Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENALA-23
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENALA-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h n.a. 45 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 133 km/h 0.4 m 585 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

133 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 27 Feb 2023 00:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 22 Feb 2023 00:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 22 Feb 2023 06:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 22 Feb 2023 12:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 22 Feb 2023 18:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 23 Feb 2023 00:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 23 Feb 2023 06:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 23 Feb 2023 12:00 108 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 23 Feb 2023 18:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 24 Feb 2023 00:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 24 Feb 2023 06:00 133 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 24 Feb 2023 12:00 126 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 24 Feb 2023 18:00 130 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 25 Feb 2023 00:00 115 - - - - - - -
GREEN 14 25 Feb 2023 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 15 25 Feb 2023 12:00 94 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 25 Feb 2023 18:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 26 Feb 2023 00:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 26 Feb 2023 06:00 90 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 26 Feb 2023 12:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 26 Feb 2023 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 27 Feb 2023 00:00 83 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 27 Feb 2023 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
50-100 mmMadagascar157,056 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 22 Feb 2023 00:00 208 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 22 Feb 2023 06:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 22 Feb 2023 12:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 22 Feb 2023 18:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 23 Feb 2023 00:00 93 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 23 Feb 2023 06:00 105 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 23 Feb 2023 12:00 142 - - - - - - -
Blue 8 23 Feb 2023 18:00 200 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 24 Feb 2023 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 24 Feb 2023 06:00 124 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 24 Feb 2023 12:00 190 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 24 Feb 2023 18:00 145 - - - - - - -
Blue 13 25 Feb 2023 00:00 90 - - - - - - -
Blue 14 25 Feb 2023 06:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 15 25 Feb 2023 12:00 131 - - - - - - -
Blue 16 25 Feb 2023 18:00 73 - - - - - - -
Blue 17 26 Feb 2023 00:00 79 - - - - - - -
Blue 18 26 Feb 2023 06:00 65 - - - - - - -
Blue 19 26 Feb 2023 12:00 27 - - - - - - -
Blue 20 26 Feb 2023 18:00 34 - - - - - - -
Blue 21 27 Feb 2023 00:00 174 -
- - - - - Madagascar




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

No locations affected by storm surge > 10 cm

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 27 Feb 2023 00:00 UTC
    

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