Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LISA-22
in Guatemala, Belize
01 Nov 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source HWRF
Exposed countries Mexico, Belize, Honduras
Exposed population 80 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 79 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (01 Nov 00:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
HWRF Current 79 km/h 0.2 m 160 mm 0.5
HWRF Overall 140 km/h 0.4 m 443 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

140 km/h

Up to 280 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
CAT. 2Belize3,565 
CAT. 1Belize75,650 
Tropical StormMexico, Belize, Honduras283,863
+
Mexico6,472 
Belize171,685 
Honduras105,704 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 76 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 79 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 194 80 thousand
- - - Mexico, Belize, Honduras
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmBelize, Honduras117,202
+
Belize116,675 
Honduras527 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Colombia284,382
+
Mexico6,081 
Belize122,368 
Guatemala45,639 
Honduras104,978 
Colombia5,315 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras1,020,926
+
Mexico433,842 
Belize49,822 
Guatemala425,853 
Honduras111,407 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 443 20 thousand
- - - - Dominican Republic
Blue 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 188 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 163 -
- - - - - Jamaica
Blue 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 224 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 161 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 564 400 thousand
- - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Colombia




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC