Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LISA-22
in Guatemala, Belize
05 Nov 2022 18 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 50 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.4 m (05 Nov 22:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 50 km/h 0.4 m 167 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 1.2 m 522 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

No people by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

No exposed population (in Tropical Storm or higher) based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2022 18:00 UTC

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Nov 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2022 12:00 68 - - - - - - -
GREEN 9 01 Nov 2022 18:00 83 - - - - - - -
GREEN 10 02 Nov 2022 00:00 101 - - - - - - -
GREEN 11 02 Nov 2022 06:00 104 - - - - - - -
GREEN 12 02 Nov 2022 12:00 86 - - - - - - -
GREEN 13 02 Nov 2022 18:00 94 -
- - - - - Belize
GREEN 14 03 Nov 2022 00:00 97 -
- - - - - Belize
GREEN 15 03 Nov 2022 06:00 61 - - - - - - -
GREEN 16 03 Nov 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 17 03 Nov 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 18 04 Nov 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 19 04 Nov 2022 06:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 20 04 Nov 2022 12:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 21 04 Nov 2022 18:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 22 05 Nov 2022 00:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 23 05 Nov 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 24 05 Nov 2022 12:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 25 05 Nov 2022 18:00 90 - - - - - - -
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2022 18:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
250-500 mmColombia982,463 
100-250 mmAnguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Puerto Rico, Saint-Barthélemy, Guadeloupe, Colombia, Costa Rica, Panama, Brazil, Guyana924,687
+
Puerto Rico3,116 
Anguilla14,614 
Saint-Martin41,651 
Sint Maarten39,623 
Saint-Barthélemy10,440 
Guadeloupe174,833 
Colombia570,008 
Costa Rica44,622 
Panama8,303 
Guyana4,902 
Brazil12,572 
50-100 mmUnited States, Turks and Caicos Islands, Puerto Rico, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Mexico, Guadeloupe, Guatemala, Dominica, Martinique, Barbados, Colombia, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Venezuela, Guyana, Brazil, Suriname11,499,912
+
United States31 
Turks and Caicos Islands276 
Puerto Rico697,326 
Antigua and Barbuda91,818 
Saba2,013 
Saint Eustatius4,449 
Saint Kitts and Nevis55,571 
Montserrat5,124 
Guadeloupe240,645 
Mexico251,477 
Guatemala4,248,200 
Dominica72,679 
Martinique74,442 
Barbados284,214 
Colombia3,872,592 
Nicaragua19,995 
Costa Rica674,627 
Panama788,326 
Venezuela82,070 
Guyana13,914 
Brazil20,111 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 21 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Nov 2022 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 8 01 Nov 2022 12:00 140 - - - - - - -
Blue 9 01 Nov 2022 18:00 47 - - - - - - -
Blue 10 02 Nov 2022 00:00 89 - - - - - - -
Blue 11 02 Nov 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
Blue 12 02 Nov 2022 12:00 155 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 13 02 Nov 2022 18:00 150 110 thousand
- - - - Belize, Colombia
Blue 14 03 Nov 2022 00:00 104 1 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Colombia, Venezuela
Blue 15 03 Nov 2022 06:00 79 -
- - - - - Colombia, Venezuela, Brazil
Blue 16 03 Nov 2022 12:00 143 -
- - - - - Guyana
Blue 17 03 Nov 2022 18:00 171 8 thousand
- - - - Venezuela, Colombia
Blue 18 04 Nov 2022 00:00 147 10 thousand
- - - - Venezuela, Guyana, Colombia
Blue 19 04 Nov 2022 06:00 92 -
- - - - - Venezuela, Colombia
Blue 20 04 Nov 2022 12:00 100 -
- - - - - Colombia
Blue 21 04 Nov 2022 18:00 159 60 thousand
- - - - Panama
Blue 22 05 Nov 2022 00:00 252 -
- - - - - United States, Panama
Blue 23 05 Nov 2022 06:00 175 -
- - - - - Venezuela, Costa Rica
Blue 24 05 Nov 2022 12:00 191 -
- - - - - United States
Blue 25 05 Nov 2022 18:00 484 1.9 million
- - - United States, Turks and Caicos Islands, Puerto Rico, Anguilla, Saint-Martin, Sint Maarten, Saint-Barthélemy, Antigua and Barbuda, Saba, Saint Eustatius, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Montserrat, Guadeloupe, Mexico, Guatemala, Dominica, Martinique, Barbados, Colombia, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Venezuela, Guyana, Brazil, Suriname




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 05 Nov 2022 18:00 UTC