Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for LISA-22
in Guatemala, Belize
01 Nov 2022 06 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone LISA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GFS
Exposed countries Honduras
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 58 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.3 m (01 Nov 08:30 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Guatemala)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
GFS Current 58 km/h 0.3 m 94 mm 0.5
GFS Overall 115 km/h 1.2 m 522 mm 0.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track)

TOP

Wind

115 km/h

Up to 30 thousand can be affected by wind speeds of Tropical Storm strength or above



Wind exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 06:00 UTC
CategoryCountryPopulation 
Tropical StormHonduras28,912 

See TC classification SSHS


Wind Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Pop in Cat. 1 or higher TS Cat. 1 Cat. 2 Cat. 3 Cat. 4 Cat. 5 Countries
GREEN 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 50 - - - - - - -
GREEN 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 54 - - - - - - -
GREEN 7 01 Nov 2022 06:00 90 -
- - - - - Honduras
Download:





Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

Rainfall





Rain exposed population - AoIs

Estimations based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 06:00 UTC
LevelCountryPopulation 
100-250 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Venezuela, Colombia, Guyana922,606
+
Mexico1,809 
Belize220,713 
Guatemala26,297 
Honduras41,429 
Colombia519,210 
Venezuela112,030 
Guyana1,115 
50-100 mmMexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Saint Lucia, Colombia, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Panama, Guyana, Brazil, Suriname14,265,518
+
Mexico336,030 
Belize123,482 
Guatemala462,525 
Honduras166,564 
Nicaragua11,270 
Saint Lucia20 
Colombia8,251,418 
Venezuela3,741,302 
Trinidad and Tobago1,145,100 
Costa Rica4,451 
Panama3,344 
Guyana14,701 
Brazil5,305 

Rain Impact Timeline

people affected <=10000
10000< people affected <=100000
people affected >100000


Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Rainfall (mm) Pop >100mm or higher 50-100 100-250 250-500 500-750 750-1000 >1000 Countries
Blue 1 30 Oct 2022 18:00 123 - - - - - - -
Blue 2 31 Oct 2022 00:00 51 - - - - - - -
Blue 3 31 Oct 2022 06:00 138 - - - - - - -
Blue 4 31 Oct 2022 12:00 96 - - - - - - -
Blue 5 31 Oct 2022 18:00 21 - - - - - - -
Blue 6 01 Nov 2022 00:00 48 - - - - - - -
Blue 7 01 Nov 2022 06:00 218 920 thousand
- - - - Mexico, Belize, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Saint Lucia, Colombia, Venezuela, Trinidad and Tobago, Costa Rica, Panama, Guyana, Brazil, Suriname




Impact estimation for the next 72h
TOP

StormSurge

The calculations have been performed using NAMIDANCE computer code, from Middle East Technical University.
reference: Zaytsev, Andrey; Kurkin, Andrey; Pelinovsky, Efim; Yalciner, Ahmet C. - NUMERICAL TSUNAMI MODEL NAMI-DANCE. - Science of Tsunami Hazards . Nov2019, Vol. 38 Issue 4, p151-168. 18p.
Doaj

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.4m in Zulia, San Rafael, Venezuela. This height is estimated for 01/11/2022 14:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model, which is run after each advisory issued by the regional tropical cyclone centres. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Storm Surge Exposed population - AoIs


