Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for AGATHA-22
in Mexico

Event summary

Tropical Cyclone AGATHA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed, exposed population and vulnerability.

GDACS ID TC 1000886
Name AGATHA-22
Glide number: TC-2022-000223-MEX
From - To 28 May - 31 May
Exposed countries Mexico
Exposed population 220 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 176 km/h Category 2
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (30 May 20:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Mexico)

GDACS Score

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Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GDACS NOAA 46 km/h 0.4 m n.a. 0.5
Single TC: maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge, rainfall)
HWRF 198 km/h 0.6 m 1019 mm 0.5
GFS 184 km/h 0.9 m 700 mm 0.5
ECMWF 58 km/h 0.8 m 704 mm 0.5
Maximum expected impact (wind, storm surge and rainfall) using different data sources.
Virtual OSOCC
Meteo assessment
Satellite products
Analytical products
Mexico - Tropical cyclone AGATHA (ECHO 30 May 2022)Mon, 30 May 2022 11:46

  • Tropical cyclone AGATHA, formed over the Eastern Pacific Ocean on 28 May, is moving east towards Oaxaca State (south-western Mexico). On 30 May at 6.00 UTC, its centre was about 200 km southwest of Mazunte Town (central coast of Oaxaca), with maximum sustained winds of 175 km/h (Category 2 Hurricane). 
  • AGATHA is forecast to make landfall in the early morning of 31 May on the central coast of Oaxaca, in an area between Mazunte and Crucecita, with maximum sustained winds up to 195 km/h (Category 3 Hurricane).
  • Authorities in Oaxaca are coordinating actions to assist the local population ahead of the arrival of AGATHA. About 203 temporary shelters have been prepared to accommodate 25,800 individuals.
  • Hurricane warnings have been issued for areas on the central coast of Oaxaca, while tropical storm warnings are in effect for coastal northern and southern coastal Oaxaca, and for northern coastal Chiapas State. From 30 May, strong winds, heavy rainfall and storm surge is forecast for Oaxaca and northern Chiapas. 
Mexico - Tropical cyclone AGATHA, update (ECHO 31 May 2022)Tue, 31 May 2022 12:26

  • Tropical Cyclone AGATHA made landfall in the evening of 30 May in a coastal area in central Oaxaca State (south-western Mexico), about 10 km west of Puerto Angel Town, with maximum sustained winds between 165-175 km/h (Category 2 Hurricane). After the landfall, it weakened, and on 31 May at 6.00 UTC, its center was located 25 km north-west of Magdalena Tequisistlán Town (southern Oaxaca State), with maximum sustained wind of 110 km/h (Tropical Storm). 
  • Heavy rainfall and strong winds have been affecting Oaxaca and the neighbouring Chiapas State. According to media reports, one person died in coastal Chiapas. Several landslides cut off roads and affected the electric supply in Oaxaca.
  • On the forecast track, AGATHA will move farther inland over Oaxaca as a Tropical Storm and is expected to dissipate in the afternoon of 31 May.  
  • Tropical Storm warnings are in effect for coastal areas from central Oaxaca to northern Chiapas.  On 31 May heavy to locally very rainfall with strong winds and thunderstorms is forecast over Oaxaca and Chiapas. 
Detailed event map. European Union, 2024. Map produced by EC-JRC.
The boundaries and the names shown on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the European Union.

Updates on volcanic activity (Smithsonian)

Latest media headlines

Articles: 1506 | About casualties: 179 | Last hour: 0

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The National Hurricane Center in Miami said the storm once known as Agatha in the Pacific Ocean will be known as Alex in the Atlantic Ocean basin, once it reaches tropical storm status. At 8 a.m. EDT, a tropical storm warning was in effect
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Heavy rain expected in parts of Florida, Cuba, Bahamas2022-06-04T14:59+0200.

Cuba Tropical Weather Residents wade through a street flooded by heavy rains, in Havana, Cuba, Friday, June 3, 2022. Heavy rains have drenched Cuba with almost non-stop rain for the last 24 hours as tropical storm watches were posted Thursd
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Heavy rain expected in parts of Florida, Cuba, Bahamas2022-06-04T14:55+0200.

Cuba Tropical Weather Residents wade through a street flooded by heavy rains, in Havana, Cuba, Friday, June 3, 2022. Heavy rains have drenched Cuba with almost non-stop rain for the last 24 hours as tropical storm watches were posted Thursd
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Heavy rain expected in parts of Florida, Cuba, Bahamas2022-06-04T14:55+0200.

MIAMI (AP) — Parts of Florida braced for heavy rain and wind Saturday as a storm system that battered Mexico moves across the state. The National Hurricane Center in Miami said the storm once known as Agatha in the Pacific Ocean will be kno
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Estimated casualties (PAGER)

USGS estimates the number of casualties for each earthquake for the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) product.
The graph shows the current fatalities estimate.

Exposed population

Data, images, links, services and documents

For this events, GDACS has links to information from the following sources: EC-JRC (40), (2), DesInventar (1), WMO (1), INFORM (2),