Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LISA-22
in Guatemala, Belize
30 Oct 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Honduras
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (30 Oct 23:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.2 m 123 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 1.2 m 522 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 60 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormHonduras57,793 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 108 -
- - - - - Honduras
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmColombia, Venezuela, Brazil114,940
+
Colombia112,422 
Venezuela2,515 
Brazil01 
50-100 mmCuba, Jamaica, Honduras, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil696,153
+
Cuba25,532 
Jamaica7,138 
Honduras16,603 
Costa Rica53,945 
Panama18,407 
Colombia440,416 
Venezuela133,805 
Brazil303 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 185 110 thousand
- - - - Cuba, Jamaica, Honduras, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.3 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.3m in Zulia, San Rafael, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 31/10/2022 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 30 Oct 2022 18:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31/10/2022 06:00 Zulia, San Rafael Venezuela  0.3
31/10/2022 06:00 Zulia, Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.3
02/11/2022 02:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Leguan I Guyana  0.2
02/11/2022 08:00 Zulia, Sichipes Venezuela  0.2
31/10/2022 03:00 Georgia, Raccoon Bluff United States  0.2
02/11/2022 02:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Caledonia Guyana  0.2
31/10/2022 02:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 04:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
02/11/2022 08:00 Zulia, Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.2
02/11/2022 09:00 Zulia, Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.2
02/11/2022 09:00 Zulia, Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.2
31/10/2022 01:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 03:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
31/10/2022 01:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 01:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 01:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
02/11/2022 01:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
31/10/2022 19:00 Zulia, Tapuli Venezuela  0.2
31/10/2022 02:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
31/10/2022 00:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 02:00 Sucre, Ariota Venezuela  0.2
31/10/2022 01:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
02/11/2022 02:00 Pomeroon-Supernaam, Bounty Hall Guyana  0.2
30/10/2022 21:00 Falcon, Tucacas Venezuela  0.2
30/10/2022 21:00 Falcon, Los Corales Venezuela  0.2
30/10/2022 21:00 Falcon, Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
31/10/2022 17:00 Falcon, Los Taques Venezuela  0.1
01/11/2022 15:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 19:00 La Guajira, Castilletes Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Magdalena, Puebloviejo Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Magdalena, Tasajera Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Magdalena, Palmira Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 18:00 La Guajira, Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 02:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
31/10/2022 17:00 Clarendon, Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.1
01/11/2022 02:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
31/10/2022 18:00 La Guajira, Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.1
30/10/2022 22:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
30/10/2022 22:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 02:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
31/10/2022 10:00 Florida, Bay View United States  0.1
31/10/2022 01:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 03:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Pampatar Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 La Guajira, Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
30/10/2022 23:00 Antioquia, Puerto Barrios Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.1
30/10/2022 23:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
30/10/2022 22:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
30/10/2022 22:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 02:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Saint Andrew, Port Royal Jamaica  0.1
31/10/2022 17:00 Falcon, Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 04:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
01/11/2022 21:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Paraguchi Venezuela  0.1
01/11/2022 23:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.1
31/10/2022 20:00 Saint Patrick, Fullarton Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Bolivar, Baru Colombia  0.1
01/11/2022 01:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Choco, Trigana Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Choco, Villa Claret Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 13:00 Miranda, Carenero Venezuela  0.1
31/10/2022 02:00 Florida, Grant United States  0.1
31/10/2022 02:00 Florida, Evans Pines United States  0.1
31/10/2022 02:00 Florida, Ballard Pines United States  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Villa Clara, Caibarien Cuba  0.1
02/11/2022 02:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Sucre, Islas de San Bernardo El Islote Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 South Carolina, South Beach Villas United States  0.1
31/10/2022 01:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Cordoba, Caserio Puerto Limon Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 17:00 Falcon, Boca de Ricoa Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 06:00 Ciego de Avila, Pueblo Punta Alegre Cuba  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Shingle Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Alto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Orange Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Slave Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Atto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres San Luis Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Obrero Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Hill Top Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 05:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.1
30/10/2022 23:00 Florida, South Patrick Shores United States  0.1
31/10/2022 04:00 Florida, Bon Terra United States  0.1
31/10/2022 03:00 Florida, Tropic United States  0.1
31/10/2022 03:00 Florida, Satellite Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 02:00 Georgia, Greyfield United States  0.1
31/10/2022 02:00 Florida, Fernandina Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 South Carolina, Greenwood Forest United States  0.1
31/10/2022 03:00 Florida, Indialantic United States  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 Georgia, Fort Screven United States  0.1
31/10/2022 04:00 Florida, Flagler Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 South Carolina, Bram Landing United States  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 South Carolina, Palmetto Dunes United States  0.1
31/10/2022 04:00 Florida, Anastasia United States  0.1
31/10/2022 03:00 Florida, Indian Harbour Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 03:00 Florida, Canova Beach United States  0.1
01/11/2022 20:00 Florida, Live Oak Island United States  0.1
30/10/2022 23:00 Florida, Cape Canaveral United States  0.1
31/10/2022 22:00 Florida, Amelia City United States  0.1
31/10/2022 22:00 Florida, Franklintown United States  0.1
31/10/2022 22:00 Florida, American Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 13:00 Georgia, Tybee Island United States  0.1
31/10/2022 22:00 Florida, Jacksonville Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 06:00 Florida, Atlantic Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 15:00 South Carolina, Pritchards Island Cedar Reef Villas United States  0.1
31/10/2022 05:00 Florida, Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 South Carolina, Island of Palms United States  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 South Carolina, Isle of Palms United States  0.1
31/10/2022 01:00 Florida, Villano Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 01:00 Florida, South Ponte Vedra Beach United States  0.1
01/11/2022 04:00 South Carolina, Folly Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Florida, Daytona Beach Shores United States  0.0
30/10/2022 22:00 Alabama, Bellefontaine United States  0.0
31/10/2022 14:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.0
31/10/2022 16:00 Florida, Plantation Key Plantation Key United States  0.0