Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HALE-23
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HALE-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries New Caledonia
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 65 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (06 Jan 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 65 km/h 0.5 m 139 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 83 km/h 0.5 m 319 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Jan 2023 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormNew Caledonia02 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jan 2023 18:00 79 -
- - - - - New Caledonia
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 06 Jan 2023 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmVanuatu, New Caledonia5,686
+
Vanuatu5,683 
New Caledonia02 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Fiji, Australia, New Caledonia, New Zealand318,418
+
Papua New Guinea67,649 
Wallis and Futuna4,788 
Vanuatu121,396 
Fiji96,027 
Australia2,626 
New Caledonia23,390 
New Zealand2,539 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jan 2023 18:00 208 6 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Fiji, Australia, New Caledonia, New Zealand




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Morobe, Mange, Papua New Guinea. This height is estimated for 06/01/2023 18:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 06 Jan 2023 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
06/01/2023 18:00 Morobe, Mange Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Central, Gorohu Papua New Guinea  0.1
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Waihopo New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Ngataki New Zealand  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Northern, Garara Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Northern, Bepero Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Northern, Huhuru Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 18:00 Morobe, Busega Papua New Guinea  0.1
07/01/2023 11:00 Gulf, Moru Papua New Guinea  0.1
07/01/2023 00:00 Central, Lea-Lea Papua New Guinea  0.1
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Motutangi New Zealand  0.1
06/01/2023 23:00 Morobe, Belambu Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Central, Oroi Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Morobe, Vincketown Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Morobe, Kulavi Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 21:00 Central, Babiko Papua New Guinea  0.1
07/01/2023 11:00 Gulf, Biaru Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Central, Hisiu Papua New Guinea  0.1
07/01/2023 03:00 Gulf, Kukipi Papua New Guinea  0.1
07/01/2023 01:00 National Capital District (Port Moresby), Tubusereia Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Morobe, Butaweng Papua New Guinea  0.1
07/01/2023 03:00 Milne Bay, Tarakwaruri Mission Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 21:00 Central, Kalo Papua New Guinea  0.1
07/01/2023 10:00 Gulf, Kivori-Kui Papua New Guinea  0.1
07/01/2023 10:00 Central, Roro-Ariara-Waima Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 22:00 Central, Kupiano Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 21:00 Milne Bay, Wapulamutana Papua New Guinea  0.1
06/01/2023 19:00 New South Wales, Belmore River Upper Australia  0.1
06/01/2023 20:00 New South Wales, Mitchells Island Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Whoota Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 23:00 Queensland, Urraween Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Banksmeadow Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Matraville Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Rosebery Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kensington Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Daceyville Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Como Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Grays Point Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mortdale Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Oatley Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Penshurst Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Blakehurst Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bexley Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kogarah Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Rockdale Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Brighton-Le-Sands Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Botany Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Leichhardt Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Marrickville Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Tempe Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Annandale Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Saint Peters Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mascot Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Menai Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bangor Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Sutherland Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Jannali Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Revesby Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Peakhurst Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Strathfield Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Burwood Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Croydon Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Ashfield Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, East Hills Australia  0.0
07/01/2023 01:00 Queensland, Bribie Island Bongaree Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 19:00 Victoria, Metang Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, North Sydney Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Castlecrag Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kirribilli Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Moruya Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Lane Cove Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Woolwich Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Balmain Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Artarmon Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Waverton Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Turlinjah Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Tomago Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Charlestown Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Millingandi Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Pambula Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Hexham Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bodalla Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Wagonga Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kiora Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mogendoura Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Teralba Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Boolaroo Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Cardiff Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Forestville Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Minimbah Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Homebush Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Rhodes Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Concord Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Ryde Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mortlake Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Abbotsford Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Gladesville Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Beresfield Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Tarro Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Pyree Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Millers Forest Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Matcham Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Kalimna Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Awaba Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Balmoral Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Arcadia Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Toronto Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Rathmines Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Dignams Creek Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Wyee Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Mallacoota Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Lindfield Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Roseville Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Chatswood Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Fassifern Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Clyde Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Rosehill Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Auburn Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Rydalmere Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Lidcombe Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Monkeyjacket Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Terrey Hills Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Morisset Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Barnsley Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Berkeley Vale Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Davistown Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Empire Bay Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Gosford Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, East Gosford Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mount Pleasant Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Springfield Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Patonga Beach Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Patonga Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Tuggerah Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Wyong Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Johnsonville Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 19:00 New South Wales, Mount Colah Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, The Branch Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Yowaka Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Greigs Flat Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 19:00 New South Wales, North Turramurra Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 19:00 New South Wales, Saint Ives Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mogo Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Woy Woy Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Eastwood Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Koolewong Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Point Clare Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 19:00 New South Wales, Berrilee Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Narara Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Nicholson Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Brooklyn Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Batemans Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Batemans Bay Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 19:00 New South Wales, Berowra Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Nowra Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Terara Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Brundee Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kiah Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Termeil Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Nelligen Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mooney Mooney Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Bairnsdale Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Forge Creek Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Allworth Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Raymond Terrace Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Albion Park Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Currowan Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Conjola Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Spencer Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Lower Mangrove Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Glenworth Valley Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mount White Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bomaderry Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bolong Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Limeburners Creek Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Canoelands Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Courangra Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Laughtondale Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Lower Hawkesbury Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Gunderman Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Maroota Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Sackville Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Wisemans Ferry Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Lower Portland Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Tea Gardens Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Winda Woppa Australia