Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for SITRANG-22
in Bangladesh, India, Myanmar, Bhutan
24 Oct 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SITRANG-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1.7 m (24 Oct 18:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Bangladesh)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 1.7 m 148 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 2.0 m 417 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 23 Oct 2022 12:00 97 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 23 Oct 2022 18:00 101 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
GREEN 3 24 Oct 2022 00:00 115 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Myanmar
GREEN 4 24 Oct 2022 06:00 97 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Myanmar
GREEN 5 24 Oct 2022 12:00 83 -
- - - - - Bangladesh, Myanmar
GREEN 6 24 Oct 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmVietnam258,460 
100-250 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Malaysia2,722,870
+
China128 
India1,495,826 
Myanmar04 
Bhutan10,489 
Vietnam1,153,398 
Laos84 
Cambodia21,796 
Malaysia41,142 
50-100 mmChina, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia32,909,748
+
China216,670 
India10,934,617 
Myanmar585,522 
Bhutan192,454 
Bangladesh2,269,746 
Vietnam1,078,901 
Laos2,251 
Cambodia6,584,428 
Thailand1,172 
Sri Lanka32,461 
Malaysia10,980,776 
Indonesia30,744 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 23 Oct 2022 12:00 184 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 23 Oct 2022 18:00 223 -
- - - - - Bangladesh
Blue 3 24 Oct 2022 00:00 215 3.8 million
- - - - Bangladesh
Blue 4 24 Oct 2022 06:00 190 29.5 million
- - - - Bangladesh, Vietnam, Indonesia
Blue 5 24 Oct 2022 12:00 127 16 million
- - - - India, Bangladesh, Indonesia
Blue 6 24 Oct 2022 18:00 336 3 million
- - - China, India, Myanmar, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Sri Lanka, Malaysia, Indonesia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

1.7 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 24 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC