Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for PAKHAR-22
Off-shore
10 Dec 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone PAKHAR-22 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source ECMWF
Exposed countries China, Taiwan
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 76 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.7 m (11 Dec 06:45 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
ECMWF Current 76 km/h 0.7 m 200 mm 0.5
ECMWF Overall 101 km/h 0.7 m 440 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

101 km/h

Up to 440 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormChina, Taiwan442,403
+
China33,978 
Taiwan408,424 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 10 Dec 2022 00:00 76 -
- - - - - Japan
GREEN 2 10 Dec 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - China, Taiwan
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 10 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmTaiwan, Japan, Malaysia144,460
+
Japan57 
Taiwan115,728 
Malaysia28,675 
50-100 mmJapan, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia3,834,751
+
Japan6,503 
Taiwan1,195,971 
Philippines41,898 
Malaysia1,975,133 
Brunei189,748 
Indonesia425,496 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 10 Dec 2022 00:00 267 Few people
- - - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia
Blue 2 10 Dec 2022 12:00 259 140 thousand
- - - - Japan, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Tacloban City, Tacloban, Philippines. This height is estimated for 12/12/2022 04:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 10 Dec 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
12/12/2022 04:00 Tacloban City, Tacloban Philippines  0.2
12/12/2022 04:00 Eastern Visayas, Tanauan Philippines  0.2
12/12/2022 10:00 Quezon, Concepcion Philippines  0.2
10/12/2022 06:00 , Bagatao Island Mualbual Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 04:00 Ilocos, Cabarruyan Island Santiago Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 21:00 Bicol, Barana Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 19:00 Iloilo, Punta Buri Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 04:00 , Santiago Island Pilar Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Okinawa, Okinawa-jima Atsuta Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 22:00 Hiroshima, Honshu Hama Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 15:00 Palawan, Chindonan Island Culion Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 19:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Concepcion Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 14:00 Penghu, Pai-sha Tao Ch'ang-an Taiwan  0.1
12/12/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Manjuyod Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 00:00 Central Luzon, Samal Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 22:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Chofu Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 07:00 Hyogo, Awaji-shima Iwaya Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 19:00 Central Visayas, Bantayan Island Bantayan Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Guihulngan Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 20:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Ayungon Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 20:00 Central Visayas, Leyte Island Calamba Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 04:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Santo Nino Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 20:00 Negros Oriental, Leyte Island Tayasan Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 19:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Escalante Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 08:00 Eastern Visayas, Rizal Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 18:00 Western Visayas, Leyte Island Calatrava Philippines  0.1
11/12/2022 15:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Palarican Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 19:00 Western Visayas, Panay Island Binon-an Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Southern Tagalog, Palawan Caramay Philippines  0.1
12/12/2022 08:00 Eastern Samar, Santa Margarita Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 15:00 Central Luzon, Abucay Philippines  0.1
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Fengwei China  0.1
12/12/2022 21:00 Hiroshima, Kuchisubo Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 17:00 Sabah, Taburan Malaysia  0.1
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Meizhou Dao Meizhou China  0.1
10/12/2022 01:00 Fujian, Tantou China  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Hiroshima, Hatami Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 22:00 Fukuoka, Kyushu Moji Japan  0.1
11/12/2022 04:00 Fujian, Shihu China  0.1
12/12/2022 22:00 Hiroshima, Munagata Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 05:00 Zhejiang, Hsieh-fu China  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Hiroshima, Shimojima Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Hiroshima, Ojizo Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Haitan Dao Cao Yu China  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Hiroshima, Sannose Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Yue Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Isahaya Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Conagai Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 10:00 Mie, Honshu Karasu Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 09:00 Mie, Honshu Ueno Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Etajima Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 22:00 Hiroshima, Mitarai Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Honshu Hama Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Shimonohama Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Miyajima Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Gaoshan China  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Honshu Kuba Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Nakanohama Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Hata Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Tsukumo Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Tairamachi Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Nanri Dao Fuye China  0.1
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Shicheng China  0.1
12/12/2022 20:00 Jeollanam-do, Ikkum-ni Republic of Korea  0.1
12/12/2022 08:00 Hyogo, Awaji-shima Yura Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Shangchuan Dao Dalangwan China  0.1
11/12/2022 22:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Kurosaki Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Mino Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Korenaga Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Jeollabuk-do, Kan Republic of Korea  0.1
10/12/2022 07:00 Chiba, Honshu Katakai Japan  0.1
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Pinghai China  0.1
10/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Chi-pei Tao Chi-pei Taiwan  0.1
12/12/2022 03:00 Jeollanam-do, Ach'on Republic of Korea  0.1
12/12/2022 01:00 Jeollanam-do, Chogun-mal Republic of Korea  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Matsuomachi Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Tonomi Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 14:00 Chiba, Honshu Hasunuma Japan  0.1
12/12/2022 00:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Yu Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 16:00 Shizuoka, Honshu Arai Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Yamaguchi, Hashirajima Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Atada Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 07:00 Wakayama, Honshu Tatsugahama Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 01:00 Hiroshima, Kanokawa Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Hiroshima, Oko Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Tsuzu Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Yamaguchi, Honshu Tsutsu Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Fengwo China  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Yunlong China  0.0
12/12/2022 02:00 Jeollanam-do, Ch'ongam Republic of Korea  0.0
10/12/2022 16:00 Fujian, Hsia-mei China  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Yamaguchi, Ihota Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Ehime, Aoshima Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 09:00 Aichi, Honshu Hukue Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 17:00 Chiba, Honshu Tokawacho Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 17:00 Chiba, Honshu Inuwaka Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Lianhe China  0.0
12/12/2022 09:00 Aichi, Honshu Irago Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 16:00 Jeollanam-do, Changdo-ri Republic of Korea  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Yamaguchi, Oura Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 01:00 Penghu, Chu-mu-shui Taiwan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Tung-ch'ung China  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Kareki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Kumamoto, Iwaya Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Kumamoto, Kyushu Misumi Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 03:00 Aichi, Honshu Oitsu Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Yamaguchi, Yodai Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 14:00 Penghu, Hua-hsu Taiwan  0.0
12/12/2022 06:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Nakashima Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Shijing China  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Arie Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 14:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Anan Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 08:00 Zhejiang, Changchuanba China  0.0
12/12/2022 02:00 Oita, Kyushu Sashioi Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 02:00 Oita, Kyushu Uwaura Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Weitou China  0.0
10/12/2022 01:00 Ehime, Shikoku Takayama Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 23:00 Ehime, Shikoku Natori Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 08:00 Wakayama, Honshu Yunosaki Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 04:00 Okinawa, Okinawa-jima Kin Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 20:00 Chungcheongnam-do, Eocheong-do Och'ong Republic of Korea  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Wutian China  0.0
10/12/2022 06:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Nobeoka Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 02:00 Oita, Kyushu Saganoseki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 04:00 Fujian, Dongshan Dao Chencheng China  0.0
10/12/2022 04:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Uwae Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 01:00 Guangdong, Huanglong China  0.0
12/12/2022 10:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Hiwasa Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Kagoshima Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 09:00 Tokushima, Shikoku Abe Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 08:00 Kochi, Shikoku Susaki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 01:00 Oita, Kyushu Hotojima Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Kuro-shima Tashiro Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 03:00 Kochi, Shikoku Simo-Kawaguti Japan  0.0
11/12/2022 23:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Yuki Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 02:00 Oita, Kyushu Tsurumi-zaki Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 09:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Haruguchi Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Gangkou China  0.0
12/12/2022 02:00 Ehime, Shikoku Ajiro Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 07:00 Kochi, Shikoku Nada Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Guleitou China  0.0
11/12/2022 23:00 Jeollanam-do, Bunkai-ri Republic of Korea  0.0
11/12/2022 23:00 Nagasaki, Matsu-shima Kamanoura Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 02:00 Oita, Kyushu Maruichibi Japan  0.0
12/12/2022 02:00 Oita, Kyushu Kamae Japan  0.0
10/12/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Rudong China
10/12/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Santouzui China
10/12/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Hsi-t'ou China
10/12/2022 00:00 Macau SAR, Taipa Macau (China)
10/12/2022 00:00 Macau SAR, Coloane Macau (China)
10/12/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Cheng'anwei China
10/12/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Dawanshan Dao Wanshan China
10/12/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Lajiwei China
10/12/2022 00:00 Hong Kong SAR, Sz Pak Hong Kong (China)
10/12/2022 00:00 Hong Kong SAR, Lo So Shing Hong Kong (China)
10/12/2022 00:00 Guangdong, Zhelang China
10/12/2022 00:00 Jiangsu, Jiuliqi China
10/12/2022 00:00 Jiangsu, Dongxi Liandao China
10/12/2022 00:00 Shandong, Shijiusuo China
10/12/2022 00:00 Shandong, Houwan China
10/12/2022 00:00 Fujian, Sansha China
10/12/2022 00:00 Shandong, Yantaiqian China
10/12/2022 00:00 Shandong, Xianlang China
10/12/2022 00:00 Jiangsu, Ta-yu-chien China
10/12/2022 00:00 Shandong, Beizhuang China
10/12/2022 00:00 Shandong, Ch'ing-tao China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Sha-fan-chieh China
10/12/2022 00:00 Shandong, Shazikou China
10/12/2022 00:00 Shandong, Aoshanwei China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Beilong China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Cheng-chia-tai China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Hsing-hsing-chen China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Yuhuan Dao Kanmen China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Lingmen China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Dai Shan Gaoting China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Litang China
10/12/2022 00:00 , Dachu Shan Tiantu China
10/12/2022 00:00 , Fangang China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, T'ien-hou-kung China
10/12/2022 00:00 Zhejiang, Nan 'ao China
10/12/2022 00:00 , Sheng Shan Shengshan China
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Soheugsan-do Hang-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Hong-do Chukhang Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Daeheugsan-do Amch'on Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Manjae-do Banzaito-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Chehang-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Bosei-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Katsuto Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeju-do, Cheju do Sinhyo-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Haenggan-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeju-do, Cheju do Seogwipo Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Soan-do Bira-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeju-do, Cheju do Pyoseon-ri Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Cheongsan-do Chinsan-ni Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Changch'on Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Kok'ori Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Jeollanam-do, Ando Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Gyeongsangnam-do, Hangch'on Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Gyeongsangnam-do, Jogji-do Chabup'o Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Gyeongsangnam-do, Mareug-do Chop'o Republic of Korea
10/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Fukue-jima Daiho Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Fukue-jima Yamashita Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Funamawari Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Ashinoura Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Nakadori-jima Narao Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Nakadori-jima Iwaseura Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Kyushu Nomo Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Nagasaki, Wakimisaki Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Kagoshima, Shimo-koshiki-shima Imuta Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Kagoshima, Taira Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Yamagawa Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Kagoshima, Kyushu Igatan Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Miyazaki, Kyushu Mimitsu Japan
10/12/2022 00:00 Kochi, Shikoku Komame Japan