Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for SITRANG-22 in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Bhutan from 23 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC to 24 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for SITRANG-22

in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Bhutan

23 Oct 2022 12 UTC

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SITRANG-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	China, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	90 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (23 Oct 17:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	90 km/h	0.2 m	208 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	97 km/h	1.4 m	407 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

97 km/h

Up to 22.5 million can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	China, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar	22,534,202	+
	China	2,093
	India	498,959
	Bangladesh	21,997,627
	Myanmar	35,522

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	23 Oct 2022 12:00	126	-		-	-	-	-	-	China, India, Bangladesh, Myanmar

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
250-500 mm	India, Bhutan, Myanmar	140,122	+
	India	138,575
	Bhutan	1,144
	Myanmar	403
100-250 mm	China, India, Bhutan, Myanmar, Bangladesh	76,614,549	+
	China	172
	India	4,460,064
	Bhutan	66,374
	Myanmar	852,293
	Bangladesh	71,235,644
50-100 mm	China, India, Bhutan, Myanmar, Bangladesh	88,090,582	+
	China	9,057
	India	22,734,368
	Bhutan	145,286
	Myanmar	1,190,387
	Bangladesh	64,011,482

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	23 Oct 2022 12:00	508	76.8 million				-	-	-	China, India, Bhutan, Myanmar, Bangladesh

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa, Myanmar. This height is estimated for 24/10/2022 07:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 23 Oct 2022 12:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	24/10/2022 07:00	Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Bemagyauk Ywa	Myanmar	0.2
	24/10/2022 07:00	Tanintharyi, Kanmaw Kyun Mawgaungdon Ywa	Myanmar	0.2
	24/10/2022 08:00	Tanintharyi, Tawbyagyi	Myanmar	0.2
	23/10/2022 22:00	Satun, Bagan Tohit	Thailand	0.2
	23/10/2022 19:00	Tamil Nadu, Kattumavadi	India	0.2
	23/10/2022 23:00	Krabi, Ban Khlong Sai	Thailand	0.1
	23/10/2022 19:00	Tamil Nadu, Kottaippattanam	India	0.1
	24/10/2022 10:00	Tanintharyi, Kawthaung	Myanmar	0.1
	23/10/2022 20:00	Perlis, Pulau Langkawi Kuah	Malaysia	0.1
	24/10/2022 10:00	Ranong, Ban Sin Hai	Thailand	0.1
	23/10/2022 22:00	Tanintharyi, Ale-man Kyun Ale-hman	Myanmar	0.1
	24/10/2022 03:00	Sumatera Utara, Sumatera (Sumatra) Panipahan	Indonesia	0.1
	24/10/2022 01:00	Ben Tre, Ap Phu My	Vietnam	0.1
	24/10/2022 01:00	Ben Tre, Ap An Thuan	Vietnam	0.1
	24/10/2022 04:00	Selangor, Kampong Kaum Asli	Malaysia	0.1
	24/10/2022 01:00	Ben Tre, Thoi Thuan	Vietnam	0.1
	23/10/2022 21:00	Tanintharyi, Mali Kyun Kyaukkayan	Myanmar	0.1
	25/10/2022 11:00	Rayong, Ban Ko Kok	Thailand	0.0
	25/10/2022 10:00	Rayong, Ban Nong Mapring	Thailand	0.0
	25/10/2022 10:00	Chanthaburi, Ban Ta Lian	Thailand	0.0

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.