD
T024 164N 1038E 035
T036 167N 1019E 020
AMP 000HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 025
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 16.0N 107.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 107.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.2N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.4N 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.7N 101.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 107.3E.
28SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 29 NM WEST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED RADAR DATA CONFIRMS THAT TY 18W MADE LANDFALL
JUST SOUTH OF DA NANG, VIETNAM AT 272100Z AND HAS SINCE RAPIDLY
MOVED INLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION STILL PERSISTING, HOWEVER, IS
INCREASINGLY BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE MSI, ANIMATED
RADAR DATA, AND ANALYSIS OF WIND OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE REGION
PROVIDED HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE INTIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 80 KNOTS IS ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED
ON AN RJTD OVER LAND DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.0,
AND MSLP OBSERVATIONS SURROUNDING THE CENTER REPORTING 986MB.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY INLAND TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH AND ULTIMATELY DISSIPATING
OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA NO LATER THAN TAU 36. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOIN TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092712 158N1103E 105
1822092712 158N1103E 105
1822092712 158N1103E 105
1822092718 160N1090E 95
1822092718 160N1090E 95
1822092718 160N1090E 95
1822092800 160N1078E 80
1822092800 160N1078E 80
1822092800 160N1078E 80
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 280300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 025//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 025
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
280000Z --- NEAR 16.0N 107.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 107.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.2N 105.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.4N 103.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.7N 101.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
280300Z POSITION NEAR 16.1N 107.3E.
28SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 29 NM WEST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. ANIMATED RADAR DATA CONFIRMS THAT TY 18W MADE LANDFALL
JUST SOUTH OF DA NANG, VIETNAM AT 272100Z AND HAS SINCE RAPIDLY
MOVED INLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI)
DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION STILL PERSISTING, HOWEVER, IS
INCREASINGLY BEING SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE MSI, ANIMATED RADAR
DATA, AND ANALYSIS OF WIND OBSERVATIONS ACROSS THE REGION PROVIDED
HIGH CONFIDENCE TO THE INTIAL POSITION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF
80 KNOTS IS ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON AN RJTD
OVER LAND DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF T5.0, AND MSLP
OBSERVATIONS SURROUNDING THE CENTER REPORTING 986MB.
THE SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY INLAND TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYER
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTH AND ULTIMATELY DISSIPATING
OVER SOUTHEAST ASIA NO LATER THAN TAU 36. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOIN TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (KULAP) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 280000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.24 FOR STS 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
STS NORU IS LOCATED ON LAND AT 15.9N, 107.6E. INFORMATION ON THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
975HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 55KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN
AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
REDUCED TCHP, STRONG VWS AND LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTERS
AROUND THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH LOW TCHP, STRONG VWS AND LAND. THE SYSTEM WILL
WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT24. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON
A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 280000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 20
NAME 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 280000UTC 15.8N 107.7E
MOVEMENT WSW 10KT
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 281200UTC 16.0N 106.0E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 290000UTC 16.3N 104.2E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 280000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2216 NORU (2216) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280000UTC 15.9N 107.6E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 281200UTC 16.0N 105.8E 30NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
24HF 290000UTC 16.2N 104.0E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 280000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2216 NORU (2216) DOWNGRADED FROM TY
ANALYSIS
PSTN 280000UTC 15.9N 107.6E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 290000UTC 16.2N 104.0E 42NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 280000
WARNING 280000.
WARNING VALID 290000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
STORM WARNING.
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 2216 NORU (2216) DOWNGRADED FROM TYPHOON 975
HPA
AT 15.9N 107.6E VIETNAM MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 55 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 16.0N 105.8E WITH 30 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 16.2N 104.0E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 272245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 272100 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 950 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE
ZERO EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (108.2 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 85 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 282100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (104.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 292100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 272100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 272100UTC 16.1N 108.6E GOOD
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 280900UTC 15.9N 106.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 282100UTC 16.3N 104.6E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 272100
WARNING 272100.
WARNING VALID 282100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 965 HPA
AT 16.1N 108.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 60 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 15.9N 106.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 282100UTC AT 16.3N 104.6E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 272100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 272100UTC 16.1N 108.6E GOOD
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 60NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 282100UTC 16.3N 104.6E 50NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 271800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.23 FOR TY 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NORU IS LOCATED AT 16.1N, 108.8E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 80KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT24 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 272100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220927191010
2022092718 18W NORU 024 02 280 13 SATL 060
T000 160N 1090E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 161N 1072E 070 R064 015 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 060 SE QD 030 SW QD 110 NW QD
T024 163N 1051E 040 R034 080 NE QD 060 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD
T036 166N 1031E 030
T048 169N 1011E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 024
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 024
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 16.0N 109.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 109.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.1N 107.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.3N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.6N 103.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 16.9N 101.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 108.5E.
27SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 43 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092712 158N1103E 105
1822092712 158N1103E 105
1822092712 158N1103E 105
1822092718 160N1090E 95
1822092718 160N1090E 95
1822092718 160N1090E 95
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 271800 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE
ZERO EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (108.9 E) AND IS
FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (105.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 272100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 024
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271800Z --- NEAR 16.0N 109.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.0N 109.0E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.1N 107.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.3N 105.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.6N 103.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 16.9N 101.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
272100Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 108.5E. 27SEP22.
TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 40 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 13 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271800Z IS 43 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 280300Z, 280900Z, 281500Z AND 282100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (KULAP) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 271800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 19
NAME 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 271800UTC 15.9N 108.8E
MOVEMENT W 11KT
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 280600UTC 15.9N 106.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
24HR
POSITION 281800UTC 16.1N 105.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
36HR
POSITION 290600UTC 16.5N 103.4E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 25KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 271800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271800UTC 16.1N 108.8E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 280600UTC 15.9N 106.8E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
24HF 281800UTC 16.1N 105.0E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 271800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271800UTC 16.1N 108.8E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 281800UTC 16.1N 105.0E 80NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 271800
WARNING 271800.
WARNING VALID 281800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 955 HPA
AT 16.1N 108.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 15.9N 106.8E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
990 HPA, MAX WINDS 50 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 16.1N 105.0E WITH 80 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 271500 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE
ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 271500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271500UTC 15.9N 109.6E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 280300UTC 15.9N 107.1E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 281500UTC 16.0N 105.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 291200UTC 16.4N 102.7E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 271500
WARNING 271500.
WARNING VALID 281500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 950 HPA
AT 15.9N 109.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 15.9N 107.1E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281500UTC AT 16.0N 105.5E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 271500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271500UTC 15.9N 109.6E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 281500UTC 16.0N 105.5E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
45HF 291200UTC 16.4N 102.7E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 271500
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220927131025
2022092712 18W NORU 023 01 285 09 SATL 060
T000 158N 1103E 105 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 161N 1082E 090 R064 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 060 SE QD 055 SW QD 120 NW QD
T024 162N 1061E 050 R050 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 070 NW QD
T036 164N 1042E 030
T048 167N 1023E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 023
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 15.8N 110.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 110.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.1N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.2N 106.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.4N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.7N 102.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 109.8E.
27SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 116 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092712 158N1103E 105
1822092712 158N1103E 105
1822092712 158N1103E 105
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 271500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 023
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
271200Z --- NEAR 15.8N 110.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.8N 110.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.1N 108.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.2N 106.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.4N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.7N 102.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
271500Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 109.8E.
27SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 116 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 271200Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 272100Z, 280300Z, 280900Z AND 281500Z.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.22 FOR TY 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NORU IS LOCATED AT 15.8N, 110E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND LAND. THIS HAS
CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD
CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE
CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR UNTIL FT12 BUT LOW THEREAFTER DUE TO
SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES AMONG NWP MODEL OUTPUTS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS LANDFALL. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 271200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18
NAME 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 271200UTC 15.8N 110.0E
MOVEMENT W 13KT
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 280000UTC 15.7N 107.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
24HR
POSITION 281200UTC 15.9N 106.0E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 290000UTC 16.3N 104.3E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271200UTC 15.8N 110.0E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 280000UTC 15.9N 107.7E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
24HF 281200UTC 15.9N 105.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 291200UTC 16.4N 102.7E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 271200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 271200UTC 15.8N 110.0E GOOD
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 281200UTC 15.9N 105.9E 50NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
48HF 291200UTC 16.4N 102.7E 90NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 271200
WARNING 271200.
WARNING VALID 281200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 950 HPA
AT 15.8N 110.0E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 15.9N 107.7E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 15.9N 105.9E WITH 50 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 16.4N 102.7E WITH 90 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1002 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 271045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270900 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 930 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE
ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (110.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (106.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 270900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270900UTC 15.7N 110.8E GOOD
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 272100UTC 15.8N 108.6E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
24HF 280900UTC 15.8N 106.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 290600UTC 16.3N 103.5E 60NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 270900
WARNING 270900.
WARNING VALID 280900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 950 HPA
AT 15.7N 110.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 15.8N 108.6E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280900UTC AT 15.8N 106.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 270900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270900UTC 15.7N 110.8E GOOD
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 280900UTC 15.8N 106.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
45HF 290600UTC 16.3N 103.5E 60NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 270900
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220927071922
2022092706 18W NORU 022 02 285 08 SATL 020
T000 156N 1112E 125 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 050 SE QD 045 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 105 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 105 NW QD
T012 157N 1094E 115 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 159N 1073E 080 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 070 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T036 162N 1052E 045
T048 166N 1033E 020
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 022
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 022
DOWNGRADED FROM SUPER TYPHOON 18W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 15.6N 111.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 111.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.7N 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 15.9N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.2N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.6N 103.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 110.8E.
27SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 169 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092612 159N1154E 90
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092618 158N1136E 105
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092700 154N1120E 130
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092706 156N1112E 125
1822092706 156N1112E 125
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 270900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 022
DOWNGRADED FROM SUPER TYPHOON 18W
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270600Z --- NEAR 15.6N 111.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 105 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 111.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.7N 109.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 15.9N 107.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.2N 105.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.6N 103.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
270900Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 110.8E.
27SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 169 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270600Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 271500Z, 272100Z, 280300Z AND 280900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (KULAP) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.21 FOR TY 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NORU IS LOCATED AT 15.6N, 111.3E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
950HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND
INCREASED VWS. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO MAINTAIN ITS
INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW. METOP-C/MHS 85 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT48. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT48 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 270745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270600 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 925 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N) ONE ONE
ONE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (111.2 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (106.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N)
ONE ZERO TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (102.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 270600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 17
NAME 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 270600UTC 15.6N 111.3E
MOVEMENT WNW 11KT
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 271800UTC 15.7N 108.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 945HPA 87KT
24HR
POSITION 280600UTC 15.8N 106.9E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 281800UTC 16.1N 105.2E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 39KT
48HR
POSITION 290600UTC 16.4N 103.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 27KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270600UTC 15.6N 111.3E GOOD
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 271800UTC 15.7N 109.1E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
24HF 280600UTC 15.7N 106.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 290600UTC 16.3N 103.5E 60NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 270600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270600UTC 15.6N 111.3E GOOD
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM NORTHWEST 150NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 280600UTC 15.7N 106.8E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
48HF 290600UTC 16.3N 103.5E 60NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 270600
WARNING 270600.
WARNING VALID 280600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 950 HPA
AT 15.6N 111.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 08 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES NORTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 15.7N 109.1E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 15.7N 106.8E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 16.3N 103.5E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 270445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 270300 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 925 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (15.3 N) ONE
ONE ONE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (111.7 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (16.5 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (103.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 270300
WARNING 270300.
WARNING VALID 280300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 950 HPA
AT 15.3N 111.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 15.8N 109.8E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280300UTC AT 15.9N 107.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 270300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270300UTC 15.3N 111.8E GOOD
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
12HF 271500UTC 15.8N 109.8E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
24HF 280300UTC 15.9N 107.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 290000UTC 16.3N 104.2E 60NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 270300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270300UTC 15.3N 111.8E GOOD
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 280300UTC 15.9N 107.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
45HF 290000UTC 16.3N 104.2E 60NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 270300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220927013559
2022092700 18W NORU 021 02 265 17 SATL 010
T000 155N 1122E 125 R064 045 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 155N 1099E 120 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 157N 1079E 075 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 159N 1059E 045 R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 040 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 163N 1037E 025
AMP
024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 021
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 15.5N 112.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 112.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.5N 109.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.7N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 15.9N 105.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.3N 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 111.6E.
27SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 513 NM WEST OF
MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 50 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092612 159N1157E 80
1822092612 159N1157E 80
1822092612 159N1157E 80
1822092618 157N1140E 100
1822092618 157N1140E 100
1822092618 157N1140E 100
1822092700 155N1122E 125
1822092700 155N1122E 125
1822092700 155N1122E 125
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 270300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 021
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
270000Z --- NEAR 15.5N 112.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.5N 112.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.5N 109.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.7N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 15.9N 105.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.3N 103.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
270300Z POSITION NEAR 15.5N 111.6E.
27SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 513 NM WEST OF
MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 270000Z IS 50 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 270900Z, 271500Z, 272100Z AND 280300Z. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 19W (KULAP) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.20 FOR TY 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NORU IS LOCATED AT 15.5N, 112.1E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON THE EYE IN ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
950HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 85KNOTS.
THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW.
THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS.
INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY
ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN
EYE. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC
OUTFLOW ARE NOW DISTINCT. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT VIET-NAM BY
FT24. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS, AND
REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS FAIR
BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT12 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT48. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270000UTC 15.5N 112.1E GOOD
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
12HF 271200UTC 15.8N 110.3E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
24HF 280000UTC 15.8N 108.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 290000UTC 16.3N 104.2E 60NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 270000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 270000UTC 15.5N 112.1E GOOD
MOVE W 15KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 280000UTC 15.8N 108.2E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 290000UTC 16.3N 104.2E 60NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 270000
WARNING 270000.
WARNING VALID 280000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 950 HPA
AT 15.5N 112.1E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 15 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 70 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 15.8N 110.3E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
940 HPA, MAX WINDS 90 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 15.8N 108.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 16.3N 104.2E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 270000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16
NAME 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 270000UTC 15.5N 112.1E
MOVEMENT W 13KT
PRES/VMAX 940HPA 91KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 271200UTC 15.6N 110.0E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 930HPA 97KT
24HR
POSITION 280000UTC 15.7N 107.8E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
36HR
POSITION 281200UTC 15.9N 106.1E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 290000UTC 16.3N 104.2E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 262245

