Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HALE-23
Off-shore
07 Jan 2023 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HALE-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries New Zealand
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 72 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (07 Jan 15:15 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 72 km/h 0.4 m 126 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 83 km/h 0.5 m 319 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

83 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jan 2023 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormNew Zealand537 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jan 2023 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jan 2023 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jan 2023 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 07 Jan 2023 12:00 79 -
- - - - - New Zealand
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
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Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jan 2023 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmVanuatu, New Zealand19,154
+
Vanuatu14,067 
New Zealand5,086 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Australia, Fiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand993,022
+
Papua New Guinea276,299 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 
Vanuatu164,400 
Australia145,261 
Fiji160,628 
New Caledonia29,256 
New Zealand213,228 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jan 2023 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jan 2023 00:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jan 2023 06:00 135 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 07 Jan 2023 12:00 188 20 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Australia, Fiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand




Impact estimation for the next 72h
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StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.1m in Northland, North Island Waihopo, New Zealand. This height is estimated for 09/01/2023 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jan 2023 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09/01/2023 06:00 Northland, North Island Waihopo New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 05:00 Northland, North Island Ngataki New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 06:00 Northland, North Island Motutangi New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 06:00 Northland, North Island Purerua New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Kerikeri Inlet New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 05:00 Northland, North Island Manawaora New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 05:00 Northland, North Island Waikare New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 05:00 Northland, North Island Waihaha New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Matangirau New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Kerikeri New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Mangonui New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Taraunui New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Rukuwai New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Lake Ohia New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 05:00 Northland, North Island Karetu New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Paihia New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Opua New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Haruru New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Parapara New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 05:00 Northland, North Island Taumarere New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Ahipara New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 04:00 Northland, North Island Glinks Gully New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 14:00 Waikato, North Island Kennedys Bay New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 14:00 Waikato, North Island Colville New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 04:00 Northland, North Island Redhill New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 04:00 Northland, North Island Te Mane New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 14:00 Waikato, North Island Port Jackson New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Mitimiti New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Whangape New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Pawarenga New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 14:00 Waikato, North Island Te Rerenga New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 14:00 Waikato, North Island Amodeo Bay New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 14:00 Waikato, North Island Amodeo New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 14:00 Waikato, North Island Coromandel New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Rowsells New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Maungaturoto New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Puhau New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Omapere New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 03:00 Northland, North Island Opononi New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Kaiwaka New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Huarau New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 08:00 Auckland, North Island Whangateau New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Paparoa New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Marohemo New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 15:00 Auckland, Waiheke Island Omiha New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 04:00 Northland, North Island Tikinui New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 04:00 Northland, North Island Naumai New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 04:00 Northland, North Island Raupo New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 04:00 Northland, North Island Ruawai New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 09:00 Auckland, North Island Big Omaha New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Matakohe New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 14:00 Waikato, North Island Coroglen New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Pahi New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Northland, North Island Whakapirau New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 07:00 Auckland, North Island Te Hana New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 09:00 Auckland, North Island Tawharanui New Zealand  0.1
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Metang Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Mallacoota Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kiah Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Yowaka Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Greigs Flat Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Millingandi Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Pambula Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Dignams Creek Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kiora Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Wagonga Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bodalla Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mogendoura Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Moruya Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Turlinjah Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mogo Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Nelligen Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Currowan Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Batemans Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Batemans Bay Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Termeil Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Conjola Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Nowra Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bomaderry Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Terara Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Brundee Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bolong Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Pyree Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Albion Park Australia