Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for LISA-22 in Guatemala, Belize from 30 Oct 2022 21:00 UTC to 05 Nov 2022 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LISA-22

in Guatemala, Belize

click on

to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

GFS
HWRF
ECMWF

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	HWRF
Exposed countries	Jamaica
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	61 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (30 Oct 23:15 UTC)
Vulnerability	High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
HWRF Current	61 km/h	0.2 m	443 mm	0.5
HWRF Overall	140 km/h	0.4 m	443 mm	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

140 km/h

Up to Few people can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above

Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC

Category	Country	Population
Tropical Storm	Jamaica	21

See TC classification SSHS

Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Pop in Cat. 1 or higher	TS	Cat. 1	Cat. 2	Cat. 3	Cat. 4	Cat. 5	Countries
	1	30 Oct 2022 18:00	122	-		-	-	-	-	-	Jamaica

Download:

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

Rainfall

Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC

Level	Country	Population
100-250 mm	Dominican Republic, Jamaica, Honduras	170,261	+
	Dominican Republic	115,450
	Jamaica	21
	Honduras	54,788
50-100 mm	Haiti, Dominican Republic, Jamaica, Honduras	774,924	+
	Haiti	418
	Dominican Republic	691,269
	Jamaica	12,581
	Honduras	70,654

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000

10000< people affected <=100000

people affected >100000

Alert	N°	Date (UTC)	Max Rainfall (mm)	Pop >100mm or higher	50-100	100-250	250-500	500-750	750-1000	>1000	Countries
	1	30 Oct 2022 18:00	737	170 thousand			-	-	-	-	Haiti, Dominican Republic, Jamaica, Honduras

Impact estimation for the next 72h

TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.3m in Georgia, Raccoon Bluff, United States. This height is estimated for 31/10/2022 03:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs

Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	31/10/2022 03:00	Georgia, Raccoon Bluff	United States	0.3
	02/11/2022 02:00	Zulia, San Rafael	Venezuela	0.3
	02/11/2022 02:00	Zulia, Las Cabimas	Venezuela	0.3
	31/10/2022 18:00	Zulia, Sichipes	Venezuela	0.2
	31/10/2022 02:00	Atlantico Norte, Tuapi	Nicaragua	0.2
	02/11/2022 03:00	Texas, North Beach	United States	0.2
	31/10/2022 01:00	Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover	Nicaragua	0.2
	31/10/2022 04:00	Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo	Nicaragua	0.2
	31/10/2022 03:00	Zulia, Puerto Cardoncito	Venezuela	0.2
	31/10/2022 18:00	Zulia, Caimare Chico	Venezuela	0.2
	31/10/2022 18:00	Zulia, Boca Paijana	Venezuela	0.2
	31/10/2022 01:00	Gracias a Dios, Irlaya	Honduras	0.2
	31/10/2022 01:00	Atlantico Norte, Huahua	Nicaragua	0.2
	31/10/2022 19:00	Zulia, Tapuli	Venezuela	0.2
	31/10/2022 01:00	Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla	Nicaragua	0.2
	31/10/2022 01:00	Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel	Nicaragua	0.2
	01/11/2022 23:00	La Guajira, Castilletes	Colombia	0.2
	02/11/2022 03:00	Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia	United States	0.2
	31/10/2022 00:00	Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande	Nicaragua	0.2
	01/11/2022 23:00	La Guajira, Puerto Lopez	Colombia	0.2
	31/10/2022 00:00	Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi	Nicaragua	0.2
	31/10/2022 04:00	Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios	Honduras	0.2
	02/11/2022 00:00	La Guajira, Puerto Ingles	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 11:00	Texas, Seabrook	United States	0.1
	01/11/2022 04:00	Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Caledonia	Guyana	0.1
	31/10/2022 17:00	Clarendon, Mahoe Gardens	Jamaica	0.1
	31/10/2022 17:00	Sucre, Ariota	Venezuela	0.1
	30/10/2022 23:00	Saint Andrew, Port Royal	Jamaica	0.1
	02/11/2022 16:00	Pinar del Rio, El Hondon	Cuba	0.1
	01/11/2022 03:00	Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Leguan I	Guyana	0.1
	30/10/2022 21:00	Falcon, Las Delicias	Venezuela	0.1
	30/10/2022 21:00	Falcon, Tucacas	Venezuela	0.1
	30/10/2022 21:00	Falcon, Los Corales	Venezuela	0.1
	31/10/2022 21:00	Quintana Roo, Calderita	Mexico	0.1
	31/10/2022 20:00	Corozal, Corozal	Belize	0.1
	31/10/2022 01:00	Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda	Nicaragua	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Texas, El Campo Club Community	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 18:00	Falcon, Los Taques	Venezuela	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya	Honduras	0.1
	02/11/2022 11:00	Texas, Cedar Point	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 06:00	Florida, Bay View	United States	0.1
	30/10/2022 22:00	Valle, Puerto Grande	Honduras	0.1
	30/10/2022 22:00	Valle, El Moray	Honduras	0.1
	02/11/2022 00:00	La Guajira, Punta Espada	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 11:00	Texas, Beach City	United States	0.1
	30/10/2022 23:00	Antioquia, Puerto Barrios	Colombia	0.1
	31/10/2022 03:00	Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Paraguchi	Venezuela	0.1
	31/10/2022 21:00	Corozal, Santeneja	Belize	0.1
	31/10/2022 21:00	Magdalena, Puebloviejo	Colombia	0.1
	31/10/2022 21:00	Magdalena, Tasajera	Colombia	0.1
	31/10/2022 21:00	Magdalena, Palmira	Colombia	0.1
	31/10/2022 03:00	Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Pampatar	Venezuela	0.1
	01/11/2022 02:00	Tamaulipas, El Mezquite	Mexico	0.1
	31/10/2022 01:00	Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones	Panama	0.1
	31/10/2022 01:00	Atlantico Sur, Amerisco	Nicaragua	0.1
	31/10/2022 00:00	Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida	Panama	0.1
	02/11/2022 04:00	Texas, Port Ingleside	United States	0.1
	30/10/2022 22:00	Valle, El Ajustillo	Honduras	0.1
	30/10/2022 22:00	Valle, Las Piletas	Honduras	0.1
	02/11/2022 10:00	Texas, Smith Point	United States	0.1
	30/10/2022 22:00	Miranda, Carenero	Venezuela	0.1
	30/10/2022 23:00	Sud, Saint-Jean	Haiti	0.1
	31/10/2022 17:00	Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite	Panama	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Florida, Grant	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Florida, Evans Pines	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Florida, Ballard Pines	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 01:00	Belize, Belize City	Belize	0.1
	31/10/2022 06:00	Ciego de Avila, Pueblo Punta Alegre	Cuba	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point	Nicaragua	0.1
	01/11/2022 01:00	Pomeroon-Supernaam, Bounty Hall	Guyana	0.1
	31/10/2022 15:00	Bocas del Toro, Tobobe	Panama	0.1
	30/10/2022 23:00	Florida, South Patrick Shores	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 14:00	South Carolina, South Beach Villas	United States	0.1
	02/11/2022 01:00	Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island	Nicaragua	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Georgia, Greyfield	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 17:00	Falcon, Guasare Abajo	Venezuela	0.1
	02/11/2022 03:00	Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca	Honduras	0.1
	30/10/2022 23:00	Florida, Tropic	United States	0.1
	30/10/2022 23:00	Florida, Satellite Beach	United States	0.1
	02/11/2022 17:00	Cordoba, Caserio Puerto Limon	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 03:00	Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano	Honduras	0.1
	02/11/2022 17:00	Bolivar, Baru	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 00:00	Choco, Trigana	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 00:00	Choco, Villa Claret	Colombia	0.1
	31/10/2022 11:00	Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real	Mexico	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Gracias a Dios, Huarta	Honduras	0.1
	31/10/2022 16:00	Sucre, Islas de San Bernardo El Islote	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Shingle Hill	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Alto Harmony Hall	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Orange Hill	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Slave Hill	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Atto Harmony Hall	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres San Luis	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Obrero	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	San Andres y Providencia, Isla de Providencia Morris Hill	Colombia	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal	Honduras	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Hill Top	Colombia	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Florida, Fernandina Beach	United States	0.1
	02/11/2022 15:00	Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff	Honduras	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Limon, Barra	Costa Rica	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Limon, Colorado	Costa Rica	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Bocas del Toro, Lennond	Panama	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas	Panama	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro	Panama	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Bocas del Toro, Big Creek	Panama	0.1
	02/11/2022 02:00	Bocas del Toro, Caremero	Panama	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Florida, Melbourne Shores	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 05:00	Florida, Bon Terra	United States	0.1
	02/11/2022 07:00	Texas, Caplen	United States	0.1
	02/11/2022 07:00	Texas, Gilchrist	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 03:00	Florida, Indialantic	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 14:00	South Carolina, Greenwood Forest	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 09:00	Florida, Live Oak Island	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 10:00	South Carolina, Pritchards Island Cedar Reef Villas	United States	0.1
	30/10/2022 23:00	Florida, Indian Harbour Beach	United States	0.1
	30/10/2022 23:00	Florida, Canova Beach	United States	0.1
	30/10/2022 23:00	Florida, Cape Canaveral	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 14:00	Georgia, Fort Screven	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 21:00	South Carolina, Porcher Bluff	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 04:00	Florida, Flagler Beach	United States	0.1
	02/11/2022 14:00	Louisiana, North Side	United States	0.1
	02/11/2022 14:00	Louisiana, English Lookout	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 14:00	South Carolina, Bram Landing	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 14:00	South Carolina, Palmetto Dunes	United States	0.1
	02/11/2022 06:00	Louisiana, Cameron	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 23:00	Florida, Feather Sound	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Florida, Amelia City	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Florida, Franklintown	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 02:00	Florida, American Beach	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 01:00	Florida, Villano Beach	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 04:00	Florida, Anastasia	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 01:00	Florida, South Ponte Vedra Beach	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 10:00	Florida, Atlantic Beach	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 21:00	South Carolina, Island of Palms	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 21:00	South Carolina, Isle of Palms	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 10:00	Florida, Jacksonville Beach	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 05:00	Florida, Ponte Vedra Beach	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 14:00	Georgia, Tybee Island	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 11:00	South Carolina, Folly Beach	United States	0.1
	31/10/2022 08:00	Florida, Daytona Beach Shores	United States	0.0
	01/11/2022 19:00	Mississippi, Bay St Louis	United States	0.0
	01/11/2022 19:00	Mississippi, Henderson Point	United States	0.0
	01/11/2022 19:00	Mississippi, Pass Christian	United States	0.0
	01/11/2022 19:00	Mississippi, White Harbor	United States	0.0
	31/10/2022 14:00	Louisiana, Cypremort Point	United States	0.0
	31/10/2022 10:00	Mississippi, Mississippi City	United States	0.0
	31/10/2022 10:00	Mississippi, Handsboro	United States	0.0
	31/10/2022 16:00	Florida, Plantation Key Plantation Key	United States	0.0

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.