Storm Surge Exposed locations

Calculation based on the bulletin of 01 Nov 2022 06:00 UTC
    
Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
01/11/2022 14:00 Zulia, San Rafael Venezuela  0.4
01/11/2022 14:00 Zulia, Las Cabimas Venezuela  0.4
01/11/2022 09:00 Zulia, Sichipes Venezuela  0.3
31/10/2022 18:00 Zulia, Caimare Chico Venezuela  0.3
31/10/2022 18:00 Zulia, Boca Paijana Venezuela  0.3
31/10/2022 18:00 Zulia, Puerto Cardoncito Venezuela  0.3
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, North Beach United States  0.2
31/10/2022 19:00 Zulia, Tapuli Venezuela  0.2
01/11/2022 14:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Leguan I Guyana  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, El Campo Club Community United States  0.2
02/11/2022 17:00 Texas, Caruthers Cove Colonia United States  0.2
02/11/2022 16:00 Essequibo Islands-West Demerara, Caledonia Guyana  0.2
31/10/2022 19:00 La Guajira, Castilletes Colombia  0.2
02/11/2022 17:00 Texas, Port Ingleside United States  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Beach City United States  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Cedar Point United States  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Seabrook United States  0.2
31/10/2022 18:00 La Guajira, Puerto Lopez Colombia  0.2
31/10/2022 01:00 Gracias a Dios, Irlaya Honduras  0.2
01/11/2022 21:00 Corozal, Corozal Belize  0.2
01/11/2022 14:00 Belize, Belize City Belize  0.2
31/10/2022 13:00 Campeche, Isla del Carmen Paso Real Mexico  0.2
31/10/2022 13:00 Atlantico Norte, Tuapi Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 13:00 Atlantico Norte, Huahua Nicaragua  0.2
01/11/2022 20:00 Quintana Roo, Calderita Mexico  0.2
31/10/2022 13:00 Atlantico Norte, Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 13:00 Atlantico Norte, Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 02:00 Atlantico Norte, Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 17:00 La Guajira, Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.2
31/10/2022 13:00 Atlantico Norte, Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.2
31/10/2022 01:00 Gracias a Dios, Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Caplen United States  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Gilchrist United States  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Smith Point United States  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Crystal Beach United States  0.2
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Patton United States  0.2
02/11/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.2
02/11/2022 15:00 Pomeroon-Supernaam, Bounty Hall Guyana  0.2
02/11/2022 16:00 Falcon, Los Taques Venezuela  0.2
01/11/2022 20:00 Corozal, Santeneja Belize  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Louisiana, Cameron United States  0.1
31/10/2022 02:00 Gracias a Dios, Pusuaya Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquite Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 La Guajira, Punta Espada Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.1
31/10/2022 15:00 Magdalena, Puebloviejo Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 15:00 Magdalena, Tasajera Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 15:00 Magdalena, Palmira Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Texas, Galveston Island Jamaica Beach United States  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Falcon, Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 Gracias a Dios, Huarta Honduras  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Antioquia, Puerto Barrios Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 Gracias a Dios, Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Falcon, Azubure Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Barra Punta Gorda Nicaragua  0.1
31/10/2022 13:00 Gracias a Dios, Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Texas, Galveston Island Bay Harbor United States  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Chiriqui, Batipa Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 13:00 Gracias a Dios, Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Valle, Puerto Grande Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Valle, El Moray Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Pinar del Rio, El Hondon Cuba  0.1
02/11/2022 04:00 Bocas del Toro, Quebrada Jones Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Panama, Chepillo Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Pampatar Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Bolivar, Baru Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Toledo, Cattle Landing Belize  0.1
02/11/2022 04:00 Bocas del Toro, Loma Partida Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Panama, Ciudad de Panama Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Panama, Juan Dias Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Falcon, Boca de Ricoa Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Curacao Newport Netherlands Antilles  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Sucre, Islas de San Bernardo El Islote Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Valle, El Ajustillo Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Valle, Las Piletas Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Falcon, Las Delicias Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Falcon, Tucacas Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Falcon, Los Corales Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Cordoba, Caserio Puerto Limon Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Taboga Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Texas, Quintana United States  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Atlantico Sur, Islas del Maiz (Corn Islands) Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , El Roque Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Amerisco Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Bonaire Kralendijk Netherlands Antilles  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Colon, Piedra de Galera Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Colon, Tubuala Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Colon, El Porvenir Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Bocas del Toro, Boquita Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, Punta Chame Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de Providencia Morris Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, El Tigre Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, Claridad Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Playon Chico Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 22:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Guanaja Red Cliff Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Atlantico Sur, Monkey Point Nicaragua  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Otoque Occidente Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Shingle Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Alto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Orange Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Slave