Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIA-22
in Nicaragua
07 Oct 2022 09 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone JULIA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Nicaragua
    Exposed population 520 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 0.9 m (09 Oct 15:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
    Landfall between
    09 Oct 2022 06:00 - 09 Oct 2022 18:00
    in Nicaragua

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 139 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5
    Overall 139 km/h 0.9 m n.a. 0.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

    TOP

    Wind

      139 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 36000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 06 Oct 2022 15:00 83 17.9 million No people Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico
        Orange 2 06 Oct 2022 21:00 139 15.2 million No people Venezuela, Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala
        Orange 3 07 Oct 2022 03:00 139 12.3 million 200 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras
        Green 4 07 Oct 2022 09:00 139 4.4 million 40 thousand Nicaragua

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 06 Oct 2022 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.4, -67
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Oct 2022 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 380000 people 11.6, -68.7
          GREEN
          		 3 07 Oct 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 73000 people 11.9, -69.8 Venezuela
          GREEN
          		 4 07 Oct 2022 09:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 59000 people 12.1, -71.1 Colombia
          GREEN
          		 4 07 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 12.7, -73.5
          GREEN
          		 4 08 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 13.1, -76.5
          GREEN
          		 4 08 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 111 5300 people 220000 people 13.2, -79.5
          GREEN
          		 4 09 Oct 2022 06:00 Category 1 139 36000 people 1.1 million people 13.2, -82
          GREEN
          		 4 09 Oct 2022 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 4.2 million people 13.5, -84.3 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 4 10 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 14.1, -86.7 Honduras
          GREEN
          		 4 11 Oct 2022 06:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 16, -91.5 Guatemala, Mexico
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Nicaragua 36000 people

          Provinces

          Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
          Zelaya Nicaragua 36000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Siuna SIU unknown 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Puerto Isabel Nicaragua
          TOP

          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          0.9 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  0.9m in Coco Haulover, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 09 Oct 2022 15:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (55 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 4 of 07 Oct 2022 09:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.9
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.9
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.9
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.8
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.7
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.7
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.7
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.7
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.7
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.7
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.7
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.6
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.6
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.6
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.5
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.5
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Raya Honduras  0.4
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Clubki Honduras  0.4
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.4
          09 Oct 2022 18:00 Uhi Honduras  0.3
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.3
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.3
          09 Oct 2022 17:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.3
          09 Oct 2022 04:00 Aguadulce Colombia  0.3
          09 Oct 2022 04:00 Morris Hill Colombia  0.3
          09 Oct 2022 04:00 Franshua Colombia  0.3
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Kanko Honduras  0.2
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Canco Honduras  0.2
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
          07 Oct 2022 09:00 Guaguri Colombia  0.2
          09 Oct 2022 16:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
          09 Oct 2022 16:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.2
          07 Oct 2022 09:00 Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 16:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 15:00 Kaski Honduras  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 09:00 Chichibacoa Colombia  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 11:00 San Jose Colombia  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 18:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 11:00 Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 14:00 Dapat Honduras  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 17:00 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 12:00 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 10:00 Puerto Estrella Colombia  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 12:00 Kaurimahana Colombia  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 09:00 Karasua Colombia  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 09:00 Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 16:00 Claura Honduras  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 17:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
          09 Oct 2022 11:00 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 05:00 Los Taques Venezuela  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 05:00 Adaro Venezuela  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 05:00 Punto Fijo Venezuela  0.1
          07 Oct 2022 05:00 Las Piedras Venezuela  0.1