Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for TWENTYONE-22
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone TWENTYONE-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries Japan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 61 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (12 Oct 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 61 km/h 0.2 m 440 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 94 km/h 0.8 m 210 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

94 km/h

Up to 8 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormJapan8,385 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 12 Oct 2022 00:00 79 -
- - - - - Japan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmJapan3,416 
100-250 mmJapan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia232,819
+
Japan5,279 
Northern Mariana Islands55,070 
Guam169,884 
Micronesia2,585 
50-100 mmJapan, Micronesia, Marshall Islands432,126
+
Japan383,679 
Micronesia48,192 
Marshall Islands254 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 12 Oct 2022 00:00 583 240 thousand
- - - Japan, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam, Micronesia, Marshall Islands




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Colonia, Micronesia. This height is estimated for 12 Oct 2022 06:45 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 12 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12 Oct 2022 06:45 Colonia Micronesia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Agat Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Oceanview Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Dededo Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 South Acres Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Ipapao Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Upi Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Gayinero Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Asatdas Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Lupog Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Piti Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Asan Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Hagatna Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Sinajana Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Mongmong Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Ylig Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Yona Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Tamuning Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Umatac Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Merizo Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Talofofo Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Inarajan Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Okoppe Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Saru Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Shokotsu Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:00 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Medvedevka Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Dorokava Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Novotambovskoye Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Gozawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Amidagawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Nagashima Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Nakazawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Uchimambe Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Kobashi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Shinio Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Shimizu Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Okunai Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Aburakawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Natsuida Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Okamachi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Nishitazawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Yasula Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Ono Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Arakawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Aomori Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Kobata Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Komagome Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Tosaki Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Nonai Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Miyata Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Yada Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Betakai Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Takisawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Asamushi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Mora Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Masuda Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Nonaihata Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Higashi-Tazawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Yamaguchi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Aleutka Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Kompaneysk Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Ryabinovka Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Podgornyy Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Fukaya Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Sabishiro Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Yokawame Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Omisawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Momoishi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Mikawame Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Futakawame Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Shiribiki Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Hitokawame Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Kawaguchi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Ichikawa Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Takadate Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Hashimukai Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Hararo Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Niida Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Hachinohe Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Machibatake Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Tanesashi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Shirahama Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Mimigahoe Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Okuki Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Kanahama Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Uwano Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Okkoshi Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 11:15 Kadonohama Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Kanita Japan  0.2
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Kastrikum Russia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Palikir Micronesia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Kolonia Micronesia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Metalanim Micronesia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Ronkiti Micronesia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 05:45 Lot Micronesia  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Kuma Kiribati  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:15 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 07:15 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Rawannawi Kiribati  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Yamashita Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Yokoyama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Kaikomba Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Kasano Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Sakamoto Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Hanagama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Komagamine Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Iso Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Nakumura Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Tsurishi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Tachiya Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Haragama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Umekawa Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Isobe Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Minami-Ibi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Novikovo Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Komambetsu Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Satto Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Shiraiwa Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Hota Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Menaputsy Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Komukai Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:45 Yubetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Shimo-Masuda Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Sangenchaya Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Ninokura Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Ainokama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Kita-Kama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Fujitsuka Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Tago Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Niida Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Ido Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Fukanuma Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Shinhama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Wada-Shinden Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Gamo Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Umenomiya-Jutaku Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Shiogama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Schiogama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Shobudahama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Takaki Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Uenodai Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Ono Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Tsukihama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Takagi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:30 Hamaichi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Yakumo Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Kuroiwa Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Yamagoshi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Nodaoi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Ishikura Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:00 Abashiri Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:00 Kitahama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:00 Hama-tombetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:00 Shanai Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:00 Ochikiri Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:00 Shari Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Oshamambe Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Kominato Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Higashitaki Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Matsunoki Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:00 Mombetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Ishinomaki Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Moto-Funaba Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Inai Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Watanoha Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Kotake Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Nitoda Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Odomari Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Kitsunezaki Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Takenohama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Onagawahama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Fukkiura Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Koamikura Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Ikenohama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Aji Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Kobuchi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Ommaehama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Oharahama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:00 Ogatsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Odaito Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Tokotan Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Bekkai Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Fushiko-tobuto Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:30 Shamambe Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:30 Reydovo Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:30 Rokubanchi Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:30 Ruchi Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:30 Onirusu Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:30 Protochnaya Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:30 Golovnino Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:30 Alekhino Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:30 Danilovo Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:30 Oshiusu Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Mysovaya Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Osenniy Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Otlivnyy Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Zolotoy Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Chikkaporo Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Kuybyshevo Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Kasatka Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:15 Imabetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:15 Tsunashirazu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:15 Funaoka Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:15 Tairadate Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:15 Ushitaki Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:30 Higashirucharu Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Churuigenya Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Kumbetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Rukushibetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Shibetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Parusnoye Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Utesovka Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:00 Tokoro Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:00 Wakinosawa Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:45 Oboro Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:45 Monshizu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:45 Akkeshi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:45 Shinryu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:45 Itoizawa Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:15 Kaven Marshall Islands  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Homa-onishibetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Sarufutsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Hama-sarufutsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Shizukari Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Rebun Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:45 Sernozavodskiy Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Sopochnyy Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Sentyabrskiy Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Naraha Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Odaka Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Namie Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Bogoya Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Kami-Shigeoka Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Ide Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Tomioka Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Futaba Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Onaba Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Kiyohashi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Oragahama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:45 Chibukarabetsu Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:45 Nakanokotan Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:45 Medelevo Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 11:45 Goryachiy Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 03:15 Rausu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:45 Toyoura Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:15 Shukunobe Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 05:00 Onishibetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:15 Sokitani Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:15 Astaurova Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:00 Atlasovo Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Teshio Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Minami-sarakeshi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Embetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Utakoshibetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:15 Moruji Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Taiyo Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Omi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Kyochikama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Hamatsuga Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Aotsuka Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Kyuchu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Kashima Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Koya Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Okunoya Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:30 Yatabe Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 12:00 Abuta Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Gasakunai Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Mataruzaru Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Selivanovka Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Sanjibotsu Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Iodnyy Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:00 Nov' Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 12:00 Date Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Watari Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Hayakawa Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Shibamachi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Warabi Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Arahama Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 10:45 Kabasaki Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:30 Shosambetsu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 06:00 Wotje Marshall Islands  0.1
12 Oct 2022 01:15 Medvezhye Russia  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:00 Otchimbe Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:00 Otoshibe Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:00 Horonai Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 04:00 Omu Japan  0.1
12 Oct 2022 02:15 Bakkai Japan  0.1