Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LISA-22
in Guatemala, Belize
01 Nov 2022 00 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Belize, Honduras
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 54 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.2 m (01 Nov 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 54 km/h 0.2 m 48 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 1.2 m 522 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 60 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormBelize, Honduras59,565
+
Belize163 
Honduras59,401 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 94 -
- - - - - Belize, Honduras
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmBelize, Guatemala, Honduras, Venezuela, Colombia582,908
+
Belize110,940 
Guatemala34,723 
Honduras23,310 
Venezuela210,169 
Colombia203,764 
50-100 mmUnited States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Colombia, Trinidad and Tobago11,208,920
+
United States48 
Mexico45,851 
Belize158,830 
Guatemala521,222 
Honduras154,449 
Nicaragua11,270 
Venezuela8,144,643 
Colombia2,030,774 
Trinidad and Tobago141,830 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 21 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 221 580 thousand
- - - - United States, Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Venezuela, Colombia, Trinidad and Tobago




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Zulia, San Rafael, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 01/11/2022 21:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 00:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01/11/2022 21:00 Zulia, San Rafael Venezuela  0.4
01/11/2022 21:00 Zulia, Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.4
01/11/2022 02:00 Zulia, Sichipes Venezuela  0.3
01/11/2022 17:00 Zulia, Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.3
01/11/2022 17:00 Zulia, Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.3
01/11/2022 17:00 Zulia, Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.3
01/11/2022 22:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.3
01/11/2022 21:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Leguan I Guyana  0.3
01/11/2022 21:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Caledonia Guyana  0.2
01/11/2022 01:00 Zulia, Tapuli Venezuela  0.2
31/10/2022 20:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
01/11/2022 01:00 La Guajira, Castilletes Colombia  0.2
31/10/2022 09:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
01/11/2022 01:00 La Guajira, Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.2
01/11/2022 20:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
02/11/2022 01:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
31/10/2022 09:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
31/10/2022 20:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
01/11/2022 00:00 La Guajira, Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.2
31/10/2022 19:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
02/11/2022 06:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
01/11/2022 21:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
02/11/2022 06:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
01/11/2022 20:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
01/11/2022 20:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 18:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
31/10/2022 09:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
02/11/2022 06:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
01/11/2022 19:00 Pomeroon-Supernaam, Bounty Hall Guyana  0.1
02/11/2022 05:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 06:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
01/11/2022 06:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
01/11/2022 08:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 Magdalena, Puebloviejo Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 Magdalena, Tasajera Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 Magdalena, Palmira Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.1
31/10/2022 20:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Falcon, Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 La Guajira, Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Falcon, Los Taques Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 21:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 20:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.1
31/10/2022 23:00 Antioquia, Puerto Barrios Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 12:00 Falcon, Boca de Ricoa Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, El Tigre Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Claridad Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 12:00 Falcon, Azubure Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Punta Chame Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Panama, Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Panama, Juan Dias Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Las Uvas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, La Union Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Rio Mar Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, La Boca de Chame Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Leoncillo Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Cocle, Santa Clara Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Boca de Teta Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Playa Coronado Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Playa Cporonado Panama  0.1
01/11/2022 20:00 Sucre, Islas de San Bernardo El Islote Colombia  0.1
01/11/2022 00:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.1
01/11/2022 00:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Falcon, Tucacas Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Falcon, Los Corales Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Colon, Piedra de Galera Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Colon, Tubuala Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Otoque Occidente Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Bolivar, Baru Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Panama, Chepillo Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 12:00 Panama, Taboga Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Veraguas, Las Caletas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Veraguas, La Playa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Veraguas, Las Moradas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Colon, El Porvenir Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones La Pluma Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Cana Brava Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Estero el Bongon Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Los Santos, Bayano Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Falcon, El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Panama, Otoque Oriente Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Falcon, Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Saint Patrick, Fullarton Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 , Curacao Newport Netherlands Antilles  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Darien, Josefa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Sucre, Ariota Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Playon Chico Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Chiriqui, Boca Toro Panama  0.1
01/11/2022 20:00 Cordoba, Caserio Puerto Limon Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Veraguas, Punta Calabazal Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Carreto Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 12:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Veraguas, Hicaco Panama  0.1
01/11/2022 08:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Medina del Este Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Pedro de Cocal Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Don Bernardo Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 Miranda, Carenero Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas La Ensenada Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas La Puntita Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Playa Lagarto Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Puntarenas, Playa Blanca Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Puntarenas, Puerto Escondido Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Concholon Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 , Lower Manzanilla Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Villa Clara, Caibarien Cuba  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Pampatar Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 , Bonaire Kralendijk Netherlands Antilles  0.1
31/10/2022 22:00 Choco, Trigana Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 22:00 Choco, Villa Claret Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Hill Top Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Chiriqui, Mata Hambre Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de Providencia Morris Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Shingle Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Alto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Orange Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Slave Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Atto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres San Luis Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Obrero Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Saint Andrew, Port Royal Jamaica  0.1
01/11/2022 21:00 Corozal, Ambergris Cay San Pedro Belize  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.1
01/11/2022 01:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.1
01/11/2022 01:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Los Santos, Punta Mala Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Florida, Live Oak Island United States  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Louisiana, Cypremort Point United States  0.1
31/10/2022 17:00 Georgia, Raccoon Bluff United States  0.1
30/10/2022 23:00 South Carolina, South Beach Villas United States  0.0
30/10/2022 23:00 South Carolina, Greenwood Forest United States  0.0
31/10/2022 16:00 South Carolina, Bram Landing United States  0.0
31/10/2022 16:00 South Carolina, Palmetto Dunes United States  0.0
31/10/2022 16:00 Georgia, Fort Screven United States  0.0
31/10/2022 17:00 Georgia, Tybee Island United States  0.0
31/10/2022 14:00 Alabama, Bellefontaine United States  0.0
31/10/2022 10:00 Florida, Bay View United States  0.0
31/10/2022 14:00 Alabama, Bayleys Corner United States  0.0
31/10/2022 14:00 Alabama, Mon Louis United States  0.0
30/10/2022 18:00 Florida, Plantation Key Plantation Key United States