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 262100 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N) ONE
ONE TWO POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (112.7 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 272100 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (108.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 282100 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (104.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 292100 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 262100
WARNING 262100.
WARNING VALID 272100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 960 HPA
AT 15.6N 112.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 16 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 40 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 15.6N 110.9E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 272100UTC AT 15.9N 108.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 262100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 262100UTC 15.6N 112.8E GOOD
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
12HF 270900UTC 15.6N 110.9E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 09KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
24HF 272100UTC 15.9N 108.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 281800UTC 16.1N 105.1E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 291800UTC 16.7N 100.3E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 262100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 262100UTC 15.6N 112.8E GOOD
MOVE W 16KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 272100UTC 15.9N 108.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 281800UTC 16.1N 105.1E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 291800UTC 16.7N 100.3E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 262100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220926191946
2022092618 18W NORU 020 02 270 17 SATL 010
T000 159N 1139E 090 R064 045 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 125 NW QD
T012 158N 1114E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 159N 1092E 105 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 140 NE QD 100 SE QD 080 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 162N 1072E 060 R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 000 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 090 SE QD 040 SW QD 100 NW QD
T048 164N 1055E 040 R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD
T072 169N 1017E 020
AMP
036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 020
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 15.9N 113.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 113.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.8N 111.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.9N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.2N 107.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.4N 105.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 16.9N 101.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 113.3E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 418 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092612 159N1157E 80
1822092612 159N1157E 80
1822092612 159N1157E 80
1822092618 159N1139E 90
1822092618 159N1139E 90
1822092618 159N1139E 90
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 262100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 020//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 020
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261800Z --- NEAR 15.9N 113.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 17 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
125 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 113.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.8N 111.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.9N 109.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 16.2N 107.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.4N 105.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 16.9N 101.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
262100Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 113.3E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 418 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 17
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 37 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (KULAP) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.19 FOR TY 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NORU IS LOCATED AT 15.9N, 113.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER ARE 75KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS
AND GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO
DEVELOP OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE WINDS
DATA ESTIMATED FROM SATELLITE SCATTEROMETERS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE FORMATION OF A CDO PATTERN. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89
GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT72. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT36. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 261800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15
NAME 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 261800UTC 15.9N 113.5E
MOVEMENT WSW 19KT
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 270600UTC 15.8N 111.1E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
24HR
POSITION 271800UTC 15.8N 109.1E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
36HR
POSITION 280600UTC 16.0N 107.2E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
48HR
POSITION 281800UTC 16.1N 105.3E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 291800UTC 16.4N 101.9E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 1004HPA 27KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261800UTC 15.9N 113.6E GOOD
MOVE W 19KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
12HF 270600UTC 15.4N 111.4E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
24HF 271800UTC 15.8N 109.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 281800UTC 16.1N 105.1E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 291800UTC 16.7N 100.3E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 261800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261800UTC 15.9N 113.6E GOOD
MOVE W 19KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 271800UTC 15.8N 109.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 281800UTC 16.1N 105.1E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 291800UTC 16.7N 100.3E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 261800
WARNING 261800.
WARNING VALID 271800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 970 HPA
AT 15.9N 113.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 19 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 15.4N 111.4E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
960 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 15.8N 109.4E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 16.1N 105.1E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 16.7N 100.3E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 261645