Hill Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Atto Harmony Hall Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres San Luis Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Obrero Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 10:00 Villa Clara, Caibarien Cuba  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Falcon, El Manglar Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Sucre, Ariota Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 San Andres y Providencia, Isla de San Andres Hill Top Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Valle, Gualora Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Otoque Oriente Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Tobobe Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Macca Bite Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Limon, Barra Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 14:00 Limon, Colorado Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 03:00 Bocas del Toro, Ensenada de Punta Avispa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Lennond Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Carretera Bocas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Bocas del Toro Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Big Creek Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Bocas del Toro, Caremero Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Miranda, Carenero Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Kuna Yala (San Blas), Carreto Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, La Boca de Chame Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Choco, Trigana Colombia  0.1
31/10/2022 16:00 Choco, Villa Claret Colombia  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Paraguchi Venezuela  0.1
01/11/2022 01:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Santa Elena Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Darien, Josefa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Pedro de Cocal Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Don Bernardo Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Tamaulipas, El Mezquital Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Bocas del Toro, Isla Torta Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Clarendon, Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Saint Andrew, Port Royal Jamaica  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, Boca de Teta Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, Playa Coronado Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, Playa Cporonado Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 19:00 Saint Patrick, Fullarton Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 Colon, Empalme Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Medina del Este Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Los Santos, Bayano Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas La Ensenada Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas La Puntita Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Playa Lagarto Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Quintana Roo, Vigia Chico Mexico  0.1
31/10/2022 14:00 Colon, Puerto Castilla Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Limon, Doce Millas Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Cocle, Santa Clara Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Nueva Esparta, Isla de Margarita Manzanillo Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Sud, Saint-Jean Haiti  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 Panama, Archipelago de las Perlas Concholon Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, Las Uvas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, La Union Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Panama, Rio Mar Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 06:00 Chiapas, Pasito de la Senora Mexico  0.1
31/10/2022 10:00 Florida, Feather Sound United States  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Tamaulipas, El Porvenir Mexico  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 , Lower Manzanilla Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 08:00 Puntarenas, San Lucas Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Juana Diaz, Boca Chica Puerto Rico  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Sucre, Punta Arenas Venezuela  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Florida, Live Oak Island United States  0.1
02/11/2022 15:00 Islas de la Bahia, Isla de Roatan Roatan Honduras  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 Mayaro, Saint Joseph Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 06:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Leoncillo Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 18:00 , Canouan Canouan St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 Escuintla, Sipacate Guatemala  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Union Island Ashton St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 11:00 , Saint Margaret Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Veraguas, Las Caletas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Veraguas, La Playa Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Veraguas, Las Moradas Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 16:00 La Altagracia, Isla Saona Mano Juan Dominican Republic  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Saint David, Thebaide Grenada  0.1
02/11/2022 09:00 Puntarenas, Gigante Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Mopion Island Engagement Umbrella St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Tobago, Mount Pleasant Trinidad and Tobago  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 , Bequia Union St. Vincent and the Grenadines  0.1
02/11/2022 06:00 Guanacaste, El Jobo Costa Rica  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones La Pluma Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Cana Brava Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Veraguas, Isla Leones Estero el Bongon Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Escuintla, El Naranjo Guatemala  0.1
02/11/2022 10:00 Veraguas, Punta Calabazal Panama  0.1
02/11/2022 07:00 Chiriqui, Boca Toro Panama  0.1
31/10/2022 09:00 Florida, Punta Rassa United States  0.1
02/11/2022 17:00 Florida, Nine Mile United States  0.1
31/10/2022 09:00 Florida, Tierra Verde United States  0.1
31/10/2022 09:00 Florida, Bayway United States  0.1
31/10/2022 09:00 Florida, Lakewood Estates United States  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Florida, Bahia Shores United States  0.1
31/10/2022 08:00 Florida, Saint Petersburg Beach United States  0.1
02/11/2022 13:00 Georgia, Raccoon Bluff United States  0.1
30/10/2022 18:00 South Carolina, South Beach Villas United States  0.0
30/10/2022 18:00 South Carolina, Greenwood Forest United States  0.0
30/10/2022 18:00 Georgia, Fort Screven United States  0.0
30/10/2022 18:00 South Carolina, Bram Landing United States  0.0
30/10/2022 18:00 South Carolina, Palmetto Dunes United States  0.0
30/10/2022 18:00 Florida, Plantation Key Plantation Key United States