Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for HALE-23
Off-shore

Impact

Tropical Cyclone HALE-23 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries New Zealand
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.5 m (07 Jan 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability --

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.5 m 135 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 83 km/h 0.5 m 319 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

Wind

83 km/h

Up to 4 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jan 2023 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormNew Zealand4,110 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 06 Jan 2023 18:00 65 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 07 Jan 2023 00:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 07 Jan 2023 06:00 86 -
- - - - - New Zealand
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h




Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 07 Jan 2023 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmVanuatu, Australia, New Zealand12,710
+
Vanuatu2,095 
Australia6,271 
New Zealand4,343 
50-100 mmPapua New Guinea, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Australia, New Caledonia, New Zealand914,737
+
Papua New Guinea80,593 
Wallis and Futuna3,947 
Vanuatu160,801 
Australia216,313 
New Caledonia37,855 
New Zealand415,225 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 06 Jan 2023 18:00 139 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 07 Jan 2023 00:00 147 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 07 Jan 2023 06:00 274 10 thousand
- - - - Papua New Guinea, Wallis and Futuna, Vanuatu, Australia, New Caledonia, New Zealand




Impact estimation for the next 72h

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Northland, North Island Waihopo, New Zealand. This height is estimated for 09/01/2023 12:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 07 Jan 2023 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09/01/2023 12:00 Northland, North Island Waihopo New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 12:00 Northland, North Island Ngataki New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 12:00 Northland, North Island Motutangi New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Taraunui New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Rukuwai New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 14:00 Northland, North Island Purerua New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Manawaora New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Waikare New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Waihaha New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Karetu New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Paihia New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Opua New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 14:00 Northland, North Island Kerikeri Inlet New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Taumarere New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Haruru New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Whangateau New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Kerikeri New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Big Omaha New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Tawharanui New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Te Hana New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Matakana New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Northland, North Island Kaiwaka New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Matangirau New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Warkworth New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Northland, North Island Topuni New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Wellsford New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Northland, North Island Rowsells New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Northland, North Island Maungaturoto New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Wharehine New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Port Albert New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 13:00 Northland, North Island Mangonui New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Huarau New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Marohemo New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Tauhoa New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Northland, North Island Batley New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Paparoa New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Pahi New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Whakapirau New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Tinopai New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Lake Ohia New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Matakohe New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Northland, North Island Hukatere New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Glorit New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Parapara New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Whangaparaoa New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Makarau New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Silverdale New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Red Beach New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Stanmore Bay New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Tikinui New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Naumai New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Raupo New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Parkhurst New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Ruawai New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Parakai New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Baylys Beach New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Redhill New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Te Mane New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Helensville New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Glenfield New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 14:00 Northland, North Island Puhau New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 14:00 Northland, North Island Omapere New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 14:00 Northland, North Island Opononi New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Northland, North Island Glinks Gully New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Muriwai New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Muriwai Beach New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 14:00 Northland, North Island Ahipara New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Mitimiti New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Whangape New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 15:00 Northland, North Island Pawarenga New Zealand  0.2
09/01/2023 16:00 Auckland, North Island Northcote New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Auckland, North Island Piha New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Auckland, North Island Karekare New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Panmure New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Auckland, North Island Mangere New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Pakuranga New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Howick New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, Waiheke Island Omiha New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Auckland, North Island Favona New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Beachlands New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Auckland, North Island Wiri New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Auckland, North Island Manukau City New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Auckland, North Island East Tamaki New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Awhitu Central New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Auckland, North Island Whitford New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 13:00 Waikato, North Island Port Jackson New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Pollok New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Auckland, North Island Te Toro New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Colville New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Amodeo Bay New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Amodeo New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Coromandel New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Kennedys Bay New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Waikato, North Island Kereta New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Te Rerenga New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Waikato, North Island Waitakaruru New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Waikato, North Island Tapu New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Pipiroa New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Coroglen New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Waikato, North Island Te Puru New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Waikato, North Island Otaua New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 18:00 Waikato, North Island Port Waikato New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Thames New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 17:00 Waikato, North Island Kopu New Zealand  0.1
09/01/2023 06:00 Queensland, Bribie Island Bongaree Australia  0.0
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Bairnsdale Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Forge Creek Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Nicholson Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Johnsonville Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Metang Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Kalimna Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 Victoria, Mallacoota Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kiah Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Yowaka Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Greigs Flat Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Millingandi Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Pambula Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Dignams Creek Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kiora Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Wagonga Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bodalla Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mogendoura Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Moruya Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Turlinjah Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mogo Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Nelligen Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Currowan Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Batemans Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Batemans Bay Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Termeil Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Conjola Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Nowra Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bomaderry Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Terara Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Brundee Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Bolong Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Pyree Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Albion Park Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, East Hills Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kogarah Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Rockdale Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Brighton-Le-Sands Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Leichhardt Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Marrickville Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Tempe Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Annandale Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Saint Peters Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mascot Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Botany Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Rosebery Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, North Sydney Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Castlecrag Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kirribilli Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Banksmeadow Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Kensington Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Daceyville Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Matraville Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Tea Gardens Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Winda Woppa Australia
06/01/2023 18:00 New South Wales, Mitchells Island Australia