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 261500 UTC, TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N) ONE ONE FOUR
POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (114.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271500 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (110.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281500 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (106.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 55 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291500 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 261500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261500UTC 16.0N 114.4E GOOD
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
12HF 270300UTC 15.5N 112.2E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 271500UTC 15.6N 110.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 281200UTC 15.9N 106.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 291200UTC 16.2N 102.5E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 261500
WARNING 261500.
WARNING VALID 271500.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 975 HPA
AT 16.0N 114.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 18 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 210 MILES WEST SEMICIRCLE AND 150 MILES
ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 15.5N 112.2E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271500UTC AT 15.6N 110.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 261500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261500UTC 16.0N 114.4E GOOD
MOVE W 18KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 210NM WEST 150NM EAST
FORECAST
24HF 271500UTC 15.6N 110.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 281200UTC 15.9N 106.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 291200UTC 16.2N 102.5E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 261500
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220926134307
2022092612 18W NORU 019 02 270 12 SATL 010
T000 159N 1157E 080 R064 045 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 085 NE QD 055 SE QD 055 SW QD 085 NW QD R034 155 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 155 NW QD
T012 159N 1131E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 090 SE QD 120 SW QD 160 NW QD
T024 158N 1108E 110 R064 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 110 SE QD 100 SW QD 160 NW QD
T036 158N 1087E 095 R064 000 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 110 SE QD 040 SW QD 140 NW QD
T048 160N 1068E 045 R034 110 NE QD 070 SE QD 010 SW QD 055 NW QD
T072 164N 1032E 020
AMP
048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 019
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 15.9N 115.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 115.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.9N 113.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.8N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.8N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.0N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.4N 103.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
261500Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 115.1E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 317 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z
IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z, 270300Z, 270900Z AND 271500Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092612 159N1157E 80
1822092612 159N1157E 80
1822092612 159N1157E 80
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 261500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 019//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 019
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
261200Z --- NEAR 15.9N 115.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
155 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 115.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 15.9N 113.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 15.8N 110.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 15.8N 108.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
281200Z --- 16.0N 106.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
291200Z --- 16.4N 103.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
261500Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 115.1E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 317 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261200Z
IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 262100Z, 270300Z, 270900Z AND 271500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (KULAP) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.18 FOR TY 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NORU IS LOCATED AT 16N, 115.6E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI. POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD.
CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE
CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS IN A NEUTRAL ENVIRONMENT FOR
DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS,
GOOD UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM
TO MAINTAIN ITS INTENSITY OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON
THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION
OF A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. DMSP-F18/SSMIS 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS AN EYE.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD UNTIL FT96. THE SYSTEM WILL HIT
VIET-NAM BY FT48. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM PREDICTIONS,
AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT36 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO ITS
LANDFALL. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN TO TD INTENSITY BY FT72. THE
INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA
INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 261345

