Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LISA-22
in Guatemala, Belize
01 Nov 2022 12 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Belize, Honduras
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 68 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (01 Nov 17:45 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 68 km/h 0.2 m 140 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 1.2 m 522 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 6 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 12:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBelize, Honduras5,770
+
Belize3,416 
Honduras2,354 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Nov 2022 06:00 58 - - - - - - -
GREEN 8 01 Nov 2022 12:00 97 -
- - - - - Belize, Honduras
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 12:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Colombia, Guyana, Brazil, Suriname830,376
+
Mexico2,493 
Belize127,512 
Guatemala53 
Nicaragua1,392 
Colombia530,323 
Venezuela161,847 
Guyana6,685 
Brazil68 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama, Costa Rica, Guyana, Brazil, Suriname16,016,617
+
Mexico2,942,333 
Belize181,221 
Guatemala70,013 
Honduras141,682 
Nicaragua108,203 
El Salvador301 
Colombia10,695,545 
Venezuela1,707,728 
Panama138,717 
Costa Rica961 
Guyana14,902 
Brazil15,005 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 21 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Nov 2022 06:00 94 -
- - - - - Venezuela
Blue 8 01 Nov 2022 12:00 231 830 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, El Salvador, Colombia, Venezuela, Panama, Costa Rica, Guyana, Brazil, Suriname




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Zulia, San Rafael, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 31/10/2022 13:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 12:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
31/10/2022 13:00 Zulia, San Rafael Venezuela  0.4
31/10/2022 13:00 Zulia, Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.4
31/10/2022 12:00 Zulia, Sichipes Venezuela  0.3
31/10/2022 12:00 Zulia, Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.3
31/10/2022 12:00 Zulia, Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.3
31/10/2022 12:00 Zulia, Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.3
02/11/2022 17:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.3
02/11/2022 11:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.3
02/11/2022 16:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.3
02/11/2022 17:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
02/11/2022 11:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
01/11/2022 15:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
02/11/2022 12:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
02/11/2022 16:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
01/11/2022 09:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
31/10/2022 10:00 Zulia, Tapuli Venezuela  0.2
01/11/2022 15:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
31/10/2022 08:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 12:00 La Guajira, Castilletes Colombia  0.2
01/11/2022 07:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Leguan I Guyana  0.2
02/11/2022 12:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
02/11/2022 12:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
02/11/2022 12:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
02/11/2022 12:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
31/10/2022 08:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.2
01/11/2022 15:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.2
31/10/2022 10:00 La Guajira, Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.2
01/11/2022 07:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Caledonia Guyana  0.2
02/11/2022 12:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.2
31/10/2022 08:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
02/11/2022 11:00 La Guajira, Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.2
31/10/2022 09:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
02/11/2022 12:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.2
02/11/2022 12:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.2
31/10/2022 07:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
02/11/2022 11:00 Falcon, Los Taques Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 12:00 La Guajira, Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 07:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.1
31/10/2022 07:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 12:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 Falcon, Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Pomeroon-Supernaam, Bounty Hall Guyana  0.1
31/10/2022 06:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
31/10/2022 06:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 Falcon, Azubure Venezuela  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
01/11/2022 07:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Juan Dias Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Falcon, Tucacas Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Falcon, Los Corales Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 12:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 07:00 Magdalena, Puebloviejo Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 07:00 Magdalena, Tasajera Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 07:00 Magdalena, Palmira Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Falcon, Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 Miranda, Carenero Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Sucre, Islas de San Bernardo El Islote Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 Falcon, Boca de Ricoa Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Bolivar, Baru Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Sucre, Ariota Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Tamaulipas, Las Guayabas Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Chepillo Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Taboga Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Hill Top Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 , Curacao Newport Netherlands Antilles  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Shingle Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Alto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Orange Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Slave Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Atto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres San Luis Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Obrero Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Playon Chico Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de Providencia Morris Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Cordoba, Caserio Puerto Limon Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Colon, El Porvenir Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Bonaire Kralendijk Netherlands Antilles  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Colon, Piedra de Galera Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Colon, Tubuala Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , El Roque Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 Falcon, El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Louisiana, North Side United States  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Louisiana, English Lookout United States  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Panama, Punta Chame Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Otoque Oriente Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Panama, Otoque Occidente Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Pampatar Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Buen