Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LISA-22
in Guatemala, Belize
31 Oct 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Honduras
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (31 Oct 05:15 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.3 m 51 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 1.2 m 522 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 10 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormHonduras12,811 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 119 -
- - - - - Honduras
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmColombia, Venezuela5,128
+
Colombia3,259 
Venezuela1,868 
50-100 mmCuba, Jamaica, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Brazil1,287,426
+
Cuba1,165 
Jamaica6,985 
Honduras34,596 
Nicaragua8,066 
Colombia432,879 
Venezuela626,508 
Trinidad and Tobago176,924 
Brazil300 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 181 5 thousand
- - - - Cuba, Jamaica, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Brazil




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.2m in Zulia, San Rafael, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 02/11/2022 05:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 31 Oct 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
02/11/2022 05:00 Zulia, San Rafael Venezuela  0.2
02/11/2022 05:00 Zulia, Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.2
02/11/2022 02:00 Zulia, Sichipes Venezuela  0.2
02/11/2022 02:00 Zulia, Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.2
02/11/2022 02:00 Zulia, Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.2
02/11/2022 02:00 Zulia, Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.2
31/10/2022 20:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Leguan I Guyana  0.2
31/10/2022 20:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Caledonia Guyana  0.2
01/11/2022 20:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
01/11/2022 10:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
30/10/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
02/11/2022 01:00 Zulia, Tapuli Venezuela  0.2
30/10/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
30/10/2022 21:00 Georgia, Raccoon Bluff United States  0.2
01/11/2022 19:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
01/11/2022 19:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.1
01/11/2022 10:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 La Guajira, Castilletes Colombia  0.1
01/11/2022 20:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.1
01/11/2022 19:00 Pomeroon-Supernaam, Bounty Hall Guyana  0.1
01/11/2022 19:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 Magdalena, Puebloviejo Colombia  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 Magdalena, Tasajera Colombia  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 Magdalena, Palmira Colombia  0.1
01/11/2022 19:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
01/11/2022 22:00 La Guajira, Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 22:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
01/11/2022 09:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 Falcon, Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
01/11/2022 22:00 La Guajira, Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.1
31/10/2022 11:00 Falcon, Los Taques Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Clarendon, Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 Falcon, Tucacas Venezuela  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 Falcon, Los Corales Venezuela  0.1
01/11/2022 13:00 Sucre, Ariota Venezuela  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 Antioquia, Puerto Barrios Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 19:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.1
01/11/2022 18:00 La Guajira, Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
01/11/2022 14:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Pampatar Venezuela  0.1
01/11/2022 19:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
01/11/2022 20:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
01/11/2022 19:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
01/11/2022 19:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
01/11/2022 19:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
01/11/2022 18:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Villa Clara, Caibarien Cuba  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.1
01/11/2022 16:00 Saint Patrick, Fullarton Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
01/11/2022 21:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.1
01/11/2022 20:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
31/10/2022 01:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 01:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Paraguchi Venezuela  0.1
01/11/2022 17:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.1
01/11/2022 23:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Florida, Fernandina Beach United States  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Georgia, Greyfield United States  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Florida, Live Oak Island United States  0.1
31/10/2022 09:00 South Carolina, Pritchards Island Cedar Reef Villas United States  0.1
31/10/2022 00:00 Florida, Bay View United States  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.0
31/10/2022 17:00 Alabama, Bellefontaine United States  0.0
01/11/2022 14:00 Alabama, Bayleys Corner United States  0.0
01/11/2022 14:00 Alabama, Mon Louis United States  0.0
31/10/2022 09:00 Florida, Plantation Key Plantation Key United States  0.0