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 261200 UTC, TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE FIVE
POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (115.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271200 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N)
ONE ONE ZERO POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (110.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281200 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO SIX POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (106.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 60 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291200 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 261200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 261200UTC 16.0N 115.6E
MOVEMENT W 13KT
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 270000UTC 15.7N 112.5E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 955HPA 78KT
24HR
POSITION 271200UTC 15.7N 110.3E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
36HR
POSITION 280000UTC 15.9N 108.3E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 965HPA 72KT
48HR
POSITION 281200UTC 16.1N 106.3E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
72HR
POSITION 291200UTC 16.5N 102.7E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 1002HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261200UTC 16.0N 115.6E GOOD
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 270000UTC 15.6N 112.7E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 271200UTC 15.5N 110.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 281200UTC 15.9N 106.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 291200UTC 16.2N 102.5E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 261200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 261200UTC 16.0N 115.6E GOOD
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 271200UTC 15.5N 110.7E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 281200UTC 15.9N 106.6E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 291200UTC 16.2N 102.5E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 261200
WARNING 261200.
WARNING VALID 271200.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 980 HPA
AT 16.0N 115.6E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 15.6N 112.7E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271200UTC AT 15.5N 110.7E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281200UTC AT 15.9N 106.6E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
992 HPA, MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291200UTC AT 16.2N 102.5E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 261045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260900 UTC, TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE SIX
POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (116.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (111.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (107.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 65 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (16.4 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (103.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 25 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 260900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260900UTC 15.9N 116.3E GOOD
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 262100UTC 15.8N 113.3E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 270900UTC 15.5N 111.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 280600UTC 15.8N 107.3E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 290600UTC 16.4N 103.9E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 260900
WARNING 260900.
WARNING VALID 270900.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 980 HPA
AT 15.9N 116.3E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 262100UTC AT 15.8N 113.3E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270900UTC AT 15.5N 111.1E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 260900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260900UTC 15.9N 116.3E GOOD
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 270900UTC 15.5N 111.1E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 280600UTC 15.8N 107.3E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
69HF 290600UTC 16.4N 103.9E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 260900
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220926070226
2022092606 18W NORU 018 02 270 14 SATL SYNP 010
T000 159N 1169E 080 R064 030 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 075 SE QD 070 SW QD 095 NW QD
T012 159N 1141E 095 R064 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 090 SE QD 110 SW QD 130 NW QD
T024 159N 1117E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 050 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 110 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T036 159N 1095E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 110 SE QD 090 SW QD 160 NW QD
T048 158N 1074E 070 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 110 SE QD 050 SW QD 130 NW QD
T072 162N 1042E 030
T096 167N 1005E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 018
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 15.9N 116.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 116.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.9N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.9N 111.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.9N 109.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 15.8N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.2N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 16.7N 100.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 116.2E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z
IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
1822092606 159N1169E 80
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 260900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 018//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 018
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260600Z --- NEAR 15.9N 116.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 116.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.9N 114.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.9N 111.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.9N 109.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280600Z --- 15.8N 107.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290600Z --- 16.2N 104.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 16.7N 100.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
260900Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 116.2E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 250 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260600Z
IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 261500Z, 262100Z, 270300Z AND 270900Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (KULAP) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 260745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260600 UTC, TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
955 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE SIX
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 80 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270600 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (111.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280600 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (107.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ZERO THREE POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (103.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 30 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.17 FOR TY 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NORU IS LOCATED AT 15.9N, 116.9E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 65KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE ELONGATION OF
A BAND WITH A CURVATURE SUGGESTING THE CSC. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS
GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW. WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM. GCOM-W/AMSR2 89 GHZ
MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A BAND WITH CURVATURE
INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT72. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS FAIR BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP, WEAK VWS AND GOOD UPPER
LEVEL OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN RAPIDLY UNTIL FT72 DUE
TO THE INFLUENCE OF LAND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A
CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTKO20 RKSL 260600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 13
NAME 2216 NORU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 260600UTC 15.9N 116.9E
MOVEMENT W 16KT
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 261800UTC 15.8N 113.9E WITHIN 30NM
PRES/VMAX 960HPA 76KT
24HR
POSITION 270600UTC 15.5N 111.5E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
36HR
POSITION 271800UTC 15.6N 109.5E WITHIN 75NM
PRES/VMAX 950HPA 84KT
48HR
POSITION 280600UTC 15.8N 107.5E WITHIN 90NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
72HR
POSITION 290600UTC 16.3N 103.8E WITHIN 125NM
PRES/VMAX 1000HPA 29KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260600UTC 15.9N 116.9E GOOD
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 261800UTC 15.9N 114.0E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 270600UTC 15.5N 111.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 280600UTC 15.8N 107.3E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 290600UTC 16.4N 103.9E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 260600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260600UTC 15.9N 116.9E GOOD
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 270600UTC 15.5N 111.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 280600UTC 15.8N 107.3E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 290600UTC 16.4N 103.9E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 260600
WARNING 260600.
WARNING VALID 270600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 980 HPA
AT 15.9N 116.9E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 65 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 15.9N 114.0E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270600UTC AT 15.5N 111.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280600UTC AT 15.8N 107.3E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
980 HPA, MAX WINDS 60 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290600UTC AT 16.4N 103.9E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 260445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260300 UTC, TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N) ONE ONE SEVEN
POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (117.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (112.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 95 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (104.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 260300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260300UTC 16.0N 117.8E GOOD
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 261500UTC 15.9N 115.1E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
24HF 270300UTC 15.6N 112.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 280000UTC 15.5N 108.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 290000UTC 16.2N 104.8E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 260300
WARNING 260300.
WARNING VALID 270300.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 975 HPA
AT 16.0N 117.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261500UTC AT 15.9N 115.1E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270300UTC AT 15.6N 112.3E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 260300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260300UTC 16.0N 117.8E GOOD
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 270300UTC 15.6N 112.3E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
45HF 280000UTC 15.5N 108.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
69HF 290000UTC 16.2N 104.8E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ31 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.16 FOR TY 2216 NORU (2216)
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
TY NORU IS LOCATED AT 16.2N, 118.4E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
POSITIONAL ACCURACY IS GOOD. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975HPA AND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER ARE 70KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
OF LAND. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN OVER THE LAST SIX
HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ANALYSES.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL SUB-TROPICAL HIGH. ANIMATED MSI SHOWS A
BAND SPIRALING AROUND THE CSC BY AT LEAST 360 DEGREES. ANIMATED
MSI SHOWS GOOD CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS OF ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE SYSTEM.
DMSP-F17/SSMIS 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS A
BAND WITH CURVATURE INDICATING THE CSC.
3.TRACK FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE WESTWARD ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A MID-LEVEL
SUB-TROPICAL HIGH UNTIL FT96. THE TRACK FORECAST IS BASED ON GSM
PREDICTIONS, AND REFERENCE TO OTHER NWP MODELS. TRACK FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH BECAUSE ALL NWP MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
THE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP UNTIL FT24 DUE TO THE INFLUENCE OF
INTERACTION WITH HIGH SSTS, HIGH TCHP AND GOOD UPPER LEVEL
OUTFLOW. THE SYSTEM WILL THEN WEAKEN UNTIL FT72 DUE TO THE
INFLUENCE OF INTERACTION WITH REDUCED TCHP, INCREASED VWS AND
LAND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS BASED ON A CONSENSUS OF GUIDANCE
DATA INCLUDING GSM.
=

