Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for FENGSHEN-19
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone FENGSHEN-19 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (13 Nov 03:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 72 km/h 0.0 m 378 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 162 km/h 0.3 m 538 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

162 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 13 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 11 Nov 2019 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 11 Nov 2019 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 12 Nov 2019 12:00 72 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 13 Nov 2019 00:00 148 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 13 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmJapan03 
50-100 mmJapan02 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 11 Nov 2019 00:00 453 -
- - - - - Japan
Blue 2 11 Nov 2019 12:00 518 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 12 Nov 2019 00:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 12 Nov 2019 12:00 456 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 13 Nov 2019 00:00 405 Few people
- - - - Japan




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Wotje, Marshall Islands. This height is estimated for 13 Nov 2019 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 13 Nov 2019 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
13 Nov 2019 03:00 Wotje Marshall Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Santa Rita Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Merizo Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Piti Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Asan Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Inarajan Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Hagatna Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Sinajana Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Talofofo Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Mongmong Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Ylig Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Yona Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Tamuning Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Barrigada Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Camp Quezon Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Harmon Village Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Oceanview Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Dededo Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 South Acres Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Asbeco Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Adacao Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Ipapao Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Perez Acres Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Spring Hill Subdivision Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Gayinero Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Asatdas Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Lupog Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Songsong Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Teteto Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Rota Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Sinapalo Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Afetna Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Susupi Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Laolao Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Garapan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Mutcho Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Chalan Kanoa Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Aslito Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Tanapag Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Saipan Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 San Roque Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Kagman Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:00 Shomushon Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:00 Marasu Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
14 Nov 2019 20:45 Sunharon Roads Northern Mariana Islands  0.2
13 Nov 2019 10:00 Palikir Micronesia  0.2
13 Nov 2019 10:00 Kolonia Micronesia  0.2
13 Nov 2019 10:00 Metalanim Micronesia  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Potts Junction Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Upi Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Lockwood Terrace Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Agat Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Camp Bright Guam  0.2
14 Nov 2019 21:00 Umatac Guam  0.2
13 Nov 2019 13:15 Kaven Marshall Islands  0.2
13 Nov 2019 21:30 Ronkiti Micronesia  0.1
13 Nov 2019 21:30 Lot Micronesia  0.1