Pais Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Antioquia, Puerto Barrios Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Veracruz, Anton Lizardo Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Choco, Trigana Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Choco, Villa Claret Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, El Tigre Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Claridad Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Sud, Saint-Jean Haiti  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Pedro de Cocal Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Don Bernardo Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Carreto Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Veracruz, La Guadalupe Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Paraguchi Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Monte Gordo Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Veracruz Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Darien, Josefa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Veracruz, Tecolutla Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Medina del Este Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, La Boca de Chame Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas La Ensenada Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas La Puntita Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Playa Lagarto Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 02:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Concholon Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Villa Clara, Caibarien Cuba  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 , Lower Manzanilla Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
01/11/2022 02:00 Saint Patrick, Fullarton Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Panama, Boca de Teta Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Panama, Playa Coronado Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Panama, Playa Cporonado Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Panama, Las Uvas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Panama, La Union Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 00:00 Panama, Rio Mar Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 02:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 Sucre, Punta Arenas Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Tobago, Belle Garden Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Manzanillo Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 , Saint Margaret Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Los Santos, Bayano Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Cocle, Santa Clara Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Sud, Ile a Vache Haiti  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Mayaro, Saint Joseph Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay Bacalar Chico Belize  0.1
02/11/2022 05:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
02/11/2022 02:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Tobago, Mount Pleasant Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Clarendon, Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Sud, Les Cayes Haiti  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Quintana Roo, Majahual Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Punta Calabazal Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Ceiba, Vieques Puerto Rico  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Mopion Island Engagement Umbrella St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Leoncillo Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 La Altagracia, El Algibe Dominican Republic  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Sud, Laborieux Haiti  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Nord-Ouest, Aux Plains Haiti  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Veraguas, Las Caletas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Veraguas, La Playa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Veraguas, Las Moradas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 La Altagracia, Isla Saona Mano Juan Dominican Republic  0.1
02/11/2022 01:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Los Santos, Punta Mala Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Quintana Roo, El Placer Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 La Altagracia, Bavaro Dominican Republic  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Saint David, Thebaide Grenada  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 , Canouan Canouan St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 , Union Island Ashton St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones La Pluma Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Cana Brava Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Estero el Bongon Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Grand'Anse, Jeremie Haiti  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Juana Diaz, Boca Chica Puerto Rico  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Saint Andrew, Port Royal Jamaica  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Samana, Balandra Dominican Republic  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 , Mustique St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Saint Lawrence Gap Barbados  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Oistins Barbados  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Christ Church, Gibbons Barbados  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 , Sam Lord's Castle Barbados  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Louisiana, Cocodrie United States  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Veraguas, Hicaco Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Isla de Culebra San Ildefonso Puerto Rico  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Charlotte, Georgetown St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Saint Croix Camporico Virgin Islands  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 , Saint Croix Hams Bay Virgin Islands  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Mississippi, Bay St Louis United States  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Mississippi, Henderson Point United States  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 , Saint Croix Knight Virgin Islands  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 , Bequia Union St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Saint George, Calliaqua St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Saint Croix Butzberg Virgin Islands  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 , Saint Croix Carden Virgin Islands  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 , Saint Croix Cotton Grove Virgin Islands  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 , Saint Croix Cotton Valley Virgin Islands  0.1
02/11/2022 05:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.1
02/11/2022 04:00 Florida, Live Oak Island United States  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.0
02/11/2022 03:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.0
02/11/2022 03:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.0
02/11/2022 14:00 South Carolina, Pritchards Island Cedar Reef Villas United States  0.0
02/11/2022 05:00 South Carolina, South Beach Villas United States  0.0
02/11/2022 05:00 South Carolina, Bram Landing United States  0.0
02/11/2022 05:00 South Carolina, Palmetto Dunes United States  0.0
02/11/2022 06:00 Georgia, Fort Screven United States  0.0
02/11/2022 05:00 South Carolina, Greenwood Forest United States  0.0
02/11/2022 15:00 Georgia, Tybee Island United States  0.0
30/10/2022 18:00 Florida, Plantation Key Plantation Key United States