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 260200
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220926010101
2022092600 18W NORU 017 02 285 14 SATL 025
T000 159N 1184E 075 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 160N 1156E 085 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 160N 1130E 100 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 160N 1109E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 160N 1085E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 163N 1050E 045
T096 168N 1016E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 017
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 15.9N 118.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 118.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.0N 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.0N 113.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 16.0N 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.0N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.3N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 16.8N 101.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 117.7E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 583 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS
30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 260300
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220926010101
2022092600 18W NORU 017 02 285 14 SATL 025
T000 159N 1184E 075 R064 025 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 085 NW QD
T012 160N 1156E 085 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 160N 1130E 100 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 160N 1109E 110 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 160N 1085E 095 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 163N 1050E 045
T096 168N 1016E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 017
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 15.9N 118.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 118.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.0N 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.0N 113.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 16.0N 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.0N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.3N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 16.8N 101.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 117.7E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 583 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS
30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
1822092600 159N1184E 75
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 260300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 15.9N 118.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 118.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.0N 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.0N 113.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 16.0N 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.0N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.3N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 16.8N 101.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 117.7E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 583 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS
30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 260200
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 017//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 017
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
260000Z --- NEAR 15.9N 118.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 118.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
261200Z --- 16.0N 115.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 16.0N 113.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
271200Z --- 16.0N 110.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
280000Z --- 16.0N 108.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
290000Z --- 16.3N 105.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 16.8N 101.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
260300Z POSITION NEAR 15.9N 117.7E.
26SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 583 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS
30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260900Z, 261500Z, 262100Z AND 270300Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTSS20 VHHH 260145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 260000 UTC, TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
960 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL MILES OF
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N) ONE ONE EIGHT
POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (118.5 E) AND IS FORECAST TO MOVE
WEST AT ABOUT 14 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 75 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES OVER
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE, 60 NAUTICAL MILES ELSEWHERE.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 180 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (112.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FOUR DEGREES NORTH (15.4 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (108.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 100 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (16.1 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (105.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 16.2N 118.4E GOOD
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
12HF 261200UTC 15.9N 115.8E 25NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
24HF 270000UTC 15.6N 112.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 280000UTC 15.5N 108.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 290000UTC 16.2N 104.8E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 260000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 260000UTC 16.2N 118.4E GOOD
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 150NM SOUTHWEST 90NM NORTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 270000UTC 15.6N 112.9E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 14KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 280000UTC 15.5N 108.9E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 290000UTC 16.2N 104.8E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 260000
WARNING 260000.
WARNING VALID 270000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 975 HPA
AT 16.2N 118.4E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WESTNORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 150 MILES SOUTHWEST SEMICIRCLE AND 90
MILES ELSEWHERE.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261200UTC AT 15.9N 115.8E WITH 25 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 270000UTC AT 15.6N 112.9E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 280000UTC AT 15.5N 108.9E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
970 HPA, MAX WINDS 70 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 290000UTC AT 16.2N 104.8E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
998 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTJP32 RJTD 252100
WARNING 252100.
WARNING VALID 262100.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 970 HPA
AT 15.8N 119.2E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260900UTC AT 15.9N 116.5E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 262100UTC AT 15.9N 113.9E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ51 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 15.8N 119.2E GOOD
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
12HF 260900UTC 15.9N 116.5E 35NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
24HF 262100UTC 15.9N 113.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 271800UTC 15.7N 110.0E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 281800UTC 15.9N 106.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
93HF 291800UTC 16.5N 101.8E 140NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

>

Original Message :

WTPQ21 RJTD 252100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 2216 NORU (2216)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 252100UTC 15.8N 119.2E GOOD
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 35NM
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 262100UTC 15.9N 113.9E 42NM 70%
MOVE W 13KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
45HF 271800UTC 15.7N 110.0E 60NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 950HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
69HF 281800UTC 15.9N 106.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 252100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220925192020
2022092518 18W NORU 016 02 285 15 SATL SYNP 045
T000 156N 1198E 090 R064 020 NE QD 015 SE QD 020 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 030 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R034 085 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 090 NW QD
T012 158N 1171E 070 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 100 NW QD
T024 159N 1144E 075 R064 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 130 NW QD
T036 158N 1120E 090 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 150 NW QD
T048 158N 1100E 105 R064 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 160 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 160 NW QD
T072 161N 1062E 050 R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 150 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 150 NW QD
T096 167N 1027E 020
AMP
072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
SUBJ: TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 016
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 15.6N 119.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 119.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.8N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.9N 114.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.8N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.8N 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.1N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 16.7N 102.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 119.1E.
25SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 664 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS
30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 180N1334E 40
1822092300 181N1326E 40
1822092306 178N1313E 40
1822092312 174N1303E 45
1822092318 169N1291E 45
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092400 164N1280E 50
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092406 158N1267E 65
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092412 154N1259E 90
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092418 151N1247E 135
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092500 150N1237E 140
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092506 150N1225E 130
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092512 152N1213E 115
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
1822092518 156N1198E 90
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 252100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 016//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 18W (NORU) WARNING NR 016
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
251800Z --- NEAR 15.6N 119.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 15 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 15.6N 119.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
260600Z --- 15.8N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 15.9N 114.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
270600Z --- 15.8N 112.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 15.8N 110.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
281800Z --- 16.1N 106.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 16.7N 102.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
252100Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 119.1E.
25SEP22. TYPHOON 18W (NORU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 664 NM EAST OF
DA NANG, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251800Z IS
30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 260300Z, 260900Z, 261500Z AND 262100Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (NINETEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTJP22 RJTD 251800
WARNING 251800.
WARNING VALID 261800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
TYPHOON WARNING.
TYPHOON 2216 NORU (2216) 970 HPA
AT 15.5N 119.8E SOUTH CHINA SEA MOVING WEST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION GOOD.
MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
RADIUS OF OVER 50 KNOT WINDS 35 MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 30 KNOT WINDS 90 MILES.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 260600UTC AT 15.8N 117.2E WITH 35 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
965 HPA, MAX WINDS 75 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 261800UTC AT 15.9N 114.4E WITH 42 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
955 HPA, MAX WINDS 80 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 271800UTC AT 15.7N 110.0E WITH 60 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
950 HPA, MAX WINDS 85 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 281800UTC AT 15.9N 106.0E WITH 100 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
996 HPA, MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 291800UTC AT 16.5N 101.8E WITH 140 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
1000 HPA.
BECOMING TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 251045

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250900 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 930 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N) ONE TWO
ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (121.9 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 100 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (116.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES NORTH (15.5 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (111.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280900 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO SEVEN POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (107.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290900 UTC
ONE SIX POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (16.7 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (104.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300900 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 250745

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250600 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 925 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (15.0 N) ONE TWO
TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (122.4 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (117.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270600 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ONE ONE POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (111.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280600 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (108.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290600 UTC
ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (16.8 N)
ONE ZERO FOUR POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (104.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300600 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 250445

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250300 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 925 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (15.0 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (123.0 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 105 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260300 UTC
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES NORTH (16.3 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (118.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270300 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (15.7 N)
ONE ONE TWO POINT FOUR DEGREES EAST (112.4 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280300 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (108.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 85 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290300 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT TWO DEGREES EAST (105.2 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300300 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 250145

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

AT 250000 UTC, SUPER TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 915 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (15.0 N) ONE TWO
THREE POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (123.6 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 115 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 120 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 60 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 260000 UTC
ONE SIX POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (16.2 N)
ONE ONE EIGHT POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (118.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 270000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (15.8 N)
ONE ONE THREE POINT ONE DEGREES EAST (113.1 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 280000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ZERO EIGHT POINT SIX DEGREES EAST (108.6 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 90 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 290000 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (105.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 300000 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPQ20 VHHH 241945

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

SEVERE TYPHOON NORU (2216) HAS ENTERED THE AREA OF
RESPONSIBILITY OF THE HONG KONG OBSERVATORY.

AT 241800 UTC, SEVERE TYPHOON NORU (2216) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 935 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 10 NAUTICAL
MILES OF ONE FIVE POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (15.1 N) ONE TWO
FOUR POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (124.7 E) AND IS FORECAST TO
MOVE WEST AT ABOUT 12 KNOTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 95 KNOTS.

RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 47 KNOT WINDS 45 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 63 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 150 NAUTICAL MILES.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 251800 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE TWO ZERO POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (120.3 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 261800 UTC
ONE SIX POINT ZERO DEGREES NORTH (16.0 N)
ONE ONE FOUR POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (114.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 75 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 271800 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT SIX DEGREES NORTH (15.6 N)
ONE ZERO NINE POINT FIVE DEGREES EAST (109.5 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 80 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 281800 UTC
ONE FIVE POINT NINE DEGREES NORTH (15.9 N)
ONE ZERO FIVE POINT SEVEN DEGREES EAST (105.7 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 35 KNOTS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 291800 UTC
DISSIPATED OVER LAND.

>

Original Message :

WTPN52 PGTW 222100
WARNING ATCG MIL 18W NWP 220922203221
2022092218 18W EIGHTEEN 004 02 280 06 SATL 060
T000 181N 1334E 040 R034 010 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 010 NW QD
T012 182N 1318E 045 R034 020 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD
T024 181N 1297E 050 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD
T036 180N 1272E 055 R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD
T048 178N 1243E 065 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD
T072 182N 1184E 065 R064 020 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 100 NW QD
T096 183N 1118E 080 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 130 NE QD 120 SE QD 120 SW QD 130 NW QD
T120 183N 1061E 065 R064 025 NE QD 000 SE QD 000 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 060 NW QD R034 120 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 120 NW QD
AMP
SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 004
1. TROPICAL STORM 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 004
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
221800Z --- NEAR 18.1N 133.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 280 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 133.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
230600Z --- 18.2N 131.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
231800Z --- 18.1N 129.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
240600Z --- 18.0N 127.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
241800Z --- 17.8N 124.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
251800Z --- 18.2N 118.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
261800Z --- 18.3N 111.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
271800Z --- 18.3N 106.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
222100Z POSITION NEAR 18.1N 133.0E.
22SEP22. TROPICAL STORM 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 584
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 15 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 230300Z, 230900Z, 231500Z AND 232100Z.
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
1822092012 171N1311E 15
1822092018 173N1318E 15
1822092100 174N1324E 15
1822092106 175N1329E 15
1822092112 176N1336E 15
1822092118 177N1341E 20
1822092200 177N1346E 30
1822092206 179N1347E 35
1822092212 180N1340E 35
1822092218 181N1334E 40
NNNN

>

Original Message :

WTPN32 PGTW 220300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/2121212022//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNING NR 001
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
220000Z --- NEAR 17.7N 134.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 090 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 17.7N 134.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 18.1N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 18.2N 133.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 18.1N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 17.9N 129.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
250000Z --- 17.3N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
260000Z --- 17.4N 119.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
270000Z --- 18.0N 110.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
220300Z POSITION NEAR 17.8N 134.6E.
22SEP22. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 530 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED EASTWARD
AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 220000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 220900Z, 221500Z, 222100Z AND
230300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W (SEVENTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN31
PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
2. THIS CANCELS AND SUPERSEDES REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 212